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January 16-18th: Rolling the dice


SnowenOutThere
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17 minutes ago, mappy said:

Nice little refresh after whatever melted yesterday. Shame it’s right at freezing

My house faces due south so any light event melts off unless it's extremely cold. I don't mind as I almost never have to shovel the driveway for a light or even sometimes moderate event. Lol

These small events are better than nothing. Keep em coming.

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I’m at Lake Anna this weekend and there were some tiny flakes mixed in with rain when I woke up at around 6:45-7. Seems like it’s gonna be a nailbiter as to whether we catch the edge of the precip shield/if it’s cold enough later. HRRR looks like it has trended a bit NW last few runs, so we’ll see.

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This is the type of storm we’d of scored something measurable even in DC 20 years ago as we only missed by a degree or two.

We had well below normal temps with precip at night during our coldest time of year along with temps at 850mb well below freezing and we manage to fail. Very disheartening even though it’s a “small bust” 

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1 minute ago, dailylurker said:

My temp actually dropped a degree. Is it possible colder air is bleeding in? The precip to my south looks like it wants to surge north and hit 95 and east. Maybe that's why there's a WWA? HRRR looks like it's west the last run or two.

Snow potential will be this afternoon and evening for the lowlands with the precip on the back side of the coastal low as temps cool. Question is how far west the precip will get- looks like by the time its cold enough it might be on the light side/moving out. Best shot at an inch or 2 at that point will probably be east/southeast of my yard where models indicate a better chance of getting in on some heavier precip as the coastal low passes/pulls out.

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8 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Snow potential will be this afternoon and evening for the lowlands with the precip on the back side of the coastal low as temps cool. Question is how far west the precip will get- looks like by the time its cold enough it might be on the light side/moving out. Best shot at an inch or 2 at that point will probably be east/southeast of my yard where models indicate a better chance of getting in on some heavier precip as the coastal low passes/pulls out.

I'm thinking about heading to Wye Island later. Might be a good spot for a little wintery eastern shore fun.

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14 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Don’t know how there are snow reports from eastern HoCo this morning?? 

I haven't seen any snow and was outside for the last hour or so.  Perhaps early morning? On the positive side, there were a few patches of snow/graupel left from yesterday's event. 

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