February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!

[Snowciopathic Snow Bro]

37 minutes ago, bncho said:

where the genuine hell are you finding all of these storm types?

what's next, miller e, the cutter? 

Miller Lite - 0.0001" of snow

[Amped]

Gfs might be gearing up for a post 300hr becs

[bncho]

9 minutes ago, Amped said:

Gfs might be gearing up for a post 300hr becs

It's going to be supressed, and RIC/Bob Chill gets the brunt of it.

[Amped]

1 minute ago, bncho said:

It's going to be supressed, and RIC/Bob Chill gets the brunt of it.

That's a latent heat bomb across the Gulf and southeast states. It would 100% trend north if it were 120hrs out.

[bncho]

Congrats NC.

At least this storm shows the potential for Feb 11+

[Nomz]

19 minutes ago, Amped said:

Gfs might be gearing up for a post 300hr becs

north carolina come on down!

[psuhoffman]

Charlotte is not getting 46” of snow. And I don’t care what the gfs says for 72 hours let alone 300. 

[jayyy]

Congrats NC.
At least this storm shows the potential for Feb 11+

330 hour snow map is so unnecessary Potentials there and it’s 2 weeks out. All that matters atm

[bncho]

And then there's one last kick to the balls at the very end of the run. Maybe it'll climb up the coast. It's a normal GFS run, lol.

[Fozz]

In long range GFS world, North Carolina is the new Jay Peak.

[Amped]

And the second storm just misses Atlanta with the jackpot, otherwise it would be 2 20"+ storms in 72 hrs. Has to be one of the most entertaining fantasyland runs in years.

[psuhoffman]

Can we just start ignoring the op gfs?  Especially at lead times we shouldn’t be looking at any operational frankly. 

[Fozz]

5 minutes ago, Amped said:

And the second storm just misses Atlanta with the jackpot, otherwise it would be 2 20"+ storms in 72 hrs. Has to be one of the most entertaining fantasyland runs in years.

Let the GFS dream of giving the South what the real world gave us in February 2010.

[Amped]

Euro Ai gives us 0.25" of precip in the next 16 days. Arctic desert.

[jayyy]

Tuesday Night
A chance of snow after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday
A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 30. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Current point click for next week

[Steve25]

32 minutes ago, Amped said:

Euro Ai gives us 0.25" of precip in the next 16 days. Arctic desert.

It wasn’t far off from a couple systems swinging by, though. For whatever that’s worth. 
 

On another note, the regular Euro continues to be pretty unenthusiastic about any potential system next week

[Jebman]

1 hour ago, Fozz said:

In long range GFS world, North Carolina is the new Jay Peak.

Or the new Palisades Tahoe. Hey, they got mountains.

[TowsonWeather]

2 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

Charlotte is not getting 46” of snow. And I don’t care what the gfs says for 72 hours let alone 300. 

Atlanta getting 3 feet is 100% realistic, though.

[stormtracker]

6z ICON is about to do some damage to us.  Look at the H5 and surface

[mitchnick]

12 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

6z ICON is about to do some damage to us.  Look at the H5 and surface

It's a great model. Can't wait for everything else to ketchup. 

[Weather Junkie]

13 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

6z ICON is about to do some damage to us.  Look at the H5 and surface

ICANT the ICON

[mitchnick]

Surface maps of the 6z Gfs and 0z Euro show literally nothing. Lol

[TSSN+]

10 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Surface maps of the 6z Gfs and 0z Euro show literally nothing. Lol

Perfect 

[GreyHat]

15 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

It's a great model. Can't wait for everything else to ketchup. 

Maybe for the in land peeps, but not good for the coast. Especially with all that ice, the rain would have nowhere to go except people's basements. 

Got the whole weekend to see what happens. 

[stormtracker]

17 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

It's a great model. Can't wait for everything else to ketchup. 

It's in a league with the GFS.  That's not a complement.

[GreyHat]

Nws Baltimore put something out about it in their 5 a.m

 Hazardous outlook

There is a Slight winter storm threat from late Tuesday night into Wednesday. If this threat materializes, there may be travel disruptions.

[WxUSAF]

20 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Surface maps of the 6z Gfs and 0z Euro show literally nothing. Lol

Huh? 6z gfs has shittyfrontalpassage snow. Little swath of 1-3”. Then about a foot 6 days later and ends the run with a HECS for Houston TX lol.

[GreyHat]

If the long range GFS was to be correct, it also shows  HP 1054 coming down from Canada. That of course would push that system in the gulf OTS.

[mitchnick]

27 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Huh? 6z gfs has shittyfrontalpassage snow. Little swath of 1-3”. Then about a foot 6 days later and ends the run with a HECS for Houston TX lol.

I was comparing surface maps at 120hrs on 6z Icon and Gfs.

[BristowWx]

3 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

I was comparing surface maps at 120hrs on 6z Icon and Gfs.

ICON looks better to me.