DDweatherman Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, Kmlwx said: Gotta love this... I'm not watching the models roll in other than here so I assume Randy is correct? But I won't jump to conclusions. they’re both right. Randy was comparing panel to panel, bncho the run and the feed overall. I get the 1 person on pbp but don’t give the unnecessary hate when he’s also not wrong sheesh. You guys have nothing better to do but blast a teenager (not saying you Kenny). 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 6 minutes ago, bncho said: GFS looks better than 6z... more precip... comes in hot and heavy 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: So far a lil drier than 6z. Just waiting to see what that next panels show LOL Let Randy cook 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 24 hours of snow with a lot more to go @ 108 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 GFS is just a monster long duration run without mixing into DC, please lord let it be right. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Per the 12z GFS, temps in the low to mid 20s for nearly everyone during the storm. Incredible. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Sleet line a hair north, but you'd like to just call it a wobble. Still a money panel Regular hair or ass hair? We need specifics at a time like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 The seasoned vet Randy majestically dribbling the ball down the court ready to perform a poster dunk doing his pbp and gets the ball ripped from his hands by a bench rookie on the same team nonetheless 3 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 This will be the high mark run that I will base all of the future model runs on. Start High and adjust higher! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 4 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Finally getting into the heavies at 96 That’s the start of the critical window. If it holds for the next 12 hours then we’re in business. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Absolutely crushed! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Kuchera is 18” for DC 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 GFS going ballistic Sent from my SM-S911U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: LOL Let Randy cook All i had in when I made that post was this panel when I made this post. For our area and overall, am i crazy? I didn't say it was terrible. When I do pbp I was just stating what it shows. I don't characterize until I'm SURE 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Orientation of the CCB is very different this run, can't quite figure out why. To defend @bncho a bit the only drier panels are really 108/111, but think that's delayed, not denied and I guess 102 re: above, but doesn't show as clearly on WxBell 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 This is a MF beatdown. Near Perfect run. In GFS We Trust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, stormtracker said: All i had in was this panel when I made this post. For our area and overall, am i crazy? Def was drier panel to panel, but then the run itself went postal for us all don’t think anyone’s complaining! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: Per the 12z GFS, temps in the low to mid 20s for nearly everyone during the storm. Incredible. This has been really consistent across modeling. I'm amazed and it's terribly exciting, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 At this point I don't give a shit about surface. We all know its gonna be cold enough at 2m. Lets focus on the 700-850s 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: All i had in was this panel when I made this post. For our area and overall, am i crazy? Crazy? Yes, but not for the reason you think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 6 minutes ago, konksw said: Stormtracker should be doing the PBP to help avoid these mixed messages. He is a Hall of Famer. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, LP08 said: This will be the high mark run that I will base all of the future model runs on. Start High and adjust higher! I know…I don’t even feel like watching the rest of the runs lol. We basically have a bowling ball Pacific low colliding with an Arctic dome. That was one of the best gfs runs I have ever seen for this area irt the shear size of this system. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Duration really increased. All that missing QPF is on the backside 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Orientation of the CCB is very different this run, can't quite figure out why. To defend @bncho a bit the only drier panels are really 108/111, but think that's delayed, not denied Dude, i was comparing run to run panel to panel. I'm not into future casting when I'm not sure. Like come on 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 SEE YOU ON SUNDAY 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Beautiful run right there 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 4 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Look at that fetch wow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 3 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: they’re both right. Randy was comparing panel to panel, bncho the run and the feed overall. I get the 1 person on pbp but don’t give the unnecessary hate when he’s also not wrong sheesh. You guys have nothing better to do but blast a teenager (not saying you Kenny). You’re right thanks. Just wish people would let Randy do the pbp. We can go into details like drier or whatnot once it’s done. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 I'll gladly take the gfs version. Big change for folks SW is a flip back to snow on the backside. Being more strung out really helps. Thump, sleet, dryslot, sleet, snow... yea, I like this version. 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 4 minutes ago, mappy said: Stop making posts I agree with haha makes me like you more than I really do stole this from our own board. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 To my eye a key difference is the 12z GFS pops the coastal low quicker and slightly further south. That stops any intrusion of mid level warming and maintains precipitation as all snow. It's a wonderful run for just about everyone. Even the folks in far southern Maryland and the tidewater of VA that mix get a solid event, then appear to flip back to several hours of accumulating snow. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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