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Will - Rutgers

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About Will - Rutgers

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  1. Will - Rutgers

    November 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread

    It has the appearance and demeanor of a decaying tropical cyclone.
  2. Will - Rutgers

    November 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread

    Lightning earlier, and a very heavy steady rain. Some gustier winds now too. The prodigious precipitation this year has been something amazing. Was forky correct when he said we're becoming a snowier Atlanta? It's probably the most apt description of the 2010s climate I've heard so far. But we're more prone to being in the rain shield because of our latitude. This has been a relatively unusual extratropical cyclone. Very potent, compact, but slow-moving.
  3. Will - Rutgers

    11/15-11/16 Coastal Storm Observation Thread

    Storm went from hours of heavy snow to an hour or two of moderate sleet and now ZR. Temp 30. We might never get plain rain. Tomorrow's commute could be very rough even if the back-end precip does not verify. And if it does, well forget it lol.
  4. Will - Rutgers

    11/15-16 Coastal Storm/ULL Discussion

    Winds starting to increase and take on a gustier disposition.
  5. Will - Rutgers

    November 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread

    I'm not sure how to describe this but this isn't the strongest gradient. Rather than a tight squall line, there's a significant gap between the mT and cP airmasses. Basically a thick front. Just instinctively it seems like strong CAA events like we'll experience tomorrow bring tighter squalls.
  6. Will - Rutgers

    November 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread

    I dare say it, things are changing. We may be in for some interesting weather over the next Forever, I guess.
  7. Will - Rutgers

    November 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread

    LOL @NycStormChaser I didn't even know that was you. Great spot. I saw the racing clouds and felt the temps and humidity and didn't think to check the sheer. And I don't know what TOR parameters there are besides. But it's amazing how many of these setups we have had. What a goofball summer/fall.
  8. Will - Rutgers

    November 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread

    BTW the significant tornado parameter map posted much earlier today did very well. Lots of potential to the west that wasn't fully captured but overall, there's a tornado warning over my head I wasn't expecting 24 hours ago. I'm impressed.
  9. Will - Rutgers

    November 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread

    Understood. I'm not giving any disrespect to the system in general, nor this event. Just that it's not the first cell phone explosion I got where I was way out of the way of the event. I'm not sure how these notifications are disseminated. It's seemed weird to me. Sometimes, oftentimes I'm underneath a really strong storm and get nothing.
  10. Will - Rutgers

    November 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread

    I hate this crap, it's like "FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR YOUR AREA" except the AREA is 25 miles away. We're well on the periphery of this. I don't really blame the people managing this, I know enough about weather to know I'm not in danger. It's basically for people who decide to go out driving, at least for my area. For these storms I'm not even sure we're getting rain.
  11. Will - Rutgers

    November 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread

    Tornado Warning alert on my phone scared the absolute goddamn piss out of me.
  12. Will - Rutgers

    Major Hurricane Michael

    The daytime ground floor eye and eyewall video from Michael is going to be its legacy. Here's a strong Cat 4 making landfall while strengthening during the day, with abundant stormchasers and their gear in position to intercept, all over the place. This stuff hardly exists anywhere else, and at this quantity. The future of meteorology and technology (and climate change, arguably) promise more of this, but for now, this storm is the king, undisputed IMO.
  13. Will - Rutgers

    Major Hurricane Michael

    I'd never fully appreciated it until now but it really is astonishing how technology has changed meteorology. Dramatically and very quickly. The oldest tool in the kit is, I guess, the recon plane (besides surface stations). And now we have surface stations that transmit wirelessly and through satellite, we have GOES-16 delivering astonishing detail on every aspect of a storm in nearly real time, and we have the infrastructure that allows people inside of a storm to broadcast video of it in real time to the entire world. Not to mention numerical weather prediction with reliability now measured beyond hours, and well into the range of several days for at least most basic details. To me it all culminates in the shot of the stadium effect from inside the eye at the surface. Someone said it earlier, that shot was Fermi's last theorem of weather. Disseminated within minutes or a few hours or so of being taken. Everything I talked about feeds into that, and turns the science into a work of art.
  14. Will - Rutgers

    Major Hurricane Michael

    Thanks for the reference. Fujita really was the man.
  15. Will - Rutgers

    October 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread

    I'm curious to look at the FSU phase space diagrams as this thing exists the coast to see just how ET it really is. What's shown by the HWRF looks more like something approaching the coast than something from the FL panhandle.