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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
That's not going to stop it. What will stop it is climate engineering which is already underway and which will rapidly accelerate beginning in 2030. Yes but ignorant people dont even realize they are ignorant. He's willfully ignorant. The fossil fuel cartel loves that that's why it was so easy for them to engage in a 50 year cover up. Clearly billion dollar disasters are on a rapid rise. He is an entitled ignorant fool who makes no sense and doesn’t know or care about what's going on in the world. And there is more to the planet than one's own property which deniers dont get. This planet can't support 8 billion as it is NOW AND we see evidence of that everywhere. The fossil fuel cartels have been trying to cover it up since the 1970s. It's not just coastal areas billion dollar disasters are on a rise everywhere. Exxon began the cover-up in the 1970s we have proof of that. This is a major failing of the democratic system. In addition to stripping first amendment rights from corporations and preventingbsuper mergers like Exxon Mobil we also need to stop letting ignorant people vote. Doing those two things will fix most issues. I love Star Trek but perhaps those aliens should have been annihilated by The Federation. You are completely wasting your time with a fool who actually thinks fossil fuels are a good thing. The fossil fuel cartels are directly involved with the sixth mass extinction in the planet's history. They aren't the only ones but they are a major culprit. The polar bears who are cannibalizing each other haven't even been brought up yet. Instead do something worthwhile and check out my conversation with AI that I posted in the science forum. It depends on where you live. If you live in an island nation in the Pacific and must migrate you better bet it's an existential threat. That's why mass migration is now happening. This is just the beginning the fact is this horrible event should never have been allowed to happen.in the first place. -
Talking about north of Virginia. So not the southeast. All of these were southeast strikes. Not the region I'm focused on. What if we just focus on the region north of Virginia which is what I'm focused on? Excellent analysis. It's not somehow It's a very real shift to the gulf coast and it's because of a stronger Bermuda high. Thanks Hazel and now 1846 always fascinated me. Also was Hugo the last time a Cat 4 hit the Carolinas? Didn't that used to be more common before? And wasnt there a hurricane in 1911 that followed a track similar to Sandy and hit Atlantic City? Was the 1846 hurricane a Cat 5? What kind of storm did the esst coast have in 1816 that caused more damage in Philly than the 1846 storm did? Even bigger than that would be the megatsunami that caused the formation of Chesapeake Bay it was caused by an asteroid that split into two parts the other part hit near Toms River NJ.
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It is interesting you mention Edna. The greatest hurricane of that period was actually Hazel. How did it keep hurricane force winds all the way to Toronto and even 113 mph to NYC? Looks like 1846 had a similar hurricane to that that occurred on this date? What the devil was going on in 1780 that made it so destructive? What were the water temperatures back then? I know our winters were historic back then because of a big volcano eruption in Iceland. By the way the climate has shifted away from east coast impacts and thats a long term shift . And yet very few east coast landfalls. Actually zero. We have seen a shift away from east coast hurricanes though and it's a long term shift that may be ACC related (stronger highs). How do you know the AMO isn't returning to its cold phase again? The warm phase as already lasted for 30 years. I think the drier years we've had the last two years indicate that change is now beginning. The AMO warm phase started in 1995. Its time is up.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Gaia theory has already been proven. Did you know that trees in the Amazon control their own rainfall? And are you familiar with the wood wide web how trees communicate with each other and mushrooms to control their own environment? By the way I had a long conversation with Gemini about a topic that mutually interests us I'll post some of it to you here: