Brian5671 Posted October 21, 2023 Share Posted October 21, 2023 .8 here NAM/HRRR says most of us are about done outside of that batch pivoting around NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 21, 2023 Share Posted October 21, 2023 59 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Pouring here in lynbrook. Sucks because I’m supposed to do a project with my side business this weekend. Im going to have to work twice as hard tomorrow. Weekend curse continues yeah heavy rain but slowing down now did you also get over 9 inches in the late september storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 21, 2023 Share Posted October 21, 2023 .52 Bigger totals just to my east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 21, 2023 Share Posted October 21, 2023 3 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Wouldn't be surprised to see 80 later this week i just saw craig allen forecast a few minutes ago he has upper 60's to near 70 for thursday and friday...nowhere near 80 ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 21, 2023 Share Posted October 21, 2023 14 minutes ago, nycwinter said: i just saw craig allen forecast a few minutes ago he has upper 60's to near 70 for thursday and friday...nowhere near 80 ... 75 in Central nj. 80 seems like a longshot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 21, 2023 Share Posted October 21, 2023 Picked up 1.78" of rain for the day yesterday. 0.32" of rain so far today. Storm total so far 2.10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 21, 2023 Share Posted October 21, 2023 28 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: 75 in Central nj. 80 seems like a longshot Even Forky would agree to 80 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 21, 2023 Share Posted October 21, 2023 fully mixed out 850s would support 90 lol 1 1 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 21, 2023 Share Posted October 21, 2023 49 minutes ago, forkyfork said: fully mixed out 850s would support 90 lol awesome I was wondering how long it would be before the 95 record from October 2 a few years ago would be broken Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 21, 2023 Share Posted October 21, 2023 12 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: awesome I was wondering how long it would be before the 95 record from October 2 a few years ago would be broken not saying we will fully mix out but +16 850s are exceptional for late october. that would actually translate to mid 90s in the warmer spots in july 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 21, 2023 Share Posted October 21, 2023 5 minutes ago, forkyfork said: not saying we will fully mix out but +16 850s are exceptional for late october. that would actually translate to mid 90s in the warmer spots in july westerly winds too, thats heat right to the coast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted October 21, 2023 Share Posted October 21, 2023 1.18 at my station for this round of rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 21, 2023 Share Posted October 21, 2023 65/ 56 0.54 in the bucket. Clearing a bit now. Cooler 36 hours before a 5 day warmup Tue - Sat (10/28). Mid / upper 70s perhaps an 80 with no clouds. Chill down for 2-3 days 10/31 - 11/2 before moderation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 21, 2023 Share Posted October 21, 2023 Records: Highs: EWR: 84 (1947) NYC: 84 (1920) LGA: 82 (1947) Lows: EWR: 31 (1974)- reverse NYC: 31 (1871) LGA:33 (1974) Historical: 1934 - A severe windstorm lashed the northern Pacific coast. In Washington State, the storm claimed the lives of 22 persons, and caused 1.7 million dollars damage, mostly to timber. Winds, gusting to 87 mph at North Head WA, produced waves twenty feet high. (David Ludlum) 1957 - The second in a series of unusual October storms hit southern California causing widespread thunderstorms. Santa Maria was drenched with 1.13 inches of rain in two hours. Hail drifted to 18 inches in East Los Angeles. Waterspouts were sighted off Point Mugu and Oceanside. (20th-21st) (The Weather Channel) 1975: Carlton Fisk made history on this day because of a walk-off home run in the 1975 World Series, after rain had postponed it for three days. 1987 - Cold arctic air continued to invade the central U.S. Eleven record lows were reported in the Great Plains Region, including lows of 12 degrees at Valentine NE, and 9 degrees at Aberdeen SD. Temperatures warmed rapidly during the day in the Southern and Central Plains Region. Goodland KS warmed from a morning low of 24 degrees to an afternoon high of 75 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Joan, the last hurricane of the season, neared the coast of Nicaragua packing 125 mph winds. Joan claimed more than 200 lives as she moved over Central America, and total damage approached 1.5 billion dollars. Crossing more than 40 degrees of longitude, Hurricane Joan never strayed even one degree from the 12 degree north parallel. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Unseasonably cold weather continued to grip the south central and southeastern U.S. Twenty cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Calico AR with a reading of 26 degrees, and Daytona Beach FL with a low of 41 degrees. Squalls in the Great Lakes Region finally came to an end, but not before leaving Marquette MI buried under 12.7 inches of snow, a record 24 hour total for October. