12/14: Sunday funday? Will the south win again?

[bncho]

36 -> 39 -> 36

[psuhoffman]

29 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Gotta be near Manchester with that elevation. One of the 2 ridges north of Manchester would be my guess. 

I’m on the first of those 2. Dug Hill ridge. 

[WxUSAF]

2 minutes ago, bncho said:

36 -> 39 -> 36

My temp also dropped back real quick. Wind picking up also

[WEATHER53]

9 minutes ago, wxmvpete said:

Ding ding ding. I am essentially in the triangle NE of Westminster, W of Hampstead, and SW of Manchester.

I drove in those roads going thru the fields in the ne from West. To Man after Snowmaggedon and it was 4-5’ everywhere 

[jayyy]

WB 01Z HRRR... should be snowing in MBY by midnight.  DC by 4am.

Approved

[TSSN+]

Not much going on here currently went into a lull. 

[Interstate]

I am steady losing temp. Lost .6 degrees in the last 30 minutes. Down to 34.3/32

[bncho]

5 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 01Z HRRR... should be snowing in MBY by midnight.  DC by 4am.

the forecasted radar at 1am is literally what's falling right now. maybe it's getting the timing wrong?

[Eskimo Joe]

Based off the latest SPC meso analysis, the best cold air advection at 925/850 mb appears to be cresting the I68/I-70 interchange in western MD. Might wave to wait for that to get a bit closer before we see temps really fall off. Seems like everything is on track.

[NorthArlington101]

1 minute ago, bncho said:

the forecasted radar at 1am is literally what's falling right now. maybe it's getting the timing wrong?

This band isn’t the main show. If it is everything has gone horribly wrong. But no reason to think that yet. 
 

I am starting to think DC roads aren’t gonna cave. Which is fine I guess. Just not as fun

[JenkinsJinkies]

It’s snowing in parkville. Not sticking but it’s snowing.

[Weather Will]

2 minutes ago, bncho said:

the forecasted radar at 1am is literally what's falling right now. maybe it's getting the timing wrong?

Not doing anything in SW Frederick just north of the Potomac.

[osfan24]

Steady light snow now. Car topper in progress.  Mulch and grass beginning to cave. The goods in that band just teasing me just to my northwest. Gotta be dumping out in western Moco.

[MN Transplant]

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

This band isn’t the main show. If it is everything has gone horribly wrong. But no reason to think that yet. 
 

I am starting to think DC roads aren’t gonna cave. Which is fine I guess. Just not as fun

We are still 6 hours away from snow in the DC beltway.

[Ka60]

Clarksburg, MD  SN 32/29

[NorthArlington101]

Just now, MN Transplant said:

We are still 6 hours away from snow in the DC beltway.

Yeeeep. Alarm is set for 3:30 right now and about to call it a night. Just hoping to see it rip from 4-7ish and whatever happens happens 

[Lucketts]

37/30 with sprinkles 

[Terpeast]

Nothing falling atm imby, 37. Didn’t think it was supposed to start this early though

[Ji]

Just now, Terpeast said:

Nothing falling atm imby, 37. Didn’t think it was supposed to start this early though

its so fun being at 37 right before the storm starts

[Chris78]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

its so fun being at 37 right before the storm starts

If you were at 27 it would be congrats Bob chill lol

[Eskimo Joe]

Rates have picked up in Reisterstown. Accumulating on the deck, cars, and non paved surfaces.

[Amped]

Got flakes with a couple of raindrops mixed in.

[Kay]

Drizzle 36

[Maestrobjwa]

1 minute ago, Chris78 said:

If you were at 27 it would be congrats Bob chill lol

Yeah you right, lol

[WVclimo]

Special weather statement for the counties to the west of the WWA:

...QUICK HITTING PERIOD OF SNOW TONIGHT...

Precipitation will overspread the area through the late evening
and overnight. While some rain is possible at the onset, a
changeover to snow is likely. Bands of snow with brief moderate to
heavy rates are possible, which could provide quick accumulations
of a coating to an inch and reduce visibility to less than one
half mile. By the time snow ends early Sunday morning, some
localized totals of 1 to 2 inches are possible. Overall,
precipitation may only last 2 to 4 hours at any given location.

Temperatures will drop below freezing by daybreak, so any areas
that are wet could freeze, especially on untreated and elevated
surfaces.

[Eskimo Joe]

Looks like the lead band is getting juiced up in the last few frames of the radar.

[AlexD1990]

I know it's nowcast time... but here is 00z NAM 

 

00z 3km NAM 

 

Interesting to see the tiny stripe of higher totals on both NAMs in S DE. Noteworthy enough that the local CBS met mentioned it on a Livestream and bumped his snowfall forecast south to account for it.

Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk

[Chris78]

6 minutes ago, WVclimo said:

Special weather statement for the counties to the west of the WWA:

...QUICK HITTING PERIOD OF SNOW TONIGHT...

Precipitation will overspread the area through the late evening
and overnight. While some rain is possible at the onset, a
changeover to snow is likely. Bands of snow with brief moderate to
heavy rates are possible, which could provide quick accumulations
of a coating to an inch and reduce visibility to less than one
half mile. By the time snow ends early Sunday morning, some
localized totals of 1 to 2 inches are possible. Overall,
precipitation may only last 2 to 4 hours at any given location.

Temperatures will drop below freezing by daybreak, so any areas
that are wet could freeze, especially on untreated and elevated
surfaces.

I think this is the first time my point and click has had a forecast of 2 - 4 but with no WWA.

I guess because once you get past hagerstown models don't show much. 

Majority of Washington county will probably see at max of an inch. 

[stormtracker]

12 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Yeeeep. Alarm is set for 3:30 right now and about to call it a night. Just hoping to see it rip from 4-7ish and whatever happens happens 

What are you, 86?

[Ji]

how does Leesburg have more qpf now than DCA on the NAM?