T. August Posted November 17, 2014 Since I failed miserably in the First Freeze Contest, I need redemption. All you have to do is copy and fill in the form below, and I will keep track of predictions and participants. Guess to the nearest tenth of an inch, as in 25.2". Winter 2014-2015 Total Snowfall- BWI: IAD: DCA: RIC: Tiebreaker- DCA Greatest 24hr Snowfall: I wanted to do something interesting for the tiebreaker, so I decided it would be to guess DCA's greatest 24hr snowfall this season. Please enter by Dec. 1st. *This contest is not for DJF. It is for NDJFMA. It's not really a winter prediction, but more like a snow season prediction. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
PrinceFrederickWx Posted November 17, 2014 BWI: 15" DCA: 10" IAD: 17" RIC: 15.5" Tiebreaker: I'm not sure if you mean for midnight to midnight or for 24 hours at any point within one snow event. I'll assume the former and say 3" Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
T. August Posted November 17, 2014 BWI: 15" DCA: 10" IAD: 17" RIC: 15.5" Tiebreaker: I'm not sure if you mean for midnight to midnight or for 24 hours at any point within one snow event. I'll assume the former and say 3" Yes, I should have clarified. Midnight to midnight. If anyone has a better way of doing this, please let me know. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
snowfan Posted November 17, 2014 Reserve the right to edit prior to 12/1 Winter 2014-2015 Total Snowfall- BWI: 26.7" IAD: 34.3" DCA: 21.8" RIC: 17.6" Tiebreaker- DCA Greatest 24hr Snowfall: 8.3" Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wxdude64 Posted November 17, 2014 Winter 2014-2015 Total Snowfall- BWI: 26.6 IAD: 33.2 DCA: 19.9 RIC: 16.4 Tiebreaker- DCA Greatest 24hr Snowfall: 5.8 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
NorthArlington101 Posted November 17, 2014 Winter 2014-2015 Total Snowfall- BWI: 28.1 IAD: 34.5 DCA: 24.2 RIC: 23.1 Tiebreaker- DCA Greatest 24hr Snowfall: 8.9 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 17, 2014 Winter 2014-2015 Total Snowfall- BWI: 12.3" IAD: 19.2" DCA: 8.6" RIC: 9.6" Tiebreaker- DCA Greatest 24hr Snowfall: 3.2" Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
MillvilleWx Posted November 17, 2014 Winter 2014-2015 Total Snowfall- BWI: 22.6" IAD: 31.2" DCA: 17.8" RIC: 15.9" Tiebreaker- DCA Greatest 24hr Snowfall: 6.1" Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WxUSAF Posted November 18, 2014 Winter 2014-2015 Total Snowfall- BWI: 27.5 IAD: 33.1 DCA: 17.2 RIC: 14.7 Tiebreaker- DCA Greatest 24hr Snowfall: 6.0 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ger Posted November 18, 2014 BWI: 48" IAD: 53" DCA: 34" RIC: 19" DCA/Heated Runway Greatest 24: 12.8" Better than last year (areawide) but not quite as good as 2002-3, the closest benchmark on the upper end. *Damascus/Frederick to Westminster to Parkton line: 60"+ Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bob Chill Posted November 18, 2014 BWI: 22.5 IAD: 27.5" DCA: 16.5" RIC: 19.5" TB: 7" Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Deck Pic Posted November 18, 2014 Subject to edits before 12/1 BWI: 18.4" IAD: 19.6" DCA: 13.8" RIC: 10.6" TB: 5.9" Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
HighStakes Posted November 18, 2014 BWI: 29.1 IAD: 31.4 DCA: 19.6 RIC: 17.7 Tiebreaker: 6.4 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Fozz Posted November 18, 2014 Subject to edits before 12/1 BWI: 18.4" IAD: 19.6" DCA: 13.8" RIC: 10.6" TB: 5.9" hmmm... any reason why you went considerably lower than your CWG outlook? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Fozz Posted November 18, 2014 BWI: 36" IAD: 39" DCA: 26" RIC: 16" Tiebreaker: 7.8" Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
leesburg 04 Posted November 18, 2014 BWI 20.6" IAD 11.1" DCA 7.6" RIC 17.4" TB 1.8" Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
North Balti Zen Posted November 18, 2014 BWI 13" Dulles 17" DCA 8" RIC 18" TB: 3.4" Reasoning: Feels like cold and dry is what is going to predominate, and when we do see some juiced systems, they slide to our south. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
