October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm

[Damage In Tolland]

A place like Taunton , MA is looking at rain from Friday afternoon thru Monday . Couple that with power out, recipe for a divorce 

[Brewbeer]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

I guess you missed all the posts last night ? Try and keep up

i didn't miss any posts

did you miss some of yours ?  maybe you should be trying harder to keep up

 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, Brewbeer said:

i didn't miss any posts

did you miss some of yours ?  maybe you should be trying harder to keep up

 

You didn’t if you missed the ones about reverse psychology yet still quoted those posts 

[CoastalWx]

Well I have a hard time seeing Euro AI and ensembles off by 300 miles this close in, but we shall see. I have a lot of people asking me about the weekend, and it's definitely a higher stakes deal. If the euro ai/ensembles and the euro op and ensembles have some sort of consistency at 12z...I would feel more confident in a higher impact especially near the coast. I do expect a little shuffling as usually the case this far out....but I mean no wild swings.

[Damage In Tolland]

UKIE slingshots it way west towards coast again. Euro to follow?

[Torch Tiger]

GGEM looks way way east.  With the low-level dry air on western side eating away at precip bands , WNE probably gets a decent weekend!

[H2Otown_WX]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

UKIE slingshots it way west towards coast again. Euro to follow?

If it doesn't will you melt?

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, H2Otown_WX said:

If it doesn't will you melt?

Nah.. I’m fine either way . Another boring rainer or a tree toppler . Let the chips fall where they may 

[CT Rain]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Nah.. I’m fine either way . Another boring rainer or a tree toppler . Let the chips fall where they may 

When did you transition from every storm missing and bermuda blues and a spot shower to destructive windswept rainstorm for days? The equinox?

[rimetree]

All I know is anything that brings some interesting weather is welcome. Doesn't have to be grid destroying events. I have a bit of a wind fetish so anything that checks that box will be nice as seems like a struggle to get anything even moderately stormy...at least in recent autumns. Nice breeze today. 62/53

[WxWatcher007]

9 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Folks complain when there is no weather and complain when there is weather to talk about lol. 

It's almost as if every single weather phenomenon has to be extreme or bust. Everything is meh, meh, meh unless there are 20 tornadoes, trees get blown down all over, snow accumulations exceed 2 feet, winds gust above 60, or half the region is under water. 

Funny thing is, if 1888 or 1938 happened again this place would be on fire with mehing, complaining, complaining about the complaining, and strife.

I mean RI got a historic blizzard and pages of the thread were filled with all out warfare accordion man.   

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CT Rain said:

When did you transition from every storm missing and bermuda blues and a spot shower to destructive windswept rainstorm for days? The equinox?

Once we lost the torch over the last few days .

[OrangeCTWX]

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

UKIE slingshots it way west towards coast again. Euro to follow?

Congrats NJ

[Brian5671]

you know it's boring when we are tracking a regular fall noreaster and rooting for an inch or two of rain.

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, Brian5671 said:

you know it's boring when we are tracking a regular fall noreaster and rooting for an inch or two of rain.

Its September 

[WxWatcher007]

4 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

you know it's boring when we are tracking a regular fall noreaster and rooting for an inch or two of rain.

Don’t worry. In a just a few short months we’ll be sitting in 40pg threads tracking a 1-3” clipper.

[OrangeCTWX]

12z EURO AI looks pretty much the same as the 6z did 

[Masswx]

1 hour ago, TheBudMan said:

 

@Masswxgetting ready to do PBP for the 12Z Euro instead of doing his in class sonnet assignment for English 101 

Exactly

[Masswx]

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

Phones should be banned in class..period. In every school.  You can check it when you’re passing between classes, at lunch, or in study hall. 

They are 

[WinterWolf]

7 minutes ago, Masswx said:

They are 

Great to hear!  

[MJO812]

Euro coming west

[Damage In Tolland]

Euro looks similar to 6z..slingshot west. Says Tblizz had better contact divorce attorney 

[WinterWolf]

47 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

you know it's boring when we are tracking a regular fall noreaster and rooting for an inch or two of rain.

This will be like the blizzard was in Feb.  On the Wednesday before the blizzard hit(which it hit on a Sunday, like this is likely going to), the storm was gone…folks wrote it off.  Then on Thursday afternoon it came back, and it went back to the big storm scenario like it was earlier that week.   This will do the same as far as the modeling goes. 

[CoastalWx]

Euro and Euro AI basically have the same idea...but it's nothing super impressive. However, makes me think the eastern solutions are probably going to correct west even if Euro and Ai correct east a bit.

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Euro coming west

It’s gonna be a significant storm for SNE.  Heavy rain and gusty winds- 25-40 inland.  45-60 at the coast.  There you go. 

[MJO812]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

It’s gonna be a significant storm for SNE.  Heavy rain and gusty winds- 25-40 inland.  45-60 at the coast.  There you go. 

 

[Modfan2]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro and Euro AI basically have the same idea...but it's nothing super impressive. However, makes me think the eastern solutions are probably going to correct west even if Euro and Ai correct east a bit.

Although we’re days away and it’s already pretty breezy out

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro and Euro AI basically have the same idea...but it's nothing super impressive. However, makes me think the eastern solutions are probably going to correct west even if Euro and Ai correct east a bit.

It may ramp up more over the next two days…that’s a distinct and plausible possibility. 

[CoastalWx]

Although GFS might be too far east, I don't know if those western solutions are realistic either. GFS and Euro seem to develop a vort related to convection and the solutions result in the differences we see. GFS has the convection further east. Also, could the Euro guidance be treating this as more warm core, and therefore be more prone to sling west with the environmental flow? Whereas something that is becoming more extratropical may want to move more to the N and NE where the better combo of warm air advection and positive vorticity is maximized. I'm just thinking out loud. 

[powderfreak]

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

Folks complain when there is no weather and complain when there is weather to talk about lol. 

It's almost as if every single weather phenomenon has to be extreme or bust. Everything is meh, meh, meh unless there are 20 tornadoes, trees get blown down all over, snow accumulations exceed 2 feet, winds gust above 60, or half the region is under water. 

This is the internet now.  Sports forums, weather, Reddit, doesn’t matter… everyone complaining about something .