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Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?


Typhoon Tip
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Granted NAM, but I don't like seeing that as the energy is getting sampled. 

Just catching up to 0z stuff

Yeah agree I’d dismiss NAM in a heartbeat at this time range especially vs EPS, but can’t rule out that this is reflecting better sampling of a weaker shortwave. The differences were apparent already when it was up in the Pacific Northwest.

Still too early to nail the coffin.
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Just now, wxsniss said:


Just catching up to 0z stuff

Yeah agree I’d dismiss NAM in a heartbeat at this time range especially vs EPS, but can’t rule out that this is reflecting better sampling of a weaker shortwave. The differences were apparent already when it was up in the Pacific Northwest.

Still too early to nail the coffin.

There are a lot of nice EPS members to the west... but there are plenty pretty far south and east like what the NAM is showing. Seems like the NAM is well within the reasonable range of solutions. 

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  • Typhoon Tip changed the title to Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?
  • dendrite unpinned this topic

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