bristolri_wx Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 There are reasons why people only care about the GFS and the Euro until we get to about 48 hours before an event... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Correct What a fun sponge you are today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I understand what a blizzard is. I'll be shocked if the d stream doesn't trend west. I’m gonna go ahead and violently agree with you. This is coming full throttle for our entire subforum. Gonna be one for the annals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The RPM is a ARW core so it has about as much weight as the SREFs thus far out. Ahh my ARW friends! They've given me so much snow in coastal storms over the years. Always good for a suppression depression pick-me-up, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m gonna go ahead and violently agree with you. This is coming full throttle for our entire subforum. Gonna be one for the annals Anals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: What a fun sponge you are today. Such a poopy head! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Anals? Chances are that's what this storm will be for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Too far out for the Mesos, I guess, but we certainly have nice agreement for board happiness among them all. Its Mesos vs Globals at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Said it yesterday. "Love Ocean storms that back-in." This had the early look that now seem like the models are honing in on. Watching the QPF slowly (each successive run) ramp up. I even have ~5% chance of seeing some white gold flying, and if not RT up to SC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 I am more interested in seeing the evolution of the RPM full run , despite its poor track record at 84hours. Does it even make sense w timing of phase, track, strength. Gfs is garbage and useless, Is this not a storm that the nam tends to handle better. As will said, he believes there will be a cleaner phase, that is what the nam shows. Doesn't mean its right. But makes sense. Just look where the damn surface low is at the time of the phase. How does this make it up here as a monster? Im curious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 So here comes the 18Z GFS. This is the last run that doesn't have that last piece of energy sampled, right? So we can throw it out if it reverses the west ticks! Popcorn ready.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 11 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Chances are that's what this storm will be for most. This beast is coming all the way back dude. Sky is limit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: I still think we're prob gonna see a cleaner phase in the end with the southern stream than what is currently being depicted. I realize I'm pages and pages back in this thread ... but even at this late hour, I'm not completely willing to shut the book on that idea either. I won't be "disappointed" either way, but that NAM model run with 2.45" total QPF at Logan could be lurking at 00z or 12z tomorrow... before coming inevitably in at half that and a solid event for at least the eastern half, as a rather deep, better phased solution (say even 65% proficiency there in...) passes by at an obscenely fast translation speed for a deep cyclone. That's the another thing all together about this... I mean, all the models down below 960 mbs while moving an extra-tropical cyclone at that speed is highly unusual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 14 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Chances are that's what this storm will be for most. Maybe in western NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 18z rgem. Tracks from here to NB/ME border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 U winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Is the nam the first to sample this at 0z tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 2 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Show of hands. Who is riding the GEPS? Bob I like those members that actually come inland... That would be a neat trick against overwhelming opposing efforts to take this completely seaward... heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 1, 2018 Author Share Posted January 1, 2018 OT but get a view of the Wolf Moon. WOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Bob I like those members that actually come inland... That would be a neat trick against overwhelming opposing efforts to take this completely seaward... heh Noooo Tip, we can't have this rivaling the Cleveland Superbomb land pressure snow hurricane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 1, 2018 Author Share Posted January 1, 2018 I want to say the GFS is getting a clue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 12 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: 18z rgem. Tracks from here to NB/ME border. This would be perfect. Everyone wins and fun to watch the media. I just want one of the following to show something remotely similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Gfs doing something funky with the low placement between hr 48 and 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Just now, EastonSN+ said: This would be perfect. Everyone wins and fun to watch the media. I just want one of the following to show something remotely similar. Ukmet Euro GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 GFS west so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 I want to say the GFS is getting a clue.Yup I was just going to say the same thing. Starting to cave. Last to the party as expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 1, 2018 Author Share Posted January 1, 2018 Yeah, GFS definitely with the westward shift in track so it's finally latching on to the northern stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Much weaker relative to its "bombier" runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Still not quite there yet for the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 I thought 18Z was the first run with better sampling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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