https://www.google.com/search?q=my+google+homepage+had+a+recent+article+on+a+recent+quantum+fluctuations+found+in+the+CMB+but+i+can't+find+the+link+can+you+find+it+for+me+and+does+it+have+anything+to+do+with+the+multiverse+or+cyclic+universe+theory&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUyBggAEEUYOdIBCjEwMzk5NWowajSoAg6wAgE&client=ms-android-att-us-rvc3&sourceid=chrome-mobile&source=chrome.ob&ie=UTF-8&fbs=ABfTbFXXq5_lq1-qc-RNbCT-iVCv1pqpzFbsklS6H69T2lad0GTf_QfkL84T_NcuUjCLgDARHbyGxBgoONb2ZzsFCAMnn5FpLgyJf_3J6jzq_3iFiND4grLzxzUiNcVVuyoRfMiKsGOOY7X4WpN1LCTfZrldpw0TpjvvKV4oUNAOvaUAxCas03At6J2eiT8eezKqSbtYRKWAGaTEJ4VT73Ov27_x1hUyMxZFgnscg-h_xcAJkLt4u9I&aep=10&ntc=1&sxsrf=APpeQnumT__IKLg_2evuZ_4jCuCtXlNPsg%3A1792015565485&mstk=AUtExfAl8s-Mac66jydJ5to_El1JKf9v-eNn1Eak2ZQKRH99EF_Y51kf3_RLFau8TJxkOYqXGA8sRlWbnKyLJoc506zklVqDEIdnp7v25iZh_c3my-KuZ03iSYCogxvQyESpQ40Fks3Xxt8-LPclQd9Y4_OW5akeg0nmgyWwWIjxFMA4A0v9F0egreDUMonvblVjU4F0w8LjGxuacU0MyMUEcRRMJK0xOpOb6Pqt9qiJiUrI7X3AfPxGr6RgfawFzsyOWyITDCAIxG1eXtTPCD5JsBtMgQefa6OVLSHNg0HZ7gK8U8hzLwGFZGt8lPIKXx7t7GEN0vgS-cUx-A&csuir=1&aioh=3&mtid=o_3PauzhAueo5NoPlv_G-AM&udm=50#lfId=ChxjMe https://www.google.com/search?q=my+google+homepage+had+a+recent+article+on+a+recent+quantum+fluctuations+found+in+the+CMB+but+i+can't+find+the+link+can+you+find+it+for+me+and+does+it+have+anything+to+do+with+the+multiverse+or+cyclic+universe+theory&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUyBggAEEUYOdIBCjEwMzk5NWowajSoAg6wAgE&client=ms-android-att-us-rvc3&sourceid=chrome-mobile&source=chrome.ob&ie=UTF-8&fbs=ABfTbFXXq5_lq1-qc-RNbCT-iVCv1pqpzFbsklS6H69T2lad0GTf_QfkL84T_NcuUjCLgDARHbyGxBgoONb2ZzsFCAMnn5FpLgyJf_3J6jzq_3iFiND4grLzxzUiNcVVuyoRfMiKsGOOY7X4WpN1LCTfZrldpw0TpjvvKV4oUNAOvaUAxCas03At6J2eiT8eezKqSbtYRKWAGaTEJ4VT73Ov27_x1hUyMxZFgnscg-h_xcAJkLt4u9I&aep=10&ntc=1&sxsrf=APpeQnumT__IKLg_2evuZ_4jCuCtXlNPsg%3A1792015565485&mstk=AUtExfDIKWopk4_zi8Wat6oTUVMnZ2prTce3qwEZCRq2Xqe4aYq7iCweln0-GyBG05Q1912rEkEns-YM3Z1UtgASGx6pve10N9YxYg94dJEuhlo0eNKb3j_FPMQikPWKFffBDsll7-FR6mdiYdAcNxLxLB5zMVvjtKi8EWUCO2ovu1aUZ2rkK8ifYLjpGuSLvkQwldtDGNhz75d8yiAG9KS5NUY6cndS4o2LFoeyZ-w6jiCrZdAe_CzfgKoytp0c4qH0GTkX3BowByY5CycKfxBWIitUxSifYTwRsAyq0x-xWy_heUk571C_N9sYpkNTDD3Wi5-xke9jvZsFsw&csuir=1&aioh=3&mtid=o_3PauzhAueo5NoPlv_G-AM&udm=50#lfId=ChxjMe They dont kill whales or birds. First of all they can't kill whales at all unless the whales are jumping out of the water and hundreds of feet up. And they dont kill birds because they are computerized to automatically shut off when birds approach. I'd like to have more sunny days for my newly installed solar panels. Warmer winters are actually really good for lower fossil fuel consumption. -
It would be nice if it was more sunny October is supposed to be our sunniest month. How much more hot was October 2024? That was my all time favorite October with the warmth and dryness that lasted into mid November. No you shouldn't be sweating because it's not hot. LOSE WEIGHT GET UNDER 180 POUNDS FOR YOUR OWN HEALTH ANT! Was the heat around this time in 1995 due to Hurricane Opal cutting up to our west? I remember NYC hit 86 and the Pope was in town and people were fainting in the heat. As we all know the record setting historic snowfall season began just a month later! Also if this was NYC earliest 32 degree temperature in 1876 why does the record say that the low was actually 34? Interesting comparison between Hurricane Hazel in 1954 and the 1846 hurricane. Do we know how strong the winds were with it when it got up here? Also 1954 had a record high today was that from Hazel? Next weekend will be much better as a matter of fact it will be clear sailing for at least a week after Friday. The cool shot will only be brief and it will be warmer again next week. No it will likely be in the mid 70s again next week after this brief cool shot. Could be in the mid 70s again next week. Wow it was already in the 30s this time in 1993 but hit 80 on November 15th (the latest ever) before the long cold winter began. Just a few drops here and today was still warmer than yesterday here. The warmth is confined to the middle of the country both coasts are cool. We've barely had a few minutes of sunshine here the last two days most of the sunshine was to our west where it got into the mid 80s and set records. No it's actually perfect. You need to lose weight, Ant. It was warmer here today than it was yesterday even with the rain. Last night was really warm even for me and even at 1551 ft lol. Yesterday's splits were 52/70 and today's were 63/72. My highs are a little lower than Mt Pocono yesterday it was 71 there and today it was 73 there. Why is it so cloudy almost all the time? October is supposed to be our funniest month but even when it's not raining it's still mostly cloudy. The last two days the sun came out at 5 pm and the high temperature was at 5:20 pm. Wow no seabreeze today! Did JFK hit 80? Meh the 80 degree temperatures in February 2018 were very isolated.
