Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 29F here and overcast, radar looks really impressive, just tons of precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 18.5* off a midnight high of 21.5. Heavy goose feathers, ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 3KM NAM is nasty tomorrow. Regular NAM looks a little too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Funny how GYX is hitting the ice and snow situation hard down to the border, while BOX is hitting it lightly up to the border....I guess ZR and SN stop at state lines? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2017 Author Share Posted December 22, 2017 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 3KM NAM is nasty tomorrow. Regular NAM looks a little too warm. Even 3km NAM warms things a to between 15z and 18z...prob diurnal factor in the model overdoing it. You see that a lot. I'd be skeptical of rapid warming at that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Spotty light snowfall mixed with drizzle. Dusting so far on all surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 I'm ambivalent...want ice, but also power. Hopefully the two do not prove mutually exclusive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Even 3km NAM warms things a to between 15z and 18z...prob diurnal factor in the model overdoing it. You see that a lot. I'd be skeptical of rapid warming at that time. Is there anything (model) you'd lend more credence to than the 3K? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 This is one of those deals where it’s 7:00 tomorrow night and anyone 20 miles inland is still below to well below freezing and you start seeing posts asking why is it still so cold, and where is the warmup . Can see it now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Even 3km NAM warms things a to between 15z and 18z...prob diurnal factor in the model overdoing it. You see that a lot. I'd be skeptical of rapid warming at that time. The 12K sort of brings the low near Boston harbor and warms NE MA lol. Not sure i by Logan warmer than Newport RI. It better not be or forecast is toast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This is one of those deals where it’s 7:00 tomorrow night and anyone 20 miles inland is still below to well below freezing and you start seeing posts asking why is it still so cold, and where is the warmup . Can see it now BOX says Sunday is going to be like 45 degrees....so will the front push through at midnight tomorrow or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 9 minutes ago, Whineminster said: BOX says Sunday is going to be like 45 degrees....so will the front push through at midnight tomorrow or something? As usual they wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 33 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Is there anything (model) you'd lend more credence to than the 3K? BOX really dialed back snow amounts in NW MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: BOX really dialed back snow amounts in NW MA. paltry ice map. lots of sagging pines. not so much wires. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 rgem still tourches CT sat night so any icing concerns melts quickly.... the bigger concern is a flash freeze with a quick flip back before we can dry out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: rgem still tourches CT sat night so any icing concerns melts quickly.... the bigger concern is a flash freeze with a quick flip back before we can dry out. As mets discussed. Not happening Junior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 There’s been absolutely Zero happening here all day. I have set expectations quite low for this, so it’s not surprising to me that nothing is happening here. Hard for me to buy in to anything significant here with this. Hope those that want an ice storm..get it and aren’t disappointed if it flops. I’m ready for the next potential on Xmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: There’s been absolutely Zero happening here all day. I have set expectations quite low for this, so it’s not surprising to me that nothing is happening here. Hard for me to buy in to anything significant here with this. Hope those that want an ice storm..get it and aren’t disappointed if it flops. I’m ready for the next potential on Xmas. I mean was there really anything supposed to be happening for much of SNE today? I don't really see steady precip potential until around 09z tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Just now, OceanStWx said: I mean was there really anything supposed to be happening for much of SNE today? I don't really see steady precip potential until around 09z tonight. Local Mets said there was supposed to be some light stuff after the noon hour. It didn’t happen here. No big deal..wasn’t complaining, just posting that nothing was happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Local Mets said there was supposed to be some light stuff after the noon hour. It didn’t happen here. No big deal..wasn’t complaining, just posting that nothing was happening. When I'm at the office I don't really see much of what is being forecast south of the Pike, so I really didn't know what the message was. I would still say the most impactful window for CT begins late tonight into the first part of the day tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: When I'm at the office I don't really see much of what is being forecast south of the Pike, so I really didn't know what the message was. I would still say the most impactful window for CT begins late tonight into the first part of the day tomorrow. Oh I agree. Kevin is gonna be very disappointed...Ryan was just on The news saying we have dodged the bullet as far as anything damaging due to ice. A lil slippery on untreated surfaces... take it slow and all is good here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 I’m hoping the hrrr is further offshore with more NNW flow or that’s not gonna be a good forecast for Logan. Would think it will, but it’s close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 17 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Oh I agree. Kevin is gonna be very disappointed...Ryan was just on The news saying we have dodged the bullet as far as anything damaging due to ice. A lil slippery on untreated surfaces... take it slow and all is good here. He’s may be wrong for parts of the state. Big slug of .50 tomorrow . If it’s all ice in placEs .. that’s what the question is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherexpert Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Almost certain to lose power up here in Waterville... cold temps paired with the snow that's really pounding down right now... there's already a significant buildup outside and ice to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 This is getting aggravating. My wife's 40th b-day is tomorrow and trying to plan dinner out with family in Kittery ME for a 4 PM start. It's either going to be glazed roads and no way I want people coming out, or no trouble at all. Seems like a tough call and will probably have to err on the side of caution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 4 minutes ago, rimetree said: This is getting aggravating. My wife's 40th b-day is tomorrow and trying to plan dinner out with family in Kittery ME for a 4 PM start. It's either going to be glazed roads and no way I want people coming out, or no trouble at all. Seems like a tough call and will probably have to err on the side of caution. Roads will be fine. I don’t get that whole travel azard. Unless you live in a hermit where nobody salts, ZR is easily taken care of. Go forward with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Appears we are having some freezing drizzle.....or some such ncp. 19* with about 1.5" of snow. #underperformer edit: back into flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: As mets discussed. Not happening Junior Weenieology over meterology? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Weenieology over meterology? Opposite. You don’t want ice so you are believing it gets into the 50’s to ORH and interior CT which is physically impossible . Ryan has a high of 35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Opposite. You don’t want ice so you are believing it gets into the 50’s to ORH and interior CT which is physically impossible . Ryan has a high of 35 50s wont happen but 40s could. I respect the vets here but it’s also possibe we are over doing the “models way too warm” theory based on the first meso low tucking in cold air behind round 1 because round 2 low can certainly blast right up through wct into ema and displace said cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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