October Hybrid: 2025 Edition

[Snowedin]

Getting a few good gusts now but the rain hasn’t been too impressive so far. Hopefully more will fill in later. I bet it’s wild at the shore tonight!

[powderfreak]

Quite the orographic precip shield after that main band lifted north on models?

[SouthCoastMA]

2.83" total so far

[Hoth]

6 hours ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Wait.. as re you at the CT Shore?

I’m out on Fishers island for this one. It’s still wild out there. Gonna be a bumpy ferry ride back to the mainland today. That’s for damn sure. 

[kdxken]

1.31 inches total so far.

[HoarfrostHubb]

0.80 total here so far.   Meh

[metagraphica]

Some big, house creaking gusts. Power went out 10 minutes ago. Damage!

[BrianW]

13 minutes ago, metagraphica said:

Some big, house creaking gusts. Power went out 10 minutes ago. Damage!

Yeah. Woke up to no power and some damage here.

 

 

[BrianW]

36 minutes ago, Hoth said:

I’m out on Fishers island for this one. It’s still wild out there. Gonna be a bumpy ferry ride back to the mainland today. That’s for damn sure. 

They are running the ferry? Looks like Block Island is shut down today. 

[NSwx]

1 hour ago, SouthCoastMA said:

2.83" total so far

We could have used some of that up here in Nova Scotia, we haven’t had a good meaningful rain in months. The rivers and streams are all but dried up to nothing and the water supply is dwindling rapidly, it’s pretty dire honestly. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

51 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

0.80 total here so far.   Meh

I can't have much more than a 1/2"...maybe .60". All I can say is I'm glad it's October and not January. I would have lost it....just like winter, scooter telling me I'm all set, only to still wind up one of the lower totals.

[HoarfrostHubb]

The winds are fun though.  It’s been a while. 

[dendrite]

0.20” rain. Radar not looking promising. Breezy though with spotty -RADZ and some drier air working in aiding some evaporative cooling. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

There are execeptions.... but it's usually not a great sign when the precipitation struggles to get going...aside from a round of showers yesterday AM, it didn't really rain until mid-late evening. Obviously this is crude analysis because I don't dig in and forecast October rain events, but usually the "winners" get going with ease. January 7, 2024 was a great example of that...I got giddy when OES started up ahead of schedule during the day and that one did not dissapoint. Also works for changeover deals....Dec 1992 and March 2018....both instant crash-flips around mid night and off to the races. April 1997....late PM flip-bang. If you're squnting to see precip for hours on end or taking cat paws up the sphincter unlubed for several hours, you'd probably be best served to catch up on sleep and avoid dissapointment.

[SJonesWX]

0.3"  here 

[BrianW]

Been a pretty good rain event for Southern CT.

 

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, SJonesWX said:

0.3"  here 

It was already beginning to grow more banded when it got into our area, and especially your's. There was one good initial pulse, and then it lightened up and I knew. The good ones come in like a wall.

The rest of this storm will be banded crap.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Yeah.  Coastal CT, RI, and SE Mass would always be the winners in this type of setup. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

35 minutes ago, NSwx said:

We could have used some of that up here in Nova Scotia, we haven’t had a good meaningful rain in months. The rivers and streams are all but dried up to nothing and the water supply is dwindling rapidly, it’s pretty dire honestly. 

Don't worry, I'm sure there is another White Juan renactment this winter, on the heels of a primary through Buffalo that offers up a secondary appendage of false hope.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Yeah.  Coastal CT, RI, and SE Mass would always be the winners in this type of setup. 

Miller up the Ass.

[amarshall]

My weather station in Marstons mills only saying 1.17" . Kind of shocked

[dendrite]

It’s mostly terrain enhancement from this point on…EMATT, Monads/ORH hills, E slope of Berks. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It’s mostly terrain enhancement from this point on…SEMATT, Monads/ORH hills, E slope of Berks. 

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Boxing Day on Columbus Day.

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Boxing Day on Columbus Day.

I think it’ll pick up a little there in the coming hours. Nothing crazy, just a soggy appeal.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I think it’ll pick up a little there in the coming hours. Nothing crazy, just a soggy appeal.

Yea, it's going to be raining the majority of the day, but not going to add up to much outside of CJ land and the higher terrain. Very banded, and the bands will favor said areas.

[WinterWolf]

1.5” here so far…a good drink for sure. It would have been a good winter storm-nothing top tier, but solid for sure.  

[Ginx snewx]

1.39 spinning offshore? 

 

[Ginx snewx]

20 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It’s mostly terrain enhancement from this point on…EMATT, Monads/ORH hills, E slope of Berks. 

Convective Offshore stuff moving in now

[Ginx snewx]

9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

1.5” here so far…a good drink for sure. It would have been a good winter storm-nothing top tier, but solid for sure.  

You would be looking at 12 to 20 with 6 foot drifts. Would have been a keeper