Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

On 4/14/2023 at 9:49 PM, coastalplainsnowman said:

Being inside one year now for the April 8th solar eclipse, I'm thinking of looking to book a room someplace in western new york directly in the path.  I was wondering if anyone has thoughts on where might be a good town to visit?  Trying to find someplace that will have some decent hotels but enough off the beaten path that it won't be jam packed, and also on the southern edge of the track..  Any advice would be much appreciated!

Western NY is a tuff place for clouds. I would try to find an area that downslopes on a westerly flow.  

[Brian5671]

6 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Western NY is a tuff place for clouds. I would try to find an area that downslopes on a westerly flow.  

I'd head to Vermont honestly.    Anything close to the great lakes could have issues with clouds as you note

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

3 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

I'd head to Vermont honestly.    Anything close to the great lakes could have issues with clouds as you note

Exactly, honestly you would have the best chance on the west slopes of the greens on top of one of the ski resorts. This way if there is valley fog/clouds your above the inversion. If there is a storm on the east coast then obviously all bets are off.

I would stay mobile 

[coastalplainsnowman]

Hard to believe that on this day in 2020 our last snow sighting was still 16 days away.

[Stormlover74]

 

 

[donsutherland1]

Today was a historic day in Spain. A new national and European April record high temperature was set.

 

 

[snowman19]

Any bets on when Joe Bastardi starts the delusional ranting that this El Niño is really “west-based” or a “Modoki in disguise” and uses 57-58, 76-77, 02-03 and 09-10 as his “analogs”?

[Brian5671]

32 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

Any bets on when Joe Bastardi starts the delusional ranting that this El Niño is really “west-based” or a “Modoki in disguise” and uses 57-58, 76-77, 02-03 and 09-10 as his “analogs”?

 At least he's admitting that using analogs from colder eras is a non starter....

[etudiant]

9 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

Today was a historic day in Spain. A new national and European April record high temperature was set.

 

 

They are also in a multi year dry spell so their reservoirs are seriously depleted. This is supposed to be their rainy season, so they face a difficult summer.

[GaWx]

9 hours ago, snowman19 said:

Any bets on when Joe Bastardi starts the delusional ranting that this El Niño is really “west-based” or a “Modoki in disguise” and uses 57-58, 76-77, 02-03 and 09-10 as his “analogs”?

 I wouldn't bet against his using the strong 57-58 and 9-10 eventually, but we'll see. 

 Meanwhile, in his continuing fight against recognizing the scientifically proven existence of significant GW from AGW, he did put this out tonight (see Tweet below). He keeps insisting that oceans have warmed from the bottom up via geothermal input rather than from the top down via AGW. He's saying that the atmosphere is warming due to the oceans rather than the reverse meaning he's saying GW is mainly from increased underwater geothermal input. One thing he's failing to recognize is that excess sulfur emissions were likely hiding GW during the 1960s-1970s. Also, if I'm not mistaken, CO2 didn't accelerate markedly until after 1970:

 

[JTA66]

17 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

 At least he's admitting that using analogs from colder eras is a non starter....

Whoa...wait...WHAT?? You just made me spit coffee out my nose 

[donsutherland1]

9 hours ago, GaWx said:

 I wouldn't bet against his using the strong 57-58 and 9-10 eventually, but we'll see. 

 Meanwhile, in his continuing fight against recognizing the scientifically proven existence of significant GW from AGW, he did put this out tonight (see Tweet below). He keeps insisting that oceans have warmed from the bottom up via geothermal input rather than from the top down via AGW. He's saying that the atmosphere is warming due to the oceans rather than the reverse meaning he's saying GW is mainly from increased underwater geothermal input. One thing he's failing to recognize is that excess sulfur emissions were likely hiding GW during the 1960s-1970s. Also, if I'm not mistaken, CO2 didn't accelerate markedly until after 1970:

 

It’s sad. He either doesn’t know what the greenhouse effect is/the properties of greenhouse gases or he is deliberately posting misleading information.

[FPizz]

9 hours ago, GaWx said:

 I wouldn't bet against his using the strong 57-58 and 9-10 eventually, but we'll see. 

