Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 27 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Gotta love referring to the evolution of winter in the past tense 3 days into January. To each their own. GFS looks like dog shit where I live, for the foreseeable future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: They had 1-2” down to almost the s Coast of NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: They had 1-2” down to almost the s Coast It was a POS system that most guidance barely had 0.1" QPF. I could care less about missing that. Enjoy the 40s...both temps and age. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: They had 1-2” down to almost the s Coast Not for 2 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Enjoy the 40s...both temps and age. Beer too? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: They had 1-2” down to almost the s Coast LOL - they did? Which model are you looking at? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: To each their own. GFS looks like dog shit where I live, for the foreseeable future. if it keeps on raining leeves gonna break. Cryin' won't help you, prayin' won't do you no good, Now, cryin' won't help you, prayin' won't do you no good, When the levee breaks, Grandpa, you got to move. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Beer too? Wizzy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Lol Bastardi just Melted on Weatherbell. Says if the pattern doesn't start to change in about two weeks....he says his forecast is a Huge bust and Wrong. Guy went off on how everything is lining up...but modeling just continues to get worse. Oh the Irony!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It was a POS system that most guidance barely had 0.1" QPF. I could care less about missing that. Enjoy the 40s...both temps and age. Couldn’t care less is the proper English.. not could Enjoy the lesson.. both here and text 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, Hambone said: This just popped up on facebook... https://www.axios.com/polar-vortex-is-about-to-split-up-5c2e7460-67fb-49da-b73a-079ffbe205b9.html Isn't this what DT was talking about a week or two ago? The video he made was interesting......40/70 or ORH posted it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Couldn’t care less is the proper English.. not could Enjoy the lesson.. both here and text Thanks Webster. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Could really use another scooter or denty poem/play on lyrics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: LOL - they did? Which model are you looking at? Nobody every knows the answer to that question. I got a dusting this morning though...so I think they were right for my area. I didn't expect even that to be honest. But it was white this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Just now, WinterWolf said: Nobody every knows the answer to that question. I got a dusting this morning though...so I think they were right for my area. I didn't expect even that to be honest. But it was white this morning. 48 hours ago some models were a bit more bullish but that was definitely gone prior to the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 4 minutes ago, ice1972 said: Isn't this what DT was talking about a week or two ago? The video he made was interesting......40/70 or ORH posted it.... Sometimes what happens at 10mb stays at 10mb. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Come on baby, don’t fear the ratter come on baby , don’t fear the pig well be able to fly, don’t fear the cutter baby I’m your PAC jet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Come on baby, don’t fear the ratter come on baby , don’t fear the pig well be able to fly, don’t fear the cutter baby I’m your PAC jet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 16 minutes ago, weathafella said: I thought the guidance was on for that event. It was, Euro was steadfast on it, Nam and GFS waffled a few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 10 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol Bastardi just Melted on Weatherbell. Says if the pattern doesn't start to change in about two weeks....he says his forecast is a Huge bust and Wrong. Guy went off on how everything is lining up...but modeling just continues to get worse. Oh the Irony!! Him and a lot of others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2019 Author Share Posted January 3, 2019 36 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 2015 is the most recent example but there's a pretty long history of weak/moderate El Niño's with big time second halves. Obviously '15 is the extreme scenario but using Boston as a reference, 2003 also had over 50" after 1/20, so did 1969, 1978, and 2005. That's a big number for BOS and they all happened in weak or mod El Niño's. Even most of the weak/mod Ninos that failed to have monster second halves had drastic pattern changes for the better but they just weren't able to produce big snow with them. 1969 is a very good ENSO analog. That season was a one month wonder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Some on here are really shook, And i mean really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 33 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well FWIW, the GEFS made impressive changes on the good side in the PNA region through AK. you could actually suspect so just by looking how it modulated the flow across the conus - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: Some on here are really shook, And i mean really. Just like the models are. They're reeling like the PV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2019 Author Share Posted January 3, 2019 11 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol Bastardi just Melted on Weatherbell. Says if the pattern doesn't start to change in about two weeks....he says his forecast is a Huge bust and Wrong. Guy went off on how everything is lining up...but modeling just continues to get worse. Oh the Irony!! I think worst case is it waits until Feb to get going, but I can't fathom a wall to wall rat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol Bastardi just Melted on Weatherbell. Says if the pattern doesn't start to change in about two weeks....he says his forecast is a Huge bust and Wrong. Guy went off on how everything is lining up...but modeling just continues to get worse. Oh the Irony!! I just went and filled two more gas cans when i heard this earlier. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 The PV even down to 150mb (the lowest level) on the stratosphere diagnostics page is mangled on the euro. I'd be surprised if we have no trophospheric response. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 15 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol Bastardi just Melted on Weatherbell. Says if the pattern doesn't start to change in about two weeks....he says his forecast is a Huge bust and Wrong. Guy went off on how everything is lining up...but modeling just continues to get worse. Oh the Irony!! Why is that a melt down? Taking culpability isn't a melt down ... it's responsibility - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Well, as much as this has blown since November, it doesn't compare to the soul-rending horror that was January '13. That continuous, unyielding, relentless suckage on the back of the worst winter in Boston's history had even the coolest customers swinging from the Tobin. I am not ready to wave the white flag on this winter yet. That said, if we hit Feb 1 and I still haven't cleared 10" on the season, I'm all in favor of a March '12 style torch in which to ride off into the dewy, nape-tanning sunset. Hell, I've already got bees coming out of hibernation and daffodils starting to poke through the leaves in my garden. Might as well add a few girls in sundresses to the mix. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 4 minutes ago, Hoth said: Well, as much as this has blown since November, it doesn't compare to the soul-rending horror that was January '13. That continuous, unyielding, relentless suckage on the back of the worst winter in Boston's history had even the coolest customers swinging from the Tobin. I am not ready to wave the white flag on this winter yet. That said, if we hit Feb 1 and I still haven't cleared 10" on the season, I'm all in favor of a March '12 style torch in which to ride off into the dewy, nape-tanning sunset. Hell, I've already got bees coming out of hibernation and daffodils starting to poke through the leaves in my garden. Might as well add a few girls in sundresses to the mix. Which is utopia compared to 1995 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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