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I wouldn't call it impressive I'd call it horrible. The heavy rains and high winds have brought an early end to the fall foliage season here as more than half the leaves are already down here. Officially the highest wind gust was 31 mph here but it went on for many hours and did some damage. Close to 3 inches here and many branches are down and more than half the leaves on the trees have also come down so I guess that means we are officially past peak. Expecting our first freeze next weekend anyway. By the way I see Mt Pocono in the yellow with 2.80 inches (and 31 mph wind gusts) but what is that yellow marker just to the west of Jim Thorpe and Lehighton? Is that 2.81 inches in Hazleton? It's just off the western edge of the map.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LibertyBell replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
He is a very smart guy but what he seems to forget is that at least 90 percent of the population wants a warmer climate. That's the main reason public policy doesn't change. Music to my ears and something I've been saying for a few months now. The summer of 1983 was one of my all time favorites. The period from June to September had endless heat like we've rarely seen only matched by 1991, 1993, 2002 and 2010. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Human population growth also has to stop growing and I think we are well on the way to do that. In a type of poetic justice exposure to fossil fuels has strongly been linked to reduced male fertility. The clincher was that this reduced fertility is now spreading to the developing world. The faster the human population stops growing the better. And the higher fossil fuel prices get the better. And the faster the climate warms the better because it means less fossil fuel use for heating. And it's also good that fossil fuel jobs are not popular anymore. I live in a fossil fuel free community there are no gas lines here at all. Rooftop solar is becoming more popular in urban areas like Brooklyn NY people are even selling their excess energy to others and not having to pay anything. My question though is how much do plastics contribute to the problem? We already know that plastic pollution is a huge problem and microplastics cause organ damage but the corrupt fossil fuel cartels are banking on plastics to replace decreased fossil fuel revenue. The good thing is plant based plastics are starting to replace them. And lab grown meat is making inroads on animal farming and animal testing is being replaced by the much more accurate and economical organs on a chip technology. Better for the climate and better in a moralistic sense. -
Wow October 2011 must have been absolutely amazing in Chicago! Record heat too? And how high were the SST in 1780 to get so much tropical activity? Were any of those Cat 5 and does it beat 1933 for tropical activity? And how close did the snow get to here in the 1804 snow hurricane? No 2024 was the record holder my favorite October of all time. It's absolutely disgusting here. This is the ugliest day since Memorial Day weekend. 2010 now that was a hot summer as was 1949 wow it was still setting records in the middle of October. Chicago's hottest summers are similar to ours. October 2024 was so much warmer than this and also much drier my ideal month with 0 rainfall and no heat being used unlike this October. Stop complaining you're way too young to remember actual heat. Yes there has been NO torch. Some people are too young to remember hot weather. It's an ugly ugly day. There is no "torching " I've had my heat on since the middle of August. You're way too sensitive to warm weather. Lol worse here it was 48 degrees with heavy rain here most of the day. But Happy Birthday Ant!!! It looks like a tropical storm passed through here I have to pick up fallen lawn decorations tomorrow. This is by far the worst weather since Memorial Day weekend. I like to think that creatures recognize living energy for what it is. This very friendly Blue Jay has been visiting me right at my bedroom window to wake me up.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LibertyBell replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes my 40 poster response when the Yankees lost to Tampa basically my end of postseason I told you post haha. Next year I'll try to break Dimaggio's record. I love birds and they love me. Lol he wouldn't mind. He knows I love birds and they love me. Like this very talkative highly intelligent Blue Jay who came to wake me up yesterday morning right at one of my bedroom windows. More than 16 It's my form of revenge. As a professional writer it's my way of concentrating everything into one powerful post lol. 1957 would probably be the utterly best case scenario. The top end of what one could hope for. Yep again it's my form of revenge. