dryslot Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We hope it just damages those that want it. Unfortunately, It looks like it may damage the ones that don't.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We hope it just damages those that want it. Yeah, I have zero interest in multi-day power outages and I'm very well prepared for such occurrences. Not fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 gfs shouldnt be looked at in this setup then? Whats the use if temps are the real concern...round 2 has juice so if you slam that into a 28-31F LLC, xmas lights out. gfs cant see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2017 Author Share Posted December 22, 2017 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: gfs shouldnt be looked at in this setup then? Whats the use if temps are the real concern...round 2 has juice so if you slam that into a 28-31F LLC, xmas lights out. GFS is good to look at for other things in this like synoptic forcing, but I would def favor the RGEM low level temp profile over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Yeah, I have zero interest in multi-day power outages and I'm very well prepared for such occurrences. Not fun. none, cant stand it. Doesnt tickle me one bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Well if the GFS looks colder than previous runs...then you know we’re in trouble for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 I mean, Seriously? Its ice thru the run once it flips Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 You’re not looking good Dryslut...that’s a crippler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 You can all come into my green bubble of safety lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2017 Author Share Posted December 22, 2017 We've been focusing on the obvious flash freeze scenario near BOS...but if you believe the RGEM and even the GFS if you adjust for a warm bias there, then the south coast of CT could get a nasty one tomorrow night too. Like it goes 40F to upper 20s on the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 I just don't see this being that bad in New England. Yes I agree that .5'' of ice accretion is trouble but that's not even in the ballpark of '08 or what happened in October '11. Maybe I'm just desensitized after those two events, or because I moved somewhere with buried lines... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We've been focusing on the obvious flash freeze scenario near BOS...but if you believe the RGEM and even the GFS if you adjust for a warm bias there, then the south coast of CT could get a nasty one tomorrow night too. Like it goes 40F to upper 20s on the RGEM. I was just thinking about that. Does it even get to the 40s first though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2017 Author Share Posted December 22, 2017 Just now, CT Rain said: I was just thinking about that. Does it even get to the 40s first though? 40s prob seems a bit too warm, but even if it just makes it to 35F for a few hours ad then drops to 28F, that's a disaster for roads and prob will catch people off guard who assumed once it was in the mid 30s, they'd be fine. Further north in your 'hood, it's prob never sniffing freezing until really late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 11 minutes ago, DomNH said: I just don't see this being that bad in New England. Yes I agree that .5'' of ice accretion is trouble but that's not even in the ballpark of '08 or what happened in October '11. Maybe I'm just desensitized after those two events, or because I moved somewhere with buried lines... The 1998 ice storm had power lines sagging down to ground level without breaking and power stayed on. I've never seen anything like that since. That was around 1" of ZR mixed with IP at Sugarloaf, ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Waiting for tomorrow mornings runs before getting gas for the generator.. Thinking we warm just above freezing and rot at 33 or 34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Waiting for tomorrow mornings runs before getting gas for the generator.. Thinking we warm just above freezing and rot at 33 or 34 Mine goes from the back of the shed to the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 49 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I would go KHYP, but I think you got the winner. Yep that's it KHYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Hype train will be rolling at 6am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geo1 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Looks ugly for my commute into work then even worse leaving the city around 10:00 tomorrow night. Then I get to do it over again Saturday? Same time frame ugh ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 13 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Waiting for tomorrow mornings runs before getting gas for the generator.. Thinking we warm just above freezing and rot at 33 or 34 You should always have gas for the generator, lots of batteries and propane for the grill. Low hanging fruit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 39 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Waiting for tomorrow mornings runs before getting gas for the generator.. Thinking we warm just above freezing and rot at 33 or 34 Not taking a chance, ill load up the gas cans in the morning and put stabilizer in the cans. If I don' need it it won't go to waste. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Man, this one took me hours....enjoy. http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2017/12/messy-christmas-weekend-across-southern.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Some of the mesos are pretty icy for a large part of the region Saturday morning. Seems like we get a break tomorrow night with maybe some spotty FZDZ. A slug of precip moves in Saturday morning. It still seems like some guidance is not handling the cold well enough. It's not going to warm up above 32 today past 128, nor is it going to refuse to drop where winds turn back NW. Some guidance do not even want to get the CF past Logan...(Swiss). Interesting 30-36 hrs ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Ice storm warnings will be flying for a large chunk of SNE and CNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 I'm heading back to Mass this morning. Based on the RGEM, I might be coming back up here on Sunday. 16.9*/Pit, 13*/Pit2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ice storm warnings will be flying for a large chunk of SNE and CNE I'm not sure it will reach that since we have a break overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 I started an obs thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I'm not sure it will reach that since we have a break overnight. BOX certainly isn't buying the RGEM. Calling for up to .20" accretion (at least in their advisory). That will look pretty but no disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: BOX certainly isn't buying the RGEM. Calling for up to .20" accretion (at least in their advisory). That will look pretty but no disaster. It could be an issue nearing half inch by early tomorrow aftn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It could be an issue nearing half inch by early tomorrow aftn. I wonder why BOX is playing with much more minor (their map is really meh). Meanwhile, my zfp has 4-6" today. Glad we live there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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