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T. August

Mid-Atlantic Winter 2014-2015 Snowfall Contest

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Since I failed miserably in the First Freeze Contest, I need redemption. All you have to do is copy and fill in the form below, and I will keep track of predictions and participants. Guess to the nearest tenth of an inch, as in 25.2".

 

Winter 2014-2015 Total Snowfall-

BWI:

IAD:

DCA:

RIC:

 

Tiebreaker-

DCA Greatest 24hr Snowfall:

 

I wanted to do something interesting for the tiebreaker, so I decided it would be to guess DCA's greatest 24hr snowfall this season.

 

Please enter by Dec. 1st.

 

*This contest is not for DJF. It is for NDJFMA. It's not really a winter prediction, but more like a snow season prediction.

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BWI: 15"

DCA: 10"

IAD: 17"

RIC: 15.5"

 

Tiebreaker:

I'm not sure if you mean for midnight to midnight or for 24 hours at any point within one snow event. I'll assume the former and say 3"

Yes, I should have clarified. Midnight to midnight. If anyone has a better way of doing this, please let me know.

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Reserve the right to edit prior to 12/1


 


Winter 2014-2015 Total Snowfall-


BWI: 26.7"


IAD: 34.3"


DCA: 21.8"


RIC: 17.6"


 


Tiebreaker-


DCA Greatest 24hr Snowfall: 8.3"


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BWI: 48"

IAD: 53"

DCA: 34"

RIC: 19"

DCA/Heated Runway Greatest 24: 12.8"

Better than last year (areawide) but not quite as good as 2002-3, the closest benchmark on the upper end.

*Damascus/Frederick to Westminster to Parkton line: 60"+

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Subject to edits before 12/1

BWI: 18.4"

IAD: 19.6"

DCA: 13.8"

RIC: 10.6"

TB: 5.9"

 

hmmm... any reason why you went considerably lower than your CWG outlook?

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Winter 2014-2015 Total Snowfall-


BWI: 28"


IAD: 27"


DCA: 18"


RIC: 12"


 


Tiebreaker-


DCA Greatest 24hr Snowfall: 5"


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This is exactly what I think is going to happen, hence my snowfall predictions being similar to yours.

I'm thinking along the same lines. Anomalous blocking period that puts RIC and places further south in the bullseye for a good one. Once the first half of Dec comes into better focus I may edit but for now my totals reflect how I'm thinking.

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hmmm... any reason why you went considerably lower than your CWG outlook?

 

It isn't considerably lower....it's like 2-3" lower for DCA and BWI...a bit more for IAD...I didn't want to just regurgitate the same numbers...and I thought in terms of winning the contest, I am in a better place competitively if I shoot slightly lower than the norms, as I think a lot of people will go 15-25" for DCA

 

 

I actually think the winter ends up warm

 

hush

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It isn't considerably lower....it's like 2-3" lower for DCA and BWI...a bit more for IAD...I didn't want to just regurgitate the same numbers...and I thought in terms of winning the contest, I am in a better place competitively if I shoot slightly lower than the norms, as I think a lot of people will go 15-25" for DCA

 

 

 

hush

Lol ;-)

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Winter 2014-2015 Total Snowfall-

BWI: 45

IAD: 52

DCA: 36

RIC: 22 

 

Tiebreaker-

DCA Greatest 24hr Snowfall: 12

 

I am thinking we might get a couple moderate storms (6+ inches) storms this year and maybe a 12+ inch storm.

Maybe a decent ice storm late Jan-early Feb. 

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With the atmospheric dice even more loaded, the jet stream subject to wild swings, a strengthening nino 3.4, and cold already appearing in the area, I think 09-10 gets a run for its money (not thrilled, I prefer less snow and cold)

IAD - 72

BWI - 80

DCA - 40

RIC - who cares? 25, if a number is required

TB - 15

Double TB - Tenman gets caught in a late night blizzard, and finally turns to dust upon sunrise.

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