 Meanwhile, in his continuing fight against recognizing the scientifically proven existence of significant GW from AGW, he did put this out tonight (see Tweet below). He keeps insisting that oceans have warmed from the bottom up via geothermal input rather than from the top down via AGW. He's saying that the atmosphere is warming due to the oceans rather than the reverse meaning he's saying GW is mainly from increased underwater geothermal input. One thing he's failing to recognize is that excess sulfur emissions were likely hiding GW during the 1960s-1970s. Also, if I'm not mistaken, CO2 didn't accelerate markedly until after 1970:

 

There are a few papers that have this as their main conclusion, so he chooses to believe those over 1000s of others....  

[snowman19]

 I wouldn't bet against his using the strong 57-58 and 9-10 eventually, but we'll see. 

 Meanwhile, in his continuing fight against recognizing the scientifically proven existence of significant GW from AGW, he did put this out tonight (see Tweet below). He keeps insisting that oceans have warmed from the bottom up via geothermal input rather than from the top down via AGW. He's saying that the atmosphere is warming due to the oceans rather than the reverse meaning he's saying GW is mainly from increased underwater geothermal input. One thing he's failing to recognize is that excess sulfur emissions were likely hiding GW during the 1960s-1970s. Also, if I'm not mistaken, CO2 didn't accelerate markedly until after 1970:
 

There is absolutely no doubt in my mind whatsoever he will be using 57-58, 02-03, 09-10 and probably 76-77 as analogs, just like he does every year there is an El Niño. It’s mental illness

[Rjay]

1-8" and 2-10"

 

[GaWx]

19 hours ago, snowman19 said:

There is absolutely no doubt in my mind whatsoever he will be using 57-58, 02-03, 09-10 and probably 76-77 as analogs, just like he does every year there is an El Niño. It’s mental illness

https://www.weatherbell.com/video/the-saturday-summary-13214956?full

[Brian5671]

20 hours ago, Rjay said:

1-8" and 2-10"

 

haha got to love spring snow--8 inches on the grass inch of slop on the road

[Roger Smith]

Reminder to usual suspects to enter May temperature forecast contest in the general weather forum. Admirals also welcome.

[MJO812]

Wow so lucky 

[Nibor]

This has been such a wonderful spring thus far. AC has only come on 2 times. 

[gravitylover]

On 5/3/2023 at 6:20 PM, Nibor said:

This has been such a wonderful spring thus far. AC has only come on 2 times. 

Yeah but the heat is still on. Yuck. You can keep it. 

[Nibor]

3 hours ago, gravitylover said:

Yeah but the heat is still on. Yuck. You can keep it. 

Bruh how weak are you that your heat has been on?

[gravitylover]

With overnight temps in the 40s it's kind of necessary, even 50s makes this fat old old body achy. 

[rclab]

1 hour ago, gravitylover said:

With overnight temps in the 40s it's kind of necessary, even 50s makes this fat old old body achy. 

Good morning gravity. If you can still feel the aches and tell the tale, you’re doing fine. Stay well, as always …..

[Nibor]

17 hours ago, gravitylover said:

With overnight temps in the 40s it's kind of necessary, even 50s makes this fat old old body achy. 

And people say the younger generations are weak. 
 

No hate friend 

[IrishRob17]

23 hours ago, Nibor said:

Bruh how weak are you that your heat has been on?

Says the guy who ran his AC already...

[Nibor]

3 hours ago, IrishRob17 said:

Says the guy who ran his AC already...

Y’all don’t wanna smell my sweat. 

[Volcanic Winter]

On 5/6/2023 at 7:46 AM, IrishRob17 said:

Says the guy who ran his AC already...

My AC’s been on since March .
 

… I do have severe allergic rhinitis though, I can’t open the windows or my nasal passages turn to a cement brick. 

[Stormlover74]

 

 

[Pellice]

Yesterday, May 13, was NJ's World Series of Birding, held annually on the second Saturday in May (and now part of a larger "Big Day" of birding observed globally.  It was the 40th anniversary of the event, which was begun around the peak of spring bird migration and involves counting every species seen.  The total in NJ routinely goes over 200 species.

As you can imagine, the event is HEAVILY influenced by weather, and yesterday saw the first good weather system in five years.  (2020 saw snow in some areas!)  Ideal is overnight southwesterly winds, since most songbirds migrate at night, with a light rain shower right at dawn to bring them down.  Warm fronts from the southwest in spring have been very scarce these last years, but this stretch around May 5 has produced in northern Jersey!  And more migration weather to come this week!