dendrite Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: Hopefully we can get that south for the south of Pike crowd... there's plenty of snow up north of NNE so even a 75 mile shift south wouldn't really matter, not a sharp northern gradient so no smoking cirrus fears unless it's like 150-200 miles south. Stop trying to give away my snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: BHB FTW. Yeah the low nukes out. Honestly, with that H5 look I bet it would nuke sooner in reality. Obviously this is devils advocate though since we are 5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: No avoiding that one so hopefully it's all snow...looking good for that right now. Like the direction this is coming from, Kind of a better version of today actually, Pretty well cross haired at this point, Looks like we hold on to all snow so far, The only real question that needs to be answered is how much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: Stop trying to give away my snow. lol move the Pittsburg, NH snow down to you and it's the same amount . We've got some decent wiggle room right now if you put 6"+ as the end goal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah the low nukes out. Honestly, with that H5 look I bet it would nuke sooner in reality. Obviously this is devils advocate though since we are 5 days out. If I could get an advisory snow that wouldn't melt hours later...I'd hit it and run. Don't need a foot. Just a blanket of white for a few days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2019 Author Share Posted January 3, 2019 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: We don't toss. And there's a bunch of ice in there too south of the heavy snow. Painful gradient just north of here, but plenty of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Not to get picky this far out with details, but that would have a mean CF too. Ray salivating. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2019 Author Share Posted January 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah the low nukes out. Honestly, with that H5 look I bet it would nuke sooner in reality. Obviously this is devils advocate though since we are 5 days out. I'm near two edges...better dynamics to northeast as it goes to town, and more snow just to the north in colder profiles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Crippling icestorm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2019 Author Share Posted January 3, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Not to get picky this far out with details, but that would have a mean CF too. Ray salivating. Yea...maybe just east of me....Dascomb rd divider Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 28 minutes ago, weathafella said: January 2007 the cherry blossoms on the hill by the Brighton Marine Hospital were I full bloom. February and March were frigid. Nov. 1-Jan. 13 at my place ran 6° AN with 11.0" of snow. From then thru the Patriots' Day storm it was -5° with 84.3" snow. Ironically, the previous "winter" was just the opposite, for snow anyway, with 45.0" by Jan. 31 and all of 7.8" thereafter. 2nd lowest for snow and at the bottom for SDDs. (Hard to believe any winter parameter was worse than in 2015-16.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm near two edges...better dynamics to northeast as it goes to town, and more snow just to the north in colder profiles. If this was like 36 hours out on that look i would be hedging higher amounts for you and probably a lot of SNE given that synoptic look. You would probably take forever to mix with sleet or never change at all. But who knows what this will look like in 2 days. All it takes a little weaker 50/50 or some other nuance and we're talking a non-event or nuisance event washed away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: BHB FTW. Cadillac Crusher Thundah Hole Thumpah 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2019 Author Share Posted January 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: If this was like 36 hours out on that look i would be hedging higher amounts for you and probably a lot of SNE given that synoptic look. You would probably take forever to mix with sleet or never change at all. But who knows what this will look like in 2 days. All it takes a little weaker 50/50 or some other nuance and we're talking a non-event or nuisance event washed away. Agree. I think we'll finally catch a break here....getting close to go-time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 1 minute ago, MaineJayhawk said: Cadillac Crusher Thundah Hole Thumpah S+ and lobster rolls. All FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Thunder hole conjures other than wintry precipitation images for me.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 10 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: Cadillac Crusher Thundah Hole Thumpah Lobsternado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Yeah so this run has a lot of mechanical power along the 45th to 50th parallels, with a bit of an unusually "left alone" underneath look in the southern regions. Euro with warm 850s ubiquitous S...while neutral-negative undulating within a progressive pattern along the Can/U.S. border. But I like the D5 --> 6 staying open at least...and then if/when there's closure the associated surface cyclone(s) remain weakly cohesive. This runs seems to nuder the ability to generate a deep surface system ...probably owing to the fact that the flow is really not very compressible S /SE ...keeping any surface reflection from maximizing via curvature feed backs. How about the raging sou'easta late in the frames? huh - yeah... just zactly what is deserved - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 38 minutes ago, powderfreak said: lol move the Pittsburg, NH snow down to you and it's the same amount . We've got some decent wiggle room right now if you put 6"+ as the end goal. No thanks. I always prefer to be closer to the mix line in these things near the better isentropic lift. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Maybe the turkeys know something we don't . . . heading for higher ground! 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: No thanks. I always prefer to be closer to the mix line in these things near the better isentropic lift. I want what he wants. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: Why is that a melt down? Taking culpability isn't a melt down ... it's responsibility - Tip do you have Weatherbell?? Did you see his video today??? If you did...You'd know what I mean. It was a Melt. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 I dont want to cry Don't want to cry Nothing in the world can get the Pac to where it needs to be Though I've given the METS deep winter forecasts my heart and sole I must find a way of letting go Cause everyone, I don't want to cry... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 EPS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2019 Author Share Posted January 3, 2019 Nice look on EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: EPS Let's shift that about 100 miles or more south please.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Let's shift that about 100 miles or more south please.... Agreed 1 is not going to cut it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Let's shift that about 100 miles or more south please.... I’ll take 2” out of desperation but 6” would be a lot better lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 would anyone have a clue why CPC stopped updating their stratosphere-troposphere monitoring web page three days ago? they were in operation for all the other days of this gov appropriations thing so not sure that's why here. It's kind of annoying - Oh, duh - never mind. Maybe cuz it's January you dumb asshole Mm, yeah..that doesn't seem to be it either though. Seems their off - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: would anyone have a clue why CPC stopped updating their stratosphere-troposphere monitoring web page three days ago? they were in operation for all the other days of this gov appropriations thing so not sure that's why here. It's kind of annoying - I heard Joe Ciofi talk about this on his youtube video - I think different agencies had funding last different amounts of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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