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Everything posted by Hazey

  1. Yeah always throws us a festive miracle at day 15 only to be replaced by a raging cutter at go time.
  2. Let’s enjoy the lull and get things ready to go again by about the 22nd in time for Christmas.
  3. Don't mind a lull/warm up if we can get a re load before Christmas. Now that most everyone has seen measurable snow, the focus is on the holidays. Of course if we can get lucky between now and then, that will help pad the pack.
  4. Yeah this latest gfs run is morphing into a much cooler long range with storm chances to boot. Who knows if it’s right but that’s a glimmer of hope going forward.
  5. Euro is a powder keg verbatim. Definitely a few bullets in the chamber that run.
  6. Welp. That was more than forecast. Ended up with 6”. Worst drive in years. Snow weighs a ton. YHZ reporting 9”. This after 1-2” of rain. Potent storm. Birch bender confirmed...lol.
  7. Snowy day in Halifax after about 2” of rain.
  8. Hmm. Maybe this thing ends up being a fropa or anafront deal when all said and done.
  9. This whole storms taking good track but lack of cold air is going to to start getting old if things don't improve. I know it's still early but these systems tracking over or just south of the BM don't happen everyday. Heck last year couldn't even buy more than a couple of those tracks
  10. Lol the gfs went from a whiff at 6z to a decent storm at 12z to a cutter at 18z. Useless model now I guess.
  11. Normally I'd say a whiff is just want you want to see at this lead time. They always trend west but this year? who knows.
  12. Not boring up this way. Gonna have to watch that follow up low for Wednesday. Air mass will probably screw me but that’s close to a blue bomb if the heavy rates can get in here.
  13. Annnnd we’re off! First measurable of the season. Just shy of an inch but it’s a start.
  14. Try this http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?lang=en&map=na&mod=ukmet
  15. A couple of head fakes and some weenies are stampeding for the exits...lol. Going to be a tough winter. At least we know the big storms models are blowing up in the 6-10 day timeframe are fraud. For now anyways.
  16. That look like a map taken from just about every storm last winter.
  17. The difference this season is that hopes aren’t inflated like last year. If this winter is sub normal, at least there was some indication that it could happen so not as much of a let down. Time will tell.
  18. First headfake of the season. From a snowstorm that almost whiffed to a swfe to a front in about 3 days. Very impressive
  19. This went from being a legit stand alone coastal storm to a low forming on the front as it swings through. The games models play.
  20. Still think many will see their first flakes. Either from the system itself or from flurries after it moves by. That’s a win for early November.
  21. The goal is to see first flakes. I still think that’s possible on the wrap around despite the amped and west track.
  22. Any snow in early November is good snow...unless it’s a big snow and screws the rest of the winter...lol.
  23. Be interesting to see in the gfs makes a move. The 18z ensemble mean was well north of the op run. See if it makes a correction this run.
  24. 18z ICON back to a track over se mass. Still some jostling going on with track.
  25. Agreed. Could easily take a track that would guarantee snow in Jan and Feb but still be a cold rain in this early in November. Everything really needs to come together just right. We’ll see but expectations of big accumulations should be in check despite what models are showing.