Winter Storm Threat Feb 22-24th

[nycsnow]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Tremendous improvement 

[Prue11]

Guy feeling this is going to be a 2-4” 3-6” type deal. What does my gut know?

[nycsnow]

[WeatherGeek2025]

man that GFS run is going to be the run of this year in my opinion hopefully it doesn't disappoint!! exciting

[SACRUS]

[kat5hurricane]

The NAM isn't quite there yet but it's all about the trends and this was a big trend in the right direction and gives some credibility to the trends we saw in the 18z suite.

[Rjay]

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

What's stopping it from going more north? Nothing in my opinion this will only trend north! 

Sloppy phase, late phase, missed phase, occlusion too far south...any number of things

[nycsnow]

[Rjay]

Just now, kat5hurricane said:

The NAM isn't quite there yet but it's all about the trends and this was a big trend in the right direction and gives some credibility to the trends we saw in the 18z suite.

The nam looked amazing and then shit itself later in it's run

[SACRUS]

[nycsnow]

Add the rgem to another improvement

 

[SACRUS]

[SACRUS]

 

Lt snow still lingering 

 

2/20 00z RGEM Total QPF

 

[nycsnow]

[Stormlover74]

Rgem weaksauce

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Add the rgem to another improvement

 

Yep more west

[MJO812]

Just now, Stormlover74 said:

Rgem weaksauce

Really? It was a big improvement 

[Rjay]

Just now, Stormlover74 said:

Rgem weaksauce

I mean it's a large improvement.  It's super close to something big. 

[kat5hurricane]

4 minutes ago, Rjay said:

The nam looked amazing and then shit itself later in it's run

Well, better than shit from the beginning. It went from overall shit to getting shit on at the last minute.

[Stormlover74]

Just now, Rjay said:

I mean it's a large improvement.  It's super close to something big. 

Yeah just one more option on the table 

[nycsnow]

1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

Rgem weaksauce

It was literally basically 0 precip at 18z lol

[kat5hurricane]

Just now, Stormlover74 said:

Yeah just one more option on the table 

The key is trends and every model so far is trending strongly in the right direction. Still need more positive trends to get in the really good stuff though but it's painfully close

[Prue11]

What’s the timing looking like? Sister in law has flight out of NYC at 3pm Sunday 

[nycwinter]

this morning it was all over now it's getting closer..

[nycsnow]

Icon eps coming in wayyyy west 

[Snowlover11]

Just in time to be let down. Watch the gfs trend opposite.

[nycsnow]

[Rjay]

1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

Icon eps coming in wayyyy west 

Not a real ensemble 

[Mail Man]

The first real test is coming up now. GFS

[WeatherGeek2025]

8 minutes ago, Prue11 said:

What’s the timing looking like? Sister in law has flight out of NYC at 3pm Sunday 

light snow by than