tamarack Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Friday looks South now. Maybe 1”-2” on Wednesday? Temps have been good, pack retention excellent and snowfall thru yesterday (62") is right on the 27-winter average, but the south trend seems to be increasing. Yesterday's forecast for today was 3-5, now 1-3, and Friday is moving toward a possible whiff. May end up with a very good snow season despite lots of misses. 2014-15 was the archetype for that at our place - 4th snowiest winter here and plenty cold, but this old saying fits: "The saddest words of tongue or pen: these are the saddest, 'It might have been.'" Ignoring the mega bust of Jan 26-27, 2015 in SNJ, here are 3 mega busts for our area (forecasts were the final ones prior to 1st flakes): Date(s) Forecast Result Nov 2 4-8" 0.5" 10-12" midcoast Dec 9-11 10-14" 1.2" Paste bomb in the mountains Feb 14-15 12-18" 1.5" 25" at Machias (Had blizzard warning here, forecast morning of 14th was 18-24, dropped 6" by the day shift) Totals 26-42" 3.2" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 10 minutes ago, wokeupthisam said: Yeah it has but no good runs yet, that'll change fast by this time next week I think. I've got about 75 trees to tap and it's all buckets, so won't take me long to get 'em in when it looks like they're ready to run good... I had tapped 20 trees last year with buckets and made about 4 gallons, I made an RO system and it cut down on evap time by 50%, Actually using my RO now to convert city water for the humidifiers in my house and greenhouse, Stripping the chlorine and minerals @60/ppm down to 1/ppm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Nice push of snow which moves through Wednesday morning...def could bring someone 2-4" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Solid model agreement saying SNE continues into a very active and wintry period 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Don't suffer any recency bias ( or let yourself give into it - ). What just took place was during a quasi relaxed period, in which events at smaller scales, relative to the larger synopsis', are conserved. That pattern out there is compressing again... ie, loses the relaxation; that's going to mean a different reality. S/Ws will look more like this instead 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 23 Author Share Posted February 23 8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Don't suffer any recency bias ( or let yourself give into it - ). What just took place was during a quasi relaxed period, in which events at smaller scales, relative to the larger synopsis', are conserved. That pattern out there is compressing again... ie, loses the relaxation, that's going to mean a different reality. S/Ws will look more like this instead we just want swfe up here anyhow. as fast as they want to move. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 23 Author Share Posted February 23 On the 12 Z ai Friday has trended back north again. Looks like the core of it still goes over southern and central New England but we do pretty well up here. And I think that’s a pretty big jump since the last time I looked when it was pretty far south. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 1 hour ago, Kitz Craver said: Solid model agreement saying SNE continues into a very active and wintry period Kind have been out of the loop with being up north sledding, and then following this current one…but I’d gladly take a few more shots at some snow. Especially since we couldn’t maximize this one here unfortunately. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 23 Author Share Posted February 23 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Kind have been out of the loop with being up north sledding, and then following this current one…but I’d gladly take a few more shots at some snow. Especially since we couldn’t maximize this one here unfortunately. This is where the under performers gather to let go and look forward. Welcome to our support group. 2 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 11 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: This is where the under performers gather to let go and look forward. Welcome to our support group. Too bad this storm couldn't gain more latitude, a lot more of us could have cashed in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 21 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Kind have been out of the loop with being up north sledding, and then following this current one…but I’d gladly take a few more shots at some snow. Especially since we couldn’t maximize this one here unfortunately. Tenor? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 2 14 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Today is day 32 below 42° in Boston in a row. Longer periods: 43 (ending 2015-03-03) 42 (1969-03014) 40 (1936-02-25) 39 (1985-02-09) 37 (1945-02-10) 36 (1981-01-18) 35 (1966-02-09) 35 (1875-02-02) 34 (2011-02-05) 34 (1901-02-25) 33 (2009-01-31) Not a lot of modeling showing it going above 40 in the next week, although the sun angle may start to help. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Reversal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 well that got me just a few inches away from climo avg on 2/23, let's keep this train rolling...and to think we left a couple storms on the table, and this one could have been better if we'd gotten in on that big band, after the initial 4" last night, most of the total came from about 3am to noon, and a few of those hours was visibility in feet, I'm happy, but my back is rocking... time to chill now and await the week, see how that plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Let’s get a Pineapple Express of cutters dropping 2-5” (Wes Fri Sat) then a bigger coastal or two in the next few weeks. Pattern is ripe and we don’t have many weeks of winter left 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 What’s the deal with Friday? Wed looks 1-3 all SNE. What a great storm in Chelsea. Although it was the lower end of forecast and expectations, I feel very fortunate to be just in that band all day. Some epic sights no doubt 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Another AI vs the Ops for Thursday night. Both AIGFS and AIFS are way north of the Ops. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 30 minutes ago, wx2fish said: Another AI vs the Ops for Thursday night. Both AIGFS and AIFS are way north of the Ops. 18z AIFS shifted south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Which model gives me the most rain? That’s the one I want. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 6 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Which model gives me the most rain? That’s the one I want. Need a few more decent snow events for the areas that got hammered today and then run a high pwat cutter to Cleveland! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 ...within the last week or so someone said the back of winter was broken....yeah that went well lol Not exactly Nostradamus with that call lol 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 1 hour ago, Great Snow 1717 said: ...within the last week or so someone said the back of winter was broken....yeah that went well lol Not exactly Nostradamus with that call lol I’m still about 8” under seasonal average in Greenfield. Need another storm or three! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 3 hours ago, Great Snow 1717 said: ...within the last week or so someone said the back of winter was broken....yeah that went well lol Not exactly Nostradamus with that call lol I think it was that guy in Weymouth, who just got buried. His son was ready to dive off the house on his head, when his area was slow to start last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 4 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Which model gives me the most rain? That’s the one I want. I see what you did there. Well played… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 long shot but still need to watch Friday..AIGFS also came north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 we 0z Euro for next Tuesday!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 Snowy times ahead 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Snowy times ahead this is insane for March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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