October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm

[Prismshine Productions]

AI GFS lol  

Ray would be pants off if that was winter and converted to 10:1

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[Ginx snewx]

59.4 foot waves. Which cruise liner will we read about 

[CoastalWx]

You don't meh 12" though...you just toss it.

[rclab]

3 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Ray would be pants off if that was winter and converted to 10:1

Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk
 

With that kind of measurement he should be pants off …… and working. As always …..

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Setting the bar at 2” of rain here, we’ll see 

[dendrite]

6 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Ray would be pants off if that was winter and converted to 10:1

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Only 4.50" for Methuen.

He'd be pissed.

And then BOX would toss his total anyway.

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

You don't meh 12" though...you just toss it.

Euro is very meh with winds. Again wondering about upwellling.

[Damage In Tolland]

32 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

That's a lot of wind on the Euro. 

You can actually envision whole stands of trees and forest blowdowns on that .

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Only 4.50" for Methuen.

He'd be pissed.

And then BOX would toss his total anyway.

How much would you pay to see Scooter get a foot with 50 mph winds while Kev gets 2 with gusts to 40

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Euro is very meh with winds. Again wondering about upwellling.

Clowns maps underdoing it? Soundings certainly support more.

[psv88]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Euro is very meh with winds. Again wondering about upwellling.

knots

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

You can actually envision whole stands of trees and forest blowdowns on that .

Did you look at the model?

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

How much would you pay to see Scooter get a foot with 50 mph winds while Kev gets 2 with gusts to 40

Going to weenie out on the water tomorrow Ginxy style at high tide. Hopefully cars floating.

[Damage In Tolland]

17 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ya that track would put us in a windy spot. 

WTTTE 

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Clowns maps underdoing it? Soundings certainly support more.

IDK Euro has been very good lately with wind estimates. Show me a sounding you see 

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, psv88 said:

knots

Meh

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Euro is very meh with winds. Again wondering about upwellling.

Use soundings please .. not clowns 

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Use soundings please .. not clowns 

Post 1 I know you haven't looked 

[ma blizzard]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Use soundings please .. not clowns 

downslope off the ORH hills gonna help your area with winds

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, ma blizzard said:

downslope off the ORH hills gonna help your area with winds

60+ is a real possibility 

[weatherwiz]

I'm really curious what the algorithm is (and this could vary by vendor) for the wind gust output products. I would presume its something as simple taking the wind at the top of the models forecast of the mixing height and bringing that to the surface. If that is true, that could explain why the gust products are more underwhelming in this situation. With a subtle inversion present just above the ground, the model mixing heights may be meh (probably barely mixing beyond a several hundred feet) but we'd probably mix deeper than that, particularly a bit inland from the shoreline. 

[Hoth]

Already getting some solid gusts in downtown HVN. 

[DirtySnowDen]

11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

60+ is a real possibility 

This on visible looks like grumpy old man trying to pet his wife.

[CCHurricane]

16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Euro is very meh with winds. Again wondering about upwellling.

 

15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

You can actually envision whole stands of trees and forest blowdowns on that .

Gotta love this board  

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I'm really curious what the algorithm is (and this could vary by vendor) for the wind gust output products. I would presume its something as simple taking the wind at the top of the models forecast of the mixing height and bringing that to the surface. If that is true, that could explain why the gust products are more underwhelming in this situation. With a subtle inversion present just above the ground, the model mixing heights may be meh (probably barely mixing beyond a several hundred feet) but we'd probably mix deeper than that, particularly a bit inland from the shoreline. 

Its cold that inversion will need to wash out. For @psv88 mph 

[Ginx snewx]

14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

60+ is a real possibility 

Post the soundings 

[psv88]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Its cold that inversion will need to wash out. For @psv88 mph 

ISP and FRG already gusting to 37

[DirtySnowDen]

Remember. I’m still hungry to eat my words.

[ineedsnow]

getting some good gust here now

[RikC]

If this were snow...