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2/19-20 Winter Storm Observations


nj2va

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7 minutes ago, ers-wxman1 said:

Is that right?

Whomever made the forecasts at LWX looks to be spot on, though many of the experts here said the forecast was too bullish. They've been very good all winter IMBY. I don't know if you work there or what (I'm not into the whole forum clique that knows everyone in-person) so maybe your response was some kind of inside joke?

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9 minutes ago, Mdecoy said:

I actually think lack of precip here and not temperatures will be what keeps totals lower. Looks to shut off out to the west long before temps are an issue.

Guidance generally all had less precip for eastern areas during the cold part of the event. Another reason I was not at all enthused about this. And ofc the model snowfall maps were completely awful.

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2 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said:

If we can score one more event I’ll be thinking B+ or A-.

I'm perfectly fine with three 4-6 inch events during winter. Of course, a 12-inch storm/blizzard is icing on the cake. This winter has been okay when not bogged down in model forecasting. Not the best, but okay. 

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Just now, adelphi_sky said:

I'm perfectly fine with three 4-6 inch events during winter. Of course, a 12-inch storm/blizzard is icing on the cake. This winter has been okay when not bogged down in model forecasting. Not the best, but okay. 

The 10 inch plus storm with no mixing immediately got me to B-.  The couple of other little events, arctic air, and this get me to B maybe even a B+ the more I think about it. 

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6 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:

Whomever made the forecasts at LWX looks to be spot on, though many of the experts here said the forecast was too bullish. They've been very good all winter IMBY. I don't know if you work there or what (I'm not into the whole forum clique that knows everyone in-person) so maybe your response was some kind of inside joke?

No inside joke here. 

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