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March 2-4th ... first -NAO anchored storm perhaps in years


Typhoon Tip

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Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

with this thing all rain ... how would people grade the winter thus far - 

A+...freezing cold and snowy December and January, Christmas day snow, a 12''+ blizzard, and then a beautiful transition to spring. Perfect. 

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18 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Heading west to catskills from ASH

Any weenies wanna go

Where you headed? I'm thinking of driving up to the Hunter area early in the am before things get bad and spending the day/night in like Tannersville. Really depends on what it's doing imby when I wake up. 

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7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

with this thing all rain ... how would people grade the winter thus far - 

D-   

This would be a no affect/ push if all rain due to the ferocity of it and the coastal aspects.  Rain bad, coast destruction good (not really)

I was thinking D-F already due to below average snow, lots of ice due to melting/refreezing, little retention, lots of rain

 

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4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

My post from an hour ago that fell on deaths ears.  

 

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I said the same thing...need to see at least one blizzard model.

Yeah I hear ya... it's easy to feel our posts get unrecognized, but I think they just get lost in the shuffle.

No slight intended on my end, I just haven't had time to read through, let alone analyze the guidance as much as I want.

18z NAM looked maybe ticking slightly west with the surface low through 24 hrs... we'll take it here in eastern SNE... still have time to improve and want to see other models come towards NAM, not the other way around

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4 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

 

Yeah I hear ya... it's easy to feel our posts get unrecognized, but I think they just get lost in the shuffle.

No slight intended on my end, I just haven't had time to read through, let alone analyze the guidance as much as I want.

18z NAM looked maybe ticking slightly west with the surface low through 24 hrs... we'll take it here in eastern SNE... still have time to improve and want to see other models come towards NAM, not the other way around

... and that's related to pieces of vorticity that circled west of the ULL (not as robust in 12z run)... this is a good trend

I think the more we can get energy to circle north/northwest of our ULL, the better chance of countering that jump southeast

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13 minutes ago, Juliancolton said:

Where you headed? I'm thinking of driving up to the Hunter area early in the am before things get bad and spending the day/night in like Tannersville. Really depends on what it's doing imby when I wake up. 

Go for it.  The more posters we can get there the better for the obs thread lol.

Im really jealous.  They get some QPF whoppers up there on prolonged east flow.  If I still lived near ALB I'd be there in a heartbeat.  1800-2000ft is the real deal elevation for hanging out at a ski area base like Hunter.

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1 minute ago, wxsniss said:

... and that's related to pieces of vorticity that circled west of the ULL (not as robust in 12z run)... this is a good trend

I think the more we can get energy to circle north/northwest of our ULL, the better chance of countering that jump southeast

Those usually align with deathbands, that's why I always look at them. It really tries hard to nail the NYC metro this run.

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20 minutes ago, Juliancolton said:

Whe are you headed? I'm thinking of driving up to the Hunter area early in the am before things get bad and spending the day/night in like Tannersville. Really depends on what it's doing imby when I wake up. 

Ya

Was looking at 3 places.

One was a nice mtn lodge (ran about 160$)

Other was a meh hotel/motel for 99

And another a b/b for 120

Looks to me to start snowing by 11pm

On 18z nam

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Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Ya

Was looking at 3 places.

One was a nice mtn lodge (ran about 160$)

Other was a meh hotel/motel for 99

And another a b/b for 120

Looks to me to start snowing by 11pm

On 18z nam

Take the B&B.  Maybe other weenies in the joint?

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Did anyone see the latest advisories and watches and warning issued for the Southern New England region, I mean there is every thing issued for the Coastal Waters, from gale watches to storm warnings and even hurricane force wind watches from Nantucket Sound to the outer coastal waters off the Outer Cape.  I am getting very concerned for more than tree damage here, more like shingles and roofing will be peeled off the roofs of some homes

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