Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27

[donsutherland1]

Latest QPF on the 1/21 0z NBM:

Boston: 0.38"
New York City: 0.54"
Philadelphia: 0.90"
Richmond: 2.00"
Washington, DC: 1.11"

 

[Rjay]

Just now, cleetussnow said:

Ban em all and let God sort em out.  

Maybe but not him!

[hooralph]

1 minute ago, Franklin0529 said:

All good brother!! Lfg an bring this bad boy home!!

[psv88]

34 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

https://x.com/webberweather/status/2013634552833425732

That’s from 10:30 am. Sorry man, I give people the benefit of the doubt. You’re clearly a troll now and should post somewhere else and get a life. 

[Prue11]

48 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

What a nasty ice storm setup stretching from TX to the Carolinas. Some of those maps, if they verified would be crippling. 

Give me plain rain or cold/dry over ZR any day 

Models overdo ZR and ice all the time but it’s definitely going to be substantial 

[WeatherGeek2025]

2 minutes ago, Prue11 said:

Models overdo ZR and ice all the time but it’s definitely going to be substantial 

hoping that ice just keeps trending more north so we get more snow!

[Prue11]

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

hoping that ice just keeps trending more north so we get more snow!

I’m sure we’ll go north then south and by Thursday everyone will throw in the towel and by Friday night we’re back to our wishful solution 

[donsutherland1]

Snowfall thresholds for select cities:

[Prue11]

It seems like most members on here aren’t too concerned about suppression where as all the weather discussions I’ve read many at concerned. What’s everyone’s reasoning?

[Stormlover74]

Just now, Prue11 said:

It seems like most members on here aren’t too concerned about suppression where as all the weather discussions I’ve read many at concerned. What’s everyone’s reasoning?

Of course its a concern but right now the gfs is most suppressed and still a decent hit (not counting 12z of course)

[hooralph]

1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

Of course its a concern but right now the gfs is most suppressed and still a decent hit (not counting 12z of course)

We've also seen this play before. Most all of our biggest storms were "south" at this point in the model runs. Not a guarantee it will come north, but it's kind of like having, say, Tom Brady or Patrick Mahomes down 5 entering the 4th quarter.

[Franklin0529]

13 minutes ago, Prue11 said:

It seems like most members on here aren’t too concerned about suppression where as all the weather discussions I’ve read many at concerned. What’s everyone’s reasoning?

Models tend to overdue the strength of HP. If it's weaker it'll come north like it's been trending. Get this to 0z Thursday an we'll be in business 

[SnoSki14]

Not a bad thing that we're north right now. If the Euro is correct with the phasing idea then we would be closer to the jackpot totals vs mid Atlantic 

[MJO812]

Alot of times these storms come in earlier than modeled so dont be shocked if we see snow Saturday night. 

[Jersey_Snowhole]

They are sending flights in 

[nightknights]

1 hour ago, jdj5211 said:

Take me back to January 23, 2016. I’d give $$$ to experience a storm like that again.


.

Not if you plowed snow.  Sold my plow after that season.  14hrs/2hr break/24 hrs/ 3hr break. Plowed for whole week on that one.   Picked up lots of new business because other plowers could not get to their customerd Windy as F plowed my way thru 5&6ft ft drifts getting truck stuck multiple times.  Keep wondering when it was going to stop

[Dan76]

8 minutes ago, nightknights said:

Not if you plowed snow.  Sold my plow after that season.  14hrs/2hr break/24 hrs/ 3hr break. Plowed for whole week on that one.   Picked up lots of new business because other plowers could not get to their customerd Windy as F plowed my way thru 5&6ft ft drifts getting truck stuck multiple times.  Keep wondering when it was going to stop

Same here snow was packed down from the wind got stuck more times than than ever.

[Brasiluvsnow]

1 hour ago, Franklin0529 said:

Can't wait to see some of the outrageous solutions the same gonna start pumping out Tommorow an Thursday 

welcome back lol 

[Nibor]

#Justice4FranklinNumbers

[WeatherGeek2025]

it's times like these that i don't mind going to work cause you know 12z runs is for tracking and than going home is 18z definitely making sure my phone is charged so i can track than i stay up late for the 0z runs and as soon as i wake up i check the 6z runs its a great hobby and its free

[jdj5211]

I’d like some old time 0z model play by play. I miss those old forum days. You can feel the tension and excitement with each posted panel. It’s north, it’s south, omg, bombs away, etc etc.


.

[Franklin0529]

Just now, jdj5211 said:

I’d like some old time 0z model play by play. I miss those old forum days. You can feel the tension and excitement with each posted panel. It’s north, it’s south, omg, bombs away, etc etc.


.

They do it down in the mid Atlantic forum

[NorthShoreWx]

2 hours ago, BoulderWX said:

Feel free to apply whatever ratio you think - I’m not debating anyone - just going with what has worked well for me over the last 20 years. many posters have given detailed explanations about several other factors that go into ratios, temperature is only one component. 

I've seen great soundings for ratios, temps well down in the 20s, and gotten 12" of snow on 1.5" liquid in high winds.  Mind you, the forecast soundings didn't verify perfectly, but the promise of high ratios was hollow.  I think it happens more here because this is a windier place in a nor'easter; at least it is windier just off the deck with winds off the sound.

[WeatherGeek2025]

1 minute ago, Franklin0529 said:

They do it down in the mid Atlantic forum

@yanksfan and @allsnow used to do it and tony. used to be fun what happen to @Juliancolton

[NJwx85]

Long range NAM looks good.

[TriPol]

Just now, NJwx85 said:

Long range NAM looks good.

If we dig any further, we'll truly bring Venezuela up here.

[NJwx85]

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

@yanksfan and @allsnow used to do it and tony. used to be fun what happen to @Juliancolton

I’m not a 20 year old kid anymore. I’m a 40 year old man with 3 kids and a full time job. Don’t have the time I once had. I’ll do my best to chip in on this one though since it’s got blockbuster written all over it.

[WeatherGeek2025]

2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

Long range NAM looks good.

there he is the old timer yanksfan

 

wheres allsnow and juliancolton