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LibertyBell replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes we had some extremely cold winters in the 1980s I'd argue the real warmth started AFTER December 1989. Something radically changed between December 1989 and January 1990 and it had NOTHING to do with ENSO! as matter of fact there were heat records set in the historic 1991 and 1993 year that still haven't been matched. Even our heatwaves have been shorter since then. Why does everyone blame everything on ENSO? Think and look deeper. This isn't really true Chris. The late 1800s winters were radically different from the 1970s winters. Look at NYC and Newark datasets. Also the real warmth began in the 1990s, there are records from 1991 and 1993 that still haven't been matched. Especially the length of our heatwaves. 1983 had such a hot wall to wall summer an el nino lingering into next summer won't prevent that from happening again. No neither was favorable but Decembet 1992 completely outclassed this one, it was much more historic. You need an offshore benchmark track for snow. UGH DO NOT TALK ABOUT THOSE DISGUSTING SWING AND MOSTLY MISS HITTERS THAT PLAGUE BASEBALL. WE TALK ABOUT THEM IN THE SPORTS FORUMS ABOUT HOW MEDIOCRE THEY ARE AND HOW THEY MAKE AVERAGE PITCHING SEEM GREAT AND HOW THEY ALWAYS CHOKE IN THE POST SEASON AS HAS BEEN PROVEN TIME AND AGAIN. GIVE ME DEREK JETER, TONY GWYNN, PAUL MOLITOR OVER ANY OF THEM. I WOULD LIKE A NEW RULE IN BASEBALL WHERE A HITTER GETS KICKED OUT OF THE GAME AFTER THEIR SECOND STRIKE OUT. I'M JUST GLAD THE HALL OF FAME REJECTS THEM COMPLETELY. THE THREE BORING OUTCOME PLAYERS DONT BELONG IN THE SPORT LET ALONE THE HALL OF FAME, PUT THEM IN THE HALL OF SHAME. Those kinds of lazy unathletic low IQ players need to be kicked out of baseball. There is a direct correlation between IQ and batting average. Tony Gwynn was a genius. No it was a coastal storm that stalled offshore and did a loop there was no primary, I dont believe the track shown on that map is correct. And the most recent storm would be snow changing to rain you need a track to be near Cape Cod to be all snow not the Jersey shore. Yes and NW NJ had 10 to 20 inches of snow but even aside from snowfall it was the greatest noreaster of our lifetines far greater than the March 1993 so called superstorm. It actually stayed a bit offshore of the delmarva and did an offshore loop, NW NJ got 10 to 20 inches including 14 inches at Sparta. I dont remember the January 1992 noreaster at all there were so many big noreasters that decade was that 1991-92 season the one in which we had an 9 inch 36 hour surprise snowstorm that stalled near the Hamptons? Yes this was the greatest noreaster of our lifetimes. 14 inches in Sparta NJ that might have been all snow even at the coast had it happened in February which is exactly what our local forecasters said because the temperatures fell into the 30s on the first day of the storm and it was close to being snow even as is. I remember that second stall near Cape Cod that gave us 1 to 2 inches of snow on the third day of the storm. That was a much more historic storm than this one was what were the top wind speeds and top storm surge with that one Chris? That one would have been all snow even at the coast had it happened in February, it was in the 30s as it was with 14 inches of snow in Sparta NJ. The most recent storm with that awful track had NO chance of being all snow at the coast even in February you need a Benchmark track near Cape Cod for that to happen. It actually stalled a bit offshore of the Delmarva and then stalled again near Cape Cod which is why it snowed on Long Island on the the third day of the storm. It would have been all snow even at the coast in February. Yes and even as is it was very close to being all snow at the coast. 14 inches in Sparta NJ. Sparta NJ had 14 inches of snow in February it would have been all snow even at the coast. What did January 1992 do I dont remember that one at all, only the surprise 36 hour 9 inch snowstorm we had in February that year. If it happened in February the historic December 1992 storm would have been all snow even at the coast. Yes you need a Benchmark track the most recent storm would not have been snow at the coast no matter when it happened . -