mappy Posted November 18, 2014 Winter 2014-2015 Total Snowfall- BWI: 28" IAD: 27" DCA: 18" RIC: 12" Tiebreaker- DCA Greatest 24hr Snowfall: 5" Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Onceinalifetime2009-10 Posted November 18, 2014 Winter 2014-2015 Total Snowfall- BWI: 28 in. IAD: 37 in. DCA: 22 in. RIC: 16 in. Tiebreaker- DCA Greatest 24hr Snowfall: 7.5 in. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
PrinceFrederickWx Posted November 18, 2014 Reasoning: Feels like cold and dry is what is going to predominate, and when we do see some juiced systems, they slide to our south. This is exactly what I think is going to happen, hence my snowfall predictions being similar to yours. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
leesburg 04 Posted November 18, 2014 I actually think the winter ends up warm Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
AlaskaETC Posted November 18, 2014 Winter 2014-2015 Total Snowfall- BWI: 28.4" IAD: 35.6" DCA: 23.5" RIC: 21.3" Tiebreaker- DCA Greatest 24hr Snowfall: 9.7" I reserve the right to edit until deadline. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bob Chill Posted November 18, 2014 This is exactly what I think is going to happen, hence my snowfall predictions being similar to yours. I'm thinking along the same lines. Anomalous blocking period that puts RIC and places further south in the bullseye for a good one. Once the first half of Dec comes into better focus I may edit but for now my totals reflect how I'm thinking. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Roger Smith Posted November 18, 2014 BWI __ 41.5" IAD __ 35.7" DCA __ 28.8" RIC __ 20.0" largest 24h at DCA 10.3" Jan 7th Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Deck Pic Posted November 18, 2014 hmmm... any reason why you went considerably lower than your CWG outlook? It isn't considerably lower....it's like 2-3" lower for DCA and BWI...a bit more for IAD...I didn't want to just regurgitate the same numbers...and I thought in terms of winning the contest, I am in a better place competitively if I shoot slightly lower than the norms, as I think a lot of people will go 15-25" for DCA I actually think the winter ends up warm hush Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
leesburg 04 Posted November 18, 2014 It isn't considerably lower....it's like 2-3" lower for DCA and BWI...a bit more for IAD...I didn't want to just regurgitate the same numbers...and I thought in terms of winning the contest, I am in a better place competitively if I shoot slightly lower than the norms, as I think a lot of people will go 15-25" for DCA hush Lol ;-) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ThePhotoGuy Posted November 18, 2014 Winter 2014-2015 Total Snowfall- BWI: 45 IAD: 52 DCA: 36 RIC: 22 Tiebreaker- DCA Greatest 24hr Snowfall: 12 I am thinking we might get a couple moderate storms (6+ inches) storms this year and maybe a 12+ inch storm. Maybe a decent ice storm late Jan-early Feb. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Clueless Posted November 18, 2014 IAD: 16 BWI: 20 DCA: 6 RIC: 9 Tiebreaker: DCA total snowfall 24/hr pd: 3 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
needbiggerboat Posted November 19, 2014 With the atmospheric dice even more loaded, the jet stream subject to wild swings, a strengthening nino 3.4, and cold already appearing in the area, I think 09-10 gets a run for its money (not thrilled, I prefer less snow and cold) IAD - 72 BWI - 80 DCA - 40 RIC - who cares? 25, if a number is required TB - 15 Double TB - Tenman gets caught in a late night blizzard, and finally turns to dust upon sunrise. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
mattie g Posted November 19, 2014 I'm probably going to edit this later, but my first guess is usually the better one. IAD: 26"BWI: 21"DCA: 14"RIC: 22"Tiebreaker: 4.5" Share this post Link to post Share on other sites