Maritime storm update. Snowfall in my place is 15” (38cms) and still snowing. Probably will get a 20 spot out of this. Cape Breton destroyed. It’s Sydney’s White Juan. 2-3ft down and 1-2ft to go. This will be a generational storm for eastern parts of NS. Chase worthy. I was curious what would happen if an atmospheric river set up in winter. Now I know. Pic from Cape Breton with lots to go. Wild.
This exotic pattern were in that was talked about last week is going to produce in the Maritimes. Hefty snow amounts coming out on the models. Long duration possibly Fri to Mon deal. My hood looking like 4-8 but Cape Breton looks to get crushed. Snow for days. Strong winds and snow totals in the 1-3ft range. Epic blizzard shaping up for them. Newfoundland should get in on this in a big way too. Still some uncertainty so see how it plays out. In centimetres.
If you happen to be lucky enough to have pack, it makes going through these lulls a lot easier. Nothing worse than boring weather and snowless landscape. Mid Feb will be here soon enough and hopefully another favorable period.
This could possibly be the most interesting period of the winter. If models hold, we can get some wild solutions. I'm sure the angst will be palpable in the coming days...lol
I'm starting to wonder if the GFS is suffering from some sort of de-amplification bias. That s/w on the 1st is sailing off ESE to Bermuda. Been doing that a fair amount this season.
Always turds in the punchbowl. Virtually impossible to get a decently clean snowstorm look. 1 model goes high, then next one goes low.
If the GFS can decide which s/w to hang it's hat on, we might get somewhere.
That euro look at 240hr is showing airmass direct from Iqaluit straight to the northeast. That could dump some ice cold air in from that source region. Worth watching.
We've had a couple of favourable periods since post Christmas. I didn't see anything out of those but that doesn't mean it wasn't favouable. You guys cashed in some during January. It is what it is.
West coast is now the new east coast. Not sure of the mechanics behind this shift but it's noticeable. My buddy in Vancouver texted me last night. Just posted a 12 burger yesterday. They are expecting another 8 tonight and tomorrow. They also had a 10" storm earlier this month. I've had one 8" storm on Dec 4 and that's been it except for rainers and mild intervals. There is something to this constant troughing out west and ridge east.
Tomorrow's system is kick in the balls. Just can't get the s/w's to amplify when we need them to. Instead they just slide off the coast and east to the flemish cap. Annoying
Looks cold for the next little while. At least you guys have snow on the ground. Wiped clean here and have to start again. Would be nice to get some skating in on the ponds. Fingers crossed for Feb works out better than this month otherwise the rat is nibbling.
Seems the globals want to chase that convection off shore. Hence the way ots depiction. They also did that with todays snow until they caught on and got a clue. A slim chance that happens again. Something has to break right for once.
Remember most of you guys had written off todays snower a few days ago. Keep the faith. Sometimes they come back.