weathafella Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 29 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I happen to be in the area, gf giving me a bunch of s*** about leaving her to chase snow though lol. Reminds me of the time I was with my gf staying overnight when I was living in the south end circa February 1975. I had this loft with a great window. Anyway, I wake Sunday morning to heavy snow. I jump out of bed stark naked while she beckons me to return. I tell her I need to see the snow. Her fateful line “what’s more important, the snow or me”. When I refused to answer the light went on. Quick breakup thereafter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Reminds me of the time I was with my gf staying overnight when I was living in the south end circa February 1975. I had this loft with a great window. Anyway, I wake Sunday morning to heavy snow. I jump out of bed stark naked while she beckons me to return. I tell her I need to see the snow. Her fateful line “what’s more important, the snow or me”. When I refused to answer the light went on. Quick breakup thereafter. lol I've heard that line too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 7 minutes ago, CT Rain said: The GFS is still a torch What do you make of these RAP and HRRR runs in NW CT Berks , thats pretty insane so quick 15-20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 I dunno, look how cold the GFS gets at 850 at 21z. I can't buy the low level furnace as much as the GFS shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 12 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I think the issue on some of the models for areas north of me is that just as heights crash the best dynamics shift south and this is why you are seeing higher totals in SE areas. Whether this is true or not remains to be seen. Yup... exactly. It’s not impossible that happens though. Make no mistake, that is well within the possibilities of what will happen. A lot of models have that little finger of accumulation nosing down into SE Mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: What do you make of these RAP and HRRR runs in NW CT Berks , thats pretty insane so quick 15-20 Possible - I've been mentioning a tick colder and it's more than a foot about 1kft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Possible - I've been mentioning a tick colder and it's more than a foot about 1kft damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: What do you make of these RAP and HRRR runs in NW CT Berks , thats pretty insane so quick 15-20 Fwiw those are closest to 3k NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I dunno, look how cold the GFS gets at 850 at 21z. I can't buy the low level furnace as much as the GFS shows. The flip has consistently become more impressive since overnight last night. My original call for BOS was 6-12". I'm thinking 4-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 FWIW... I like the channel 7 snow map a lot... that would basically be my forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 HRRRX doesn't really flip the ORH Hills (it has some early "snow" but I don't think it'll be legit snowfall that early in the day) until 21z, and dumps 8-10 with lollis over a foot after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: HRRRX doesn't really flip the ORH Hills (it has some early "snow" but I don't think it'll be legit snowfall that early in the day) until 21z, and dumps 8-10 with lollis over a foot after that. I pinned my hopes on exactly what is occurring this afternoon. We're finally getting in to the wheelhouse of models like rgem, nam, other mesos. Seeing some really encouraging stuff for the flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Harvey's on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 He's pretty MEH. 6"+ in the Berks, 4"+ ORH Hills, 1-4" in Eastern areas. Says could be a lot more in the "Hills" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 6 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: HRRRX doesn't really flip the ORH Hills (it has some early "snow" but I don't think it'll be legit snowfall that early in the day) until 21z, and dumps 8-10 with lollis over a foot after that. Seems a little amped, but a nice snow after 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 HRRR is Big nudity in elevations . Hope it’s right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: HRRR is Big nudity in elevations . Hope it’s right I could envision those like Ryan said a foot above 1K with a foot, say hi to the up hill neighbors lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Jesus Phil just said today's 11.6 tide at BOS was 12.4. Holy sh*t. How did they miss that one? Lets hope that doesn't happen tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 After looking at impressive 850's on gfs Was eye opening to see the direction/timing the 0c 925's line reaches SNH to BOS Hmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Jesus Phil just said today's 11.6 tide at BOS was 12.4. Holy sh*t. How did they miss that one? Lets hope that doesn't happen tomorrow. I'll take the over on 16.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 We can only pray 18z HRRRX has some clue... all of SNE is still snowing at 6z Saturday SLP position is not much further west compared to 12k/3kNAM/RGEM, but it just has a bigger slug of qpf rotating around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Jesus Phil just said today's 11.6 tide at BOS was 12.4. Holy sh*t. How did they miss that one? Lets hope that doesn't happen tomorrow. Yeah we ran 0.7' above tide today too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I could envision those like Ryan said a foot above 1K with a foot, say hi to the up hill neighbors lol. I don’t think I have a chance at a 12+, but I do think 6-10” is possible if things break right . If snow is mixing in , in the morning.. I’d like the chances. These beasts always have surprises. Having it close off south of us keeps us in the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, OceanStWx said: Yeah we ran 0.7' above tide today too. Yeah that would not be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 HRRR through 10am tomorrow just for posterity. It actually has more snow falling in the early AM hours at diurnal minimum and then looks to go back towards rain in a lot of the Berkshires except the crest based on P-Type Radar. The snow is much more widespread in the Berks an hour or two earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah that would not be good. I'm not really sure where that anomaly is going to go either. It's tickled down towards 0.5' right now, but with increasing east winds the Ekman Spiral is only going to help push water in from this point on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I'm not really sure where that anomaly is going to go either. It's tickled down towards 0.5' right now, but with increasing east winds the Ekman Spiral is only going to help push water in from this point on. ! an Ekman reference, exceptional tidal currents and a full moon goon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 And on the overnight shifts, it's the Ekster spiral. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 RAP has Hunchie and ORH snowing at noon ish tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 One thing that's sort of interesting for parts of CT in this, and I'm not trying to debbie anyone, just speaking what is being shown is that the firehose is north of CT when it is at it's longest fetch. Then as the firehose slides south it seems to be more tied to Eastern New England when the dynamic cooling really takes over. The HRRRX actually looks to flip the coastal plain in Mass over a bit before say the high terrain of NE CT just because of the precip rates. This thing just mauls E.MA though on this prog. As it slides south and rots tomorrow evening/night it seems to keep the firehose precip band more in E.MA/RI. It'll be interesting to see it develop and could lead to what some were speculating as sort of a gap in snowfall somewhere in there. As once the best thermals move in, the precip band is up north and then curls SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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