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January 24-25: Miracle or Mirage


stormtracker
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1 minute ago, Kmlwx said:

 

Gotta love this...

I'm not watching the models roll in other than here so I assume Randy is correct? But I won't jump to conclusions. 

they’re both right. Randy was comparing panel to panel, bncho the run and the feed overall. I get the 1 person on pbp but don’t give the unnecessary hate when he’s also not wrong sheesh. You guys have nothing better to do but blast a teenager (not saying you Kenny). 

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Just now, LP08 said:

This will be the high mark run that I will base all of the future model runs on.  Start High and adjust higher!  

I know…I don’t even feel like watching the rest of the runs lol. We basically have a bowling ball Pacific low colliding with an Arctic dome. That was one of the best gfs runs I have ever seen for this area irt the shear size of this system.

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1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Orientation of the CCB is very different this run, can't quite figure out why. To defend @bncho a bit the only drier panels are really 108/111, but think that's delayed, not denied

Dude, i was comparing run to run panel to panel.  I'm not into future casting when I'm not sure.   Like come on

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3 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

they’re both right. Randy was comparing panel to panel, bncho the run and the feed overall. I get the 1 person on pbp but don’t give the unnecessary hate when he’s also not wrong sheesh. You guys have nothing better to do but blast a teenager (not saying you Kenny). 

You’re right thanks. Just wish people would let Randy do the pbp. We can go into details like drier or whatnot once it’s done. 

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To my eye a key difference is the 12z GFS pops the coastal low quicker and slightly further south. That stops any intrusion of mid level warming and maintains precipitation as all snow. It's a wonderful run for just about everyone. Even the folks in far southern Maryland and the tidewater of VA that mix get a solid event, then appear to flip back to several hours of accumulating snow.

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