jbenedet Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Cold tucks have been over-modeled all season. I'm really interested to see how this one plays out. The teleconnections, warm antecedent airmass and lack of a strong high, signal past is prologue but guidance still pounding the table that it's real. So we watch. Also sell the NAM. If it happens at all, it's euro-esque. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 61 at 4 pm tomorrow 28 at 8pm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Weeklies still look good. LOL. I'm just the messenger. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Down to 40° right now. Sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Our high temps in Feb also were not matched in March 2018. Just went back and checked them out. Had forgotten how absurd they were!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Weeklies still look good. LOL. I'm just the messenger. nah, even if they look good we should assume they'll look bad later wink wink 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 but yeah, they're persistently blocky. -PNA remains, but the -NAO becomes central-based. FWIW obviously, but this evolution has been showing up for a couple weeks now I'm inclined to believe it's legit given that the ensembles are showing the -NAO consistently 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: Down to 40° right now. Sucks Yesterday was warmer here. We had about an hour or so of mid 50s and now it’s back down to 49° 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 12 minutes ago, dendrite said: Down to 40° right now. Sucks it was nice while it lasted, but I've lost a good bit of pack the last 2 days. We rebuild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 22 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 61 at 4 pm tomorrow 28 at 8pm Beer in between? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Full sun and deep mixing snuck yesterday in as the warmest day across SNH. Ended up a few degrees colder today 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Just now, wx2fish said: Full sun and deep mixing snuck yesterday in as the warmest day across SNH. Ended up a few degrees colder today Agreed, my home Davis high 56.5 today.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 minute ago, 512high said: Agreed, my home Davis high 56.5 today.... 57.9 here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Hit 61 today. Mild to Warmth is here to stay in general Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hit 61 today. Mild to Warmth is here to stay in general If you say so. Nothing shows that but if you say so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hit 61 today. Mild to Warmth is here to stay in general Click your high heels and wish it true. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Weeklies still look good. LOL. I'm just the messenger. Shots fired. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Best winter of our livez https://www.wfsb.com/2023/02/16/people-take-advantage-warm-weather-along-shoreline/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 29 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: If you say so. Nothing shows that but if you say so. Models showed snow next week. Go with what models don’t show and go with what should happen based on indicies.. setup , global pattern 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Models showed snow next week. Go with what models don’t show and go with what should happen based on indicies.. setup , global pattern Look forward to only mild to warmth as you forecast. Torch on 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 If we skirt through late next week with nada, there’s our once unthinkable 0.0” February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 When you realize winter is over and you start steaming for the Flemish Cap. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 40 minutes ago, 512high said: Agreed, my home Davis high 56.5 today.... only 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 43 minutes ago, wx2fish said: Full sun and deep mixing snuck yesterday in as the warmest day across SNH. Ended up a few degrees colder today Something I've noticed over the years of deterministic guidance efforts, particularly as it relates to arriving warmth ... that tends to happen surprisingly often. There'll be a day out in the late mid range in spring and summer that looks like it may really roast... Then as the time years, somehow its the day before that is the warmest, while the day that was supposed to roast originally ... just seems to invent reasons not to be as hot as it could be. Clouds...BDs ... systems just speeding up in timing...etc. Here we are in a Feb warm departure and there it is - boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Look forward to only mild to warmth as you forecast. Torch on Other than one -2 day cool shots (see Saturday) this is an AN pattern into and thru Morch . I think Morch comes in +2 or greater 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Models showed snow next week. Go with what models don’t show and go with what should happen based on indicies.. setup , global pattern Can you speak about the global pattern a bit? What do you see outside North America going on that will lead to warmth from here on out? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Our high temps in Feb also were not matched in March 2018. I saw 80F on the Mass Pike in Allston that Feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Can you speak about the global pattern a bit? What do you see outside North America going on? Let me break it down for the layman(you?) .. MJO and Indian Ocean in warm flux.. warm Europe equates to warm E NA, troughing from Hawaii into West coast digging for gold into Mexico, no blocking .. and a very strong SE Ridge over the western Atlantic.. What about any of that makes you think snow and cold in the east? I will give you Canada is cold . So there is that.. but how do we tap into it for lots of snow and cold ? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: We burn 2 brush fires in Modfans hometown. 5 acres and 2 acres in Killingly Brooklyn area. I work across the street from the Danielson FD. They have been going all day. It's been a little worrisome. Very busy with brush fires. They have me chasing my tail all day at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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