It's ridiculous for anyone to make a post like that, a couple of Octobers ago we had a month with ZERO rainfall that was the warmest October I have ever experienced and the warmth lasted right into the first two weeks of November when it hit 80 degrees multiple times even at JFK. That record will be very tough to beat. Chris how is it possible to have frost at 38-39 degrees? That's been the low here the last two mornings and I had a light frost on my roof both mornings. I'll see if I can post some pictures. Edit can't post photos maximum file size allowed 128.78 kb lol. The mornings are cold though and it's too windy duringthe day. I'm still trying to figure out what to set my individual thermostats at to maximize efficiency for heating. I have 17 thermostats here and what I've done so far is to keep the 4 bathrooms the coolest because they require the least amount of heat. Here is my heat map: 2 thermostats at 50 2 thermostats at 60 4 thermostats at 65 4 thermostats at 68 4 thermostats at 70 1 thermostat at 73 That averages out to exactly 65 degrees across 4048 sq ft. That last one is my bedroom thermostat it has to be the warmest! I also have three propane fireplaces downstairs but haven't used them yet. Two of the rooms downstairs are high vaulted ceiling two story rooms so their heat comes upstairs they contain two of the fireplaces. It's extremely difficult to hit 100 in the middle of summer why would it ever happen in February? This is nothing lol I made a special end of season post in the Yankees thread that covered 40 posts. And another one in the MLB thread that covered 15 posts. So that's a total 75 posts in 3.
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Low of 35 here I'll post some frost photos. Edit can't post them darned file size limit so here is another fall foliage photo instead. If they got down to 30 they beat Mount Pocono by 1 degree. All Cat 1 landfalls should be retired. Worst since Sandy both for winds and damage. Rooftop only frost but 35 for the low 37 is the lowest temperature you can have frost. Interesting temperature difference 35 here with light rooftop frost 31 at Mount Pocono first freeze and 37 at Scranton. It was also unexpected. It should be mandatory for all Cat 1 landfalls to be retired. Worst since Sandy. This is why you need to remove weak trees near the house. Yikes that's NASTY! And the air conditioning the following day lol. 35 here and light frost but only on my roof. I had both air conditioning and heat on in August. Or even both at the same time lol. Meh I'll turn it on in August if it's cold. 35 here and frost but only on my roof. Weak trees close to the house need to be removed I had to do that after a microburst in 2018. Same temperature as Mount Pocono 31 first freeze. Wow only 68 here but tomorrow should be warmer in the 70s with less wind. Maybe you will hit 80.
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1963, 1964 and 1965 was some three year stretch we also had some great winters in the 60s, 1960-61, 1963-64 and 1966-67. Summer 1966 was pretty great too!! The early 2010s were sort of like that too, well from 2009-10 to 2010-11 and if you want to go back to the 1990s the period from 1993 to 1996 was also very similar. I have this new "lake" on the southeast side of my property surrounded by what I can only describe as a "clay pit" similar to the infamous La Brea tar pits in California that trapped various animals. I've gotten stuck in that clay pit on two different days I need to put markers up there. Yes I'm just glad this wet pattern happened in the back half of summer and not during the first half otherwise we'd be stuck with swarms of mosquitoes. Luckily the first freeze might be happening here next week! I'm going to try and post some fall foliage pictures here let's see if they go through.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LibertyBell replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
NYC weather is much more like Philly than it is Boston and Philly has already had a T of snowfall and NYC has had less than 6 inches of snowfall half a dozen times. It's only a matter of time that NYC gets a T of snowfall for the season too. I'd say there's more than a 50 percent chance it happens by or before 2050. It's not a matter of wetter winters you can very easily have a cold and dry pattern alternate with a wet and mild pattern. It's a very stable configuration that can last an entire season. And with an ocean to the south and east it's very easy to warm up quickly enough that no snow accumulates even transitioning from an arctic to a maritime airmass. It's happened many times. -
I'm glad it will be sunny and dry all of next week, rain is not needed anymore. No more rain until 2028 and I'm not going to be nice enough to say "please" this is a demand NOT a request. I want either snow or sunny nothing else. I almost got stuck in a wet mound of clay where water had ponded. That was this morning when it was still sunny. 70 percent of this planet is covered in water there is no such thing as a "drought" anyone who wants water can just find the 70% of this planet covered in water and go jump in it!
