
chris21
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Late Jan/Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 7 and beyond)
chris21 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
They’ve always got some point to prove -
All snow in NW, 32/27
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32.8/26 and all sleet in NW DC
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Most showed it starting as rain and changing to snow after an hour or two. Pretty rough analysis in here so far.
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39/19 in NW
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January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
chris21 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Still pretty meh, but honestly a fair amount better than two weeks ago. If there is a month where that type of cold will work it’s February. Hate to be that guy... it will snow again... -
Only 36 for a high so far in NW DC.
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January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
chris21 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
I’d also think that traditionally, with a low as strong as the GFS is depicting moving across southern Virginia it would create a larger shield of snow on the north side. -
We had a terrible one in Jan 99’. At least 1/2 inch of ice.
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We have def had ice storms in NW over the past 15 years. It was more than 15 years ago, but there was a huge one in 99’.
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January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
chris21 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Not sure we can make any definitive statements on this one yet... the models have been struggling mightily in this pattern. It’s been really tough to even search for trends... every time it seems there is one, the models shift the next suite. I’d keep an open mind... -
Truth right there
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January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
chris21 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
It’s snow, just not that much... -
Looks like an ice situation south of 1-70
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2m temps are scorched on the NAM.