Is we back? February discussion thread

[tamarack]

1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Friday looks South now.  Maybe 1”-2” on Wednesday? 

Temps have been good, pack retention excellent and snowfall thru yesterday (62") is right on the 27-winter average, but the south trend seems to be increasing.  Yesterday's forecast for today was 3-5, now 1-3, and Friday is moving toward a possible whiff.  May end up with a very good snow season despite lots of misses.  2014-15 was the archetype for that at our place - 4th snowiest winter here and plenty cold, but this old saying fits:
"The saddest words of tongue or pen: these are the saddest, 'It might have been.'"

Ignoring the mega bust of Jan 26-27, 2015 in SNJ, here are 3 mega busts for our area (forecasts were the final ones prior to 1st flakes):
Date(s)  Forecast  Result
Nov 2           4-8"      0.5"   10-12" midcoast
Dec 9-11    10-14"      1.2"    Paste bomb in the mountains
Feb 14-15   12-18"     1.5"    25" at Machias   (Had blizzard warning here, forecast morning of 14th was 18-24, dropped 6" by the day shift)

Totals        26-42"    3.2"

[dryslot]

10 minutes ago, wokeupthisam said:

 

Yeah it has but no good runs yet, that'll change fast by this time next week I think.  I've got about 75 trees to tap and it's all buckets, so won't take me long to get 'em in when it looks like they're ready to run good...

I had tapped 20 trees last year with buckets and made about 4 gallons, I made an RO system and it cut down on evap time by 50%, Actually using my RO now to convert city water for the humidifiers in my house and greenhouse, Stripping the chlorine and minerals @60/ppm down to 1/ppm.

[weatherwiz]

Nice push of snow which moves through Wednesday morning...def could bring someone 2-4"

[Kitz Craver]

Solid model agreement saying SNE continues into a very active and wintry period 

[Typhoon Tip]

Don't suffer any recency bias ( or let yourself give into it - ).  What just took place was during a quasi relaxed period, in which events at smaller scales, relative to the larger synopsis', are conserved.  

That pattern out there is compressing again... ie, loses the relaxation; that's going to mean a different reality.       S/Ws will look more like this instead

[mahk_webstah]

8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Don't suffer any recency bias ( or let yourself give into it - ).  What just took place was during a quasi relaxed period, in which events at smaller scales, relative to the larger synopsis', are conserved.  

That pattern out there is compressing again... ie, loses the relaxation, that's going to mean a different reality.       S/Ws will look more like this instead

we just want swfe up here anyhow.  as fast as they want to move.

[mahk_webstah]

On the 12 Z ai Friday has trended back north again. Looks like the core of it still goes over southern and central New England but we do pretty well up here. And I think that’s a pretty big jump since the last time I looked when it was pretty far south. 

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, Kitz Craver said:

Solid model agreement saying SNE continues into a very active and wintry period 

Kind have been out of the loop with being up north sledding, and then following this current one…but I’d gladly take a few more shots at some snow. Especially since we couldn’t maximize this one here unfortunately. 

[mahk_webstah]

6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Kind have been out of the loop with being up north sledding, and then following this current one…but I’d gladly take a few more shots at some snow. Especially since we couldn’t maximize this one here unfortunately. 

This is where the under performers gather to let go and look forward. Welcome to our support group.

[DavisStraight]

11 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

This is where the under performers gather to let go and look forward. Welcome to our support group.

Too bad this storm couldn't gain more latitude, a lot more of us could have cashed in.

[Damage In Tolland]

21 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Kind have been out of the loop with being up north sledding, and then following this current one…but I’d gladly take a few more shots at some snow. Especially since we couldn’t maximize this one here unfortunately. 

Tenor?

[dendrite]