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Many el ninos in this list but the only hot summer years were 1991 and 1993 and 2010 and 2011. 1991 was exceptionally hot even with an el nino.
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You guys need to forget the forecasts and remember some rules about fall and by extension winter weather in the northeast. It won't be completely sunny unless a cold front comes through. If it's going to be mild or even warm it will most likely be cloudy. 80 is low hanging fruit for early October it can be 80 right now with cloudy skies. That said a few peaks of sunshine are definitely possible even when it's warm just dont expect wall to wall sunshine. But our usual fall pattern is mild or warm and cloudy/rainy and sunny and cool to cold. We'll have sunny and cool weather Saturday and again next week. But remember that mild or warm and cloudy/rainy and sunny and cool/cold pattern because that will repeat itself ad infinitum from now through the winter. Dont expect wall to wall sunshine until a cold front passes through.
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If you remember that storm you know how much more historic it was, large parts of NYC and coastal new jersey were underwater I'd never seen such a thing before and not again until Sandy. I'd argue it was worse than Sandy because it lasted for three days and the precipitation was much more prolonged and much heavier. I wonder how I would have done in this storm at my current location. I know it would be all snow but how much? The snowicane was all snow here. The Octoblizzard was 20 inches of a very heavy wet snow here just before Halloween.
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Strong Nor'Easter/Hybrid Storm Late September 2026
LibertyBell replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
I corresponded with him on X and you can see our exchange there. The jist of it is this storm was more impactful in Suffolk County in terms of rainfall but in every other metric December 1992 far exceeded it (10.5 ft storm surge vs this storm only 3.5 ft). December 1992 had widespread hurricane force gusts from LGA (77) to Cape May (81). -
Note where the loop happened offshore that was the meat of the storm not the beginning part which was over land. This most recent much less intense storm retrograde right into central NJ which is why it would be rain in winter. You need a Benchmark track for snow at the coast. This was a hugger. Storm surge with December 1992 was 10.5 feet with this storm it was 3.5 feet.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LibertyBell replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
In many ways the December 1992 storm was much more historic in coastal impacts. Parts of all 5 boroughs of New York City were underwater as was a large part of the Jersey Shore. It lasted for three days. Snow in NW NJ and NE PA of 10 to 20 inches but the real story was the 10.5 foot storm surge that almost matched Donna and was only exceeded by Sandy. But in some ways that historic storm even exceeded Sandy. People were trapped in office buildings (my dear dad being one of them, he was trapped on the 49th story of an office building when the power went out and had to walk down the stairs) and our entire fence was blown down. That has never happened since. By comparison this most recent noreaster only had a 3.5 foot surge. Area of 70+ mph gusts was also much larger with that storm the whole area from LGA (77) to Cape May (81) gusted over hurricane force. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LibertyBell replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The summer of 1983 behaved like a la Nina though from June through September with the endless historic heat. I see the same thing for next summer. Same reason as 2015-16 with the Kara block added in? Did we have such a block in February 1983 too? -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LibertyBell replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Did you mean December 1992 Chris? That storm was far more historic than this one. Like 1983 it won't stop a historic hot summer for next year. Yes but 1983 had an exceptional endless hot summer from June through September so the el nino did not make the summer cooler. 1982-83 and 2015-16 had some similarities. If anything it would be less snow than 1997-98 as that late March event was a complete fluke and the airports got less snow. 2001-02 had even less snow. At the coast latitude doesn't really matter unless you're north of 42N you have the potential to be completely shut out of snow. Both 1982-83 and 2015-16 were far better for snow than 1997-98 was with much more late season blocking. In April 1983 JFK had their latest snowfall on record.
