BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 First flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Question—do we think this still has further upside potential? Trends obviously been great today, but are we done? I keep getting this feeling some further surprises may come to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, mosi76 said: Can't it tho? I mean it is the NAM. I have faith that the NAM is gonna NAM No man can predict what the NAM will do. It obeys no one or no law. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: If the 18z nam shows equal or greater than 12z I will make Ji an admin for 30 minutes. I am not sure if he would notice. He is too busy drooling over in the medium/long term thread about the next storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 With this snow falling this early already, I wouldn't be surprised if 18z runs show a rather decent uptick in QPF totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2019 Author Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, Scraff said: Question—do we think this still has further upside potential? Trends obviously been great today, but are we done? I keep getting this feeling some further surprises may come to fruition. It's tricky. I'm a little skeptical of the euro qpf output for the trailing energy as it is. A range if 4-10" is already a significant event for what transpires in the upper levels. This isn't a classic miller A at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Warnings up for Howard Montgomery Baltimore and points WSW for 4-8”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 I realize that the 12z parent NAM got everyone's attention, but it's a common rule that when the NAM parent and nest differ significantly, and the nest is line with other guidance, it shouldn't take anyone more than a half second to toss the parent NAM solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Flurries here or very very light snow falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Alright, legit light snow in Charlottesville starting. Took about an hour for returns to almost seem correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Can we trend last minute? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 29 minutes ago, Interstate said: The QPF keeps moving up but hits the Balt City Brick wall Is it wrong for me to be just a tiny bit annoyed at that? Lol Then again...my happy number may be 5-6 on this one...so, if the city is now in warning criteria...we oughta have a chance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 -SN...33/27...where is Wonderdog? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: It's tricky. I'm a little skeptical of the euro qpf output for the trailing energy as it is. A range if 4-10" is already a significant event for what transpires in the upper levels. This isn't a classic miller A at all. It should be an interesting 18z, but really it’s probably time to just watch it unfold and enjoy it all. Can’t wait for a hopeful Cowboys victory / Jebwalk in the snow late tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 The flakes are tiny and slow, but they are a-fallin’ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Paq Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 13 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: 1.5 deg tilt DBZ's are sneaking across the bay. Expecting flurries soon. Still rocking the 9 degree dews here in Easton... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 31/19 Very light snow now in Herndon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 4 minutes ago, high risk said: I realize that the 12z parent NAM got everyone's attention, but it's a common rule that when the NAM parent and nest differ significantly, and the nest is line with other guidance, it shouldn't take anyone more than a half second to toss the parent NAM solution. What about the 12z WRF-NMM? This is based off the parent NAM correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Flakes south of Waldorf now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Down to flurries here now......bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 If the 18z nam shows equal or greater than 12z I will make Ji an admin for 30 minutes. If the nam cant be right after the storm starts.....when can it be right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Power Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Snowing in Reston VA. 33F. For anyone interested, I'm streaming my view for this storm: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 And it begins! Light snow just started Temp 35 Dp 18 fort Hunt, va Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 5 minutes ago, Scraff said: It should be an interesting 18z, but really it’s probably time to just watch it unfold and enjoy it all. Can’t wait for a hopeful Cowboys victory / Jebwalk in the snow late tonight. Yeah I'm really looking forward to a Ravens victory myself. Oh wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 9 minutes ago, jayyy said: Warnings up for Howard Montgomery Baltimore and points WSW for 4-8”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 NWS ups DC to 8 to 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigjohndc Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Flurries in Silver Spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJ3 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just started in McLean. That escalated quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArlingtonWX Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Flakes in North Arlington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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