Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    16,988
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Dankles
    Newest Member
    Dankles
    Joined

Hurricane Ida's Remnants


SnowenOutThere
 Share

Recommended Posts

Mt. Holly still bullish:

 

Morning Update...

We are entering a general lull period for most of the region.
Morning convection, some of which became strong to severe along the
warm front, has moved offshore. Steady rain continues across the
north, but precip rates will remain manageable through this morning.
Overall, there is not much change to the forecast. Did tweak the
PoPs a bit to capture more of a lull in southern areas this morning
and early afternoon. With the way this system has wrapped up, we`re
likely in for several hours of mostly dry weather along and
southeast of the I-95 corridor. But with time, rain will fill back
in. The severe weather potential for later today also appears very
much on track. The warm front is clearly evident, and shear and
forcing will be strong in its vicinity later today. In addition,
we`re even seeing some breaks of sun across the far south and may
see more into early afternoon, which will only serve to increase
instability. All in all, still looking like a high impact event.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, donyewest said:

@WxUSAF Don't worry but work quickly: I got water, 0.25~0.50", across half my finished basement last week from a thunderstorm dumping 2.5-3" in ~2hrs via a basement window well.  I freaked out and worked through the night to get the water up, started a dehumidifier, and then grabbed 2 smaller ones on sale.  Been running them all and RH is 35%; the water didn't even reach the drywall, it was absorbed by the 2x4 frames.  As long as it isn't reoccurring or consistently moist down there then you should be fine (3x coats of moisture barrier on the walls here in soggy wstrn PA).

Also bought an automatic pump from Harbor Freight should anything close to that try to happen again.

Thanks for the feedback. We didn’t even have anywhere near that much. Just a damp spot in the corner and then a small “puddle” next to that less than 0.1” deep. 
 

I always run a dehumidifier back there and I have a fan blowing on that area as well.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

45 minutes ago, paxpatriot said:

Washington County and Frederick County also holding out, it seems. Given that all of the neighbors to the north, west, and east are either cancelled or releasing early, I'm a little surprised.

As a Frederick Co resident, I am not surprised. 
And you are really getting it up there. Northern Fred Co is pick up too. I am right on the development line on the southern edge. Keep getting random downpours for about a min at a time. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Ian over on Twitter is also debbing the threat a bit (saying it may be shifted NE of us). I get these opinions - though at the same time mesoanalysis DOES show 500-1000 MLCAPE in the area. That should be enough to sustain some sort of threat. Sure - best may be NE of us - but I'm not ready to deb at all yet. Breaks in the clouds are close enough to many of us as well. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It's also worth noting that Philly is under cloud cover right now as well. Ultimately, they will have more time before storms get to them (perhaps more aligned with peak heating) - nonetheless, I'd still be on guard east of a line running from roughly Frederick, MD down to LWX to Fredericksburg. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, paxpatriot said:

By far the heaviest rain of the day in Hagerstown. Really coming down now.

Yeah, it looked like we were going to hit a lull but it has really blown up now right almost at the MD/WV border.  Not sure if that will continue to back build or not. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

Ian over on Twitter is also debbing the threat a bit (saying it may be shifted NE of us). I get these opinions - though at the same time mesoanalysis DOES show 500-1000 MLCAPE in the area. That should be enough to sustain some sort of threat. Sure - best may be NE of us - but I'm not ready to deb at all yet. Breaks in the clouds are close enough to many of us as well. 

Sun is out just east of DC in Riverdale.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

DCA now 81/73 with a southeast wind.    BWI is 79/75 with an east wind.      We may not get the 2000 CAPE values that some guidance was showing yesterday, but it certainly seems like sufficient instability will be in place, at least along and east of the I-95 corridor.

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, mappy said:

Glad to see schools being proactive. Even if the severe threat doesn't pan out as end of the world stuff, the rains will be problematic enough. 

       Spot on.      At the least, they'd have to be sending kids home in torrential rain if they didn't alter the dismissal time.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, high risk said:

DCA now 81/73 with a southeast wind.    BWI is 79/75 with an east wind.      We may not get the 2000 CAPE values that some guidance was showing yesterday, but it certainly seems like sufficient instability will be in place, at least along and east of the I-95 corridor.

still NE/E wind up here too. Been pouring for a bit though. Over 1" for the day

Link to comment
Share on other sites

28 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

Ian over on Twitter is also debbing the threat a bit (saying it may be shifted NE of us). I get these opinions - though at the same time mesoanalysis DOES show 500-1000 MLCAPE in the area. That should be enough to sustain some sort of threat. Sure - best may be NE of us - but I'm not ready to deb at all yet. Breaks in the clouds are close enough to many of us as well. 

Would be just like us to miss the rain totals north and severe northeast...lol Still just cloudy here

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • WxUSAF unpinned this topic

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...