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted October 21, 2023 Share Posted October 21, 2023 Picked up about .80” overall between yesterday and this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted October 21, 2023 Share Posted October 21, 2023 80 looks likely 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted October 21, 2023 Share Posted October 21, 2023 not bad outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 21, 2023 Share Posted October 21, 2023 The coolest air so far this season will move into the region tonight as the clouds continue to depart. Tomorrow through Tuesday will be chilly late autumnlike days. Some frost will be possible in areas outside New York City and Newark. However, by the middle of the week, temperatures will surge to above and perhaps much above normal levels. During the peak of the warmth, the temperature could reach 70° or above as far north as southern New England. Much cooler air could return to close out October. Nevertheless, October is on track to finish as a warmer than normal month. Since 1950, only a single El Niño event with a monthly ENSO R3.4 anomaly of +1.00°C or above was warmer than normal in New York City during October: 2015 (sample size: 6). If one lowers the ENSO R3.4 anomaly to +0.75°C or above, only two 2/12 (17%) of El Niño cases saw a warmer than normal October in New York City: 1963 and 2015. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.5°C for the week centered around October 11. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.67°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.57°C. El Niño conditions will likely continue to strengthen into the fall with the current East-based event transitioning to a basinwide El Niño for the upcoming winter. The SOI was -23.47 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.482 today. On October 18 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 0.252 (RMM). The October 17-adjusted amplitude was 0.229 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 79% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 59.1° (1.2° above normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted October 21, 2023 Share Posted October 21, 2023 .90” total at both my stations the past 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 22, 2023 Share Posted October 22, 2023 1.05 total rain for this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted October 22, 2023 Share Posted October 22, 2023 October of yore , just a wee bit warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted October 22, 2023 Share Posted October 22, 2023 1.13” event total. Clearing out today was a nice surprise, first Saturday in ages where I saw the blue sky, even though the sun was setting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted October 22, 2023 Share Posted October 22, 2023 Some pictures from around Minnewaska in the Shawangunks (near New Paltz) on Friday afternoon, during what must have been the peak hours of foliage before the heaviest rain began 21 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 22, 2023 Share Posted October 22, 2023 Models now indicating record 80° heat possible for next weekend. Maybe we can finally break the streak of rainy weekends. This would be the warm and sunny weekend which was so elusive all summer. Newark Area, NJPeriod of record: 1893-01-01 through 2023-10-21DateHighest maximum temperatures (degrees F 10/28 82 in 1984 81 in 1919 78 in 1989+ 10/29 78 in 1971 78 in 1946 76 in 1989 10/30 82 in 1946 80 in 1961 80 in 1950 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 22, 2023 Share Posted October 22, 2023 8 hours ago, Juliancolton said: Some pictures from around Minnewaska in the Shawangunks (near New Paltz) on Friday afternoon, during what must have been the peak hours of foliage before the heaviest rain began Foliage looks amazing this year 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted October 22, 2023 Author Share Posted October 22, 2023 Certainly looks like a dry start to the weekend per attached WPC 7 day qpf through 12z Sunday the 29th... I'm still not giving up on weekend rain, but odds seem to push any weekend rain threat to later Sunday, if then. Have checked ensembles through the 00z-06z/22 cycle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 22, 2023 Share Posted October 22, 2023 The next 8 days are averaging 61degs.(53/69) or +7. Month to date is 61.1[+1.4]. Should be 61.0[+3.0] by the 30th. Reached 65 here yesterday at 4pm. Today: T Steady near 54, wind w.-breezy, p. cloudy, 46 tomorrow AM. 51*(74%RH) here at 7am. 54* at 10am. 56* at Noon. 57* at 1pm. Reached 58* at 4pm. 51* at 8pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 22, 2023 Share Posted October 22, 2023 Just insane heat for late October. Maybe multiple 80+ days 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 22, 2023 Share Posted October 22, 2023 Just now, SnoSki14 said: Just insane heat for late October. Maybe multiple 80+ days Even the Canadian which can sometimes have a cold bias has 80°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 22, 2023 Share Posted October 22, 2023 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: Just insane heat for late October. Maybe multiple 80+ days Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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