Kitz Craver Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 54 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: It literally can go either way, 50/50 as far as Christmas and a warm up or staying chilly. I think staying on focus for the possible snow event this Sunday makes more sense. We can't even figure out what's going to happen in 4 days let alone 2 weeks Wolfie? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 50 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think it's pretty clear the pattern is going to break. 43 minutes ago, dendrite said: Just spitballing here, but even if that SE ridge starts cycling like JB, that temp gradient may be close by and we could pull off some overrunning events…obviously CAD spots would be favored for more glop. So even though I like to poke the embers with d16 op maps of +20C 850s it doesn’t mean I’m calling for it and that we can’t get some wintry weather. Maybe a reshuffling of the deck would work in everyone’s favor. Yeah, it's increasingly likely we see a reshuffle, which makes sense obviously because we're running massive negative departures, but the devil is in the details. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Might as well just close the shades till January: wide left, wide right, wide right, wide left, wide left. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 10 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Might see a Christmas Day severe weather outbreak in the Mississippi/Ohio Valley if this keeps up GFS is soupy 80s to Virginia where they have deep pack now lol .. I can see Christmas week delivering a nasty ice storm for the northeast GFS has the cold in Canada ready to be tapped .. Kevin may get his dream, a very dark Christmas 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Just went to a WWA here for 2-4" of mixed precip and a light glaze of ice, Beats plain rain though. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: GFS is soupy 80s to Virginia where they have deep pack now lol .. I can see Christmas week delivering a nasty ice storm for the northeast GFS has the cold in Canada ready to be tapped .. Kevin may get his dream, a very dark Christmas Absolutely something to keep in mind. Like dendrite said...this could easily turn into an overrunning pattern. Sometimes its easy to get caught up in the H5 charts but the sfc may not always connect. Remember back in like 2017(?) the Great Plains were under like 560 heights and it was widespread single digits at the sfc lol because they had that stout Arctic high. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 12 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: LOL, the CFS from 00z is the best model of all for the 14th Some of the lousier runs try to spawn a norlun in the GOM. Exciting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: Just went to a WWA here for 2-4" of mixed precip and a light glaze of ice, Beats plain rain though. 3k looks like 1”+ here. We both ride that ptype line though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: 3k looks like 1”+ here. We both ride that ptype line though. 3K was ugly here, 12z RAP was 2", That's what i see anyways, It's pretty borderline, I expect about 1-2" max of a mix, Looks like we don't sniff freezing at the surface anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago It's the NAM.but looks interesting at hr 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: It's the NAM.but looks interesting at hr 84 Sure does If you live in Bloomington, IL 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 41 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: ...and a Melt Outbreak for some people here lol If you haven't noticed, that has already started and may peak well before Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 3 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: If you haven't noticed, that has already started and may peak well before Christmas. Oh I have noticed lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 2 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: If you haven't noticed, that has already started and may peak well before Christmas. Lol.. for those of us who can "weather" the storm (so to speak), grab your popcorn and enjoy the show. We'll be back to our regular scheduled program after Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Just realized my daughter is under a winter storm warning in S VT... wheee!!! 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 6 hours ago Author Share Posted 6 hours ago hoping for a very strong cutter with a trackable fine-line. Santa? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 35 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Sure does If you live in Bloomington, IL Meh, how'd that epic pattern work out for you? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said: hoping for a very strong cutter with a trackable fine-line. Santa? Santa having to go down the chimney straight into the basement? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 47 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: It's the NAM.but looks interesting at hr 84 Looks like it would probably cut across NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 29.7°, light snow with the sun still coming through. Looks pretty. Hoping for an inch of glop 'round these parts. *edit: Android's stock compression algorithm is hot garbage. Moved to windows and fixed the images. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Just went to a WWA here for 2-4" of mixed precip and a light glaze of ice, Beats plain rain though. I mentioned in the other thread I thought this might verify colder than modeled. Might not mean much in terms of sensible wx but could make a difference hyper locally 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Just now, NW_of_GYX said: I mentioned in the other thread I thought this might verify colder than modeled. Might not mean much in terms of sensible wx but could make a difference hyper locally Its a wait and see type deal for the fence sitters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 hour ago, dendrite said: This would be lol though Looks like the post-Xmas 1984 warm shot. ORH hit 70F in that. Latest 70F on record. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 26 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Just realized my daughter is under a winter storm warning in S VT... wheee!!! What town is she in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Some sunshine coming through the clouds now. Zero precipitation yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 minute ago, backedgeapproaching said: What town is she in? Bennington, below 1000'... so she probably won't hit the warning amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/12/plowable-snowfall-still-favored-sunday.html First Call probably tomorrow or Friday, barring an unforeseen "poof". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago they need to start making hallmark movies where it's 45 and raining on christmas 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/12/plowable-snowfall-still-favored-sunday.html First Call probably tomorrow or Friday, barring an unforeseen "poof". For DC or SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Bennington, below 1000'... so she probably won't hit the warning amounts Bennington is kind of a snow hole, they get shadowed in all directions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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