Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[WinterWolf]

17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Glad I went to bed early last night…I just got caught up reading like 3 pages melting down about the 00z NAM. Some of you need to go back to spring training…lol. 
 

Luke wins the prize for best prediction by saying the the 06z NAM would come in zonked. 
 

Looking at other guidance, I really like the strength of the shortwave. The 06z suite is coming in strong with it. Hopefully euro follows in a bit. 

Some folks are just insufferable with every single run..Flip Flop, Flip Flop!  It’s unreadable.  Ruins the forum. Ya Hate to see it!  

[Damage In Tolland]

31 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Glad I went to bed early last night…I just got caught up reading like 3 pages melting down about the 00z NAM. Some of you need to go back to spring training…lol. 
 

Luke wins the prize for best prediction by saying the the 06z NAM would come in zonked. 
 

Looking at other guidance, I really like the strength of the shortwave. The 06z suite is coming in strong with it. Hopefully euro follows in a bit. 

There’s a reason to go to bed by 9:00. No reason to do what they did last night. 4-8” for all of SNE. Straightforward 

[JC-CT]

51 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Looking at other guidance, I really like the strength of the shortwave. The 06z suite is coming in strong with it. Hopefully euro follows in a bit. 

it's coming in hot

[JC-CT]

can we get one or two more improvements like that?

[CoastalWx]

Euro with a nudge west. 

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro with a nudge west. 

would lend decent support to the KTOL model

[WinterWolf]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro with a nudge west. 

As you thought. 

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

would lend decent support to the KTOL model

It’s steadfastly on point 

[Hoth]

4 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

would lend decent support to the KTOL model

I heard that model recently updated to deploy an Interpolated Precipitation Analysis Scheme (IPAS).

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

As you thought. 

We shall see, but in a sick way, part of me hopes Tblizz has ptype issues so I can rub my westward moving ass in his face.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Hoth said:

I heard that model recently updated to deploy an Interpolated Precipitation Analysis Scheme (IPAS).

Soon to be Dual Interpolated Precipitation Analysis Scheme (DIPAS)

[dryslot]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Glad I went to bed early last night…I just got caught up reading like 3 pages melting down about the 00z NAM. Some of you need to go back to spring training…lol. 
 

Luke wins the prize for best prediction by saying the the 06z NAM would come in zonked. 
 

Looking at other guidance, I really like the strength of the shortwave. The 06z suite is coming in strong with it. Hopefully euro follows in a bit. 

We tried to tell them.

[dryslot]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

We shall see, but in a sick way, part of me hopes Tblizz has ptype issues so I can rub my westward moving ass in his face.

I'm hoping he does too, But for other reasons.

[JC-CT]

Waiting for Ryan to come in and tell us that snow growth looks like shit on the soundings or something lol

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

Waiting for Ryan to come in and tell us that snow growth looks like shit on the soundings or something lol

Yea. Him or Wizzy usually are buzzkills with it. Whatever, at this point, I’ll take snow grains…just cover the landscape. 

[Ginx snewx]

7 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Waiting for Ryan to come in and tell us that snow growth looks like shit on the soundings or something lol

Not happening James, actually looks unstable as well. Euro nice move west. Tick tick

[JC-CT]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Not happening James, actually looks unstable as well. Euro nice move west. Tick tick

Ha I know, I saw his twet

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

Ha I know, I saw his twet

I didn't see it

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Ha I know, I saw his twet

Epic ice issues in Western CT. Rt 14 6 66 were fine this morning though.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Epic ice issues in Western CT. Rt 14 6 66 were fine this morning though.

Absolutely horrible temps 27-31 out all highways are a stand still from here to NYC. Accidents everywhere schools starting to close.

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Epic ice issues in Western CT. Rt 14 6 66 were fine this morning though.

Yeah some of the models really hammered the FZ rain, not good

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Absolute horrible temps 27-31 out all highways are a stand still from here to NYC

Merritt, 84, 95 closed in some spots, a disaster. Commuting ftl.

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Absolutely horrible temps 27-31 out all highways are a stand still from here to NYC. Accidents everywhere schools starting to close.

Mets and People concentrate on big snowstorms but it's these minor icing events that are the disasters up here

[Ginx snewx]

7 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Ha I know, I saw his twet

Just looked oh yea that instability has a Maul look. We dump?

[dryslot]

That low track on the models proves my point to PF yesterday, Would like to see more ridging out ahead of this but today's POS is compressing the flow some aloft and squeezing the track ENE a bit as it gains lat as well as the low being further offshore in the Carolinas before it tracks NNE, Still plenty of time, Subtle changes, Makes some big differences with the eventual outcome.

[Baroclinic Zone]

It's 7:30am.  Let's begin our counseling session.

Tell me what you were feeling after you saw the 00z NAM last night?  Were you feeling hatred, dejection, fear, panic?  

[ORH_wxman]

Nice tick west on 06z euro. The shortwave definitely has been looking nice on the 06z runs. Hopefully that Carries into the 12z suite. 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

It's 7:30am.  Let's begin our counseling session.

Tell me what you were feeling after you saw the 00z NAM last night?  Were you feeling hatred, dejection, fear, panic?  

LOL. I feel like we need a therapy thread…

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Nice tickles west at 6z . Let’s keep this going 

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

It's 7:30am.  Let's begin our counseling session.

Tell me what you were feeling after you saw the 00z NAM last night?  Were you feeling hatred, dejection, fear, panic?  

Felt the same  I did when I saw your post. Absolutely nothing but meh.