chris21

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  1. Actually snowed 5-6 inches on the bay in Ridge, MD mid April in 2006 or 2007. Crazy intense nighttime snow squalls. Melted from the ground up!
  2. I know it's incredibly rare but 3/29/84 is a good example of a late season anafrontal snow.
  3. chris21

    Monday Snow event

    The ole’ Chincoteague late March jackpot.
  4. Sounds good to me also! Heading to Canaan valley for a long weekend 5-8th hoping for some upslope. After that... fishing season is on!! Also the season for hanging out on the patio with some cold ones and 73-74 dead on the stereo.
  5. Wow... the gefs is kind of on an island with regard to next weekend then. Looks quite colder than normal across guidance unless I’m missing something.
  6. Is the circus in town?
  7. Lol at the extreme synoptic differences between the gfs and para and cmc after day 4. Just for posterity... the cmc and the 00z ec are very close synoptically with the para in that camp as well. What’s 30 degrees and a couple inches of qpf between friends anyway. CMC with a completely different solution as well bringing cold and snow showers next weekend.
  8. As an avid fisherman... It’s honestly kind of brutal until the bay warms up to around 65. Last year, even down in Lusby, east flow caused temps in the mid 50s and drizzle on Memorial Day weekend.
  9. Para actually looks a lot closer to the Euro at 6z. Interesting to see such a crazy divergence between the American models going forward.
  10. I’ve been on the bay during some nasty storms... you no doubt prevented a bad situation... having experienced the 2012 derecho, a small boat in open water in the bay most likely would have capsized very quickly in 70-80 mph straight line winds.
  11. Absolutely dumping in Canaan per the white grass webcams. From a brief analysis of the data on Canaan snow, the 23 inch snowpack there appears to have a remarkable liquid equivalent (over 8 inches of qpf has fallen as snow with little melting for the past two months).
  12. Legit light-mid snow in nw dc. 32/24. Sticking on all exposed surfaces.
  13. Same. Shad should be running in three-four weeks even if it’s cold.
  14. I’ll say this... I have a snowboarding trip to Canaan on March 4-7th.... not too worried about it being wintery. Look at the 12z models. Being a resident of dc for 30 years... spring doesn’t come cheap.
  15. Lol... que the 12z runs gfs/para and a persistent east coast trough with a building -NAO. Wouldn’t bet against March blocking this year given the seasonal trends (really going back to last fall).