"We're gonna need a bigger plow..." Massive, persistent singal now emerges discretely in the models, 20th-23rd

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Eversource probably doesn't have much a choice to say that in CT lol. 

We’ve gotten phone calls and texts telling us to be ready for at least a few days of no power, but to know they have extra crews on hand 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

The CT power grid is made up of toothpicks and silly string, so yeah, no surprise if they get some outages 

[UnitedWx]

6 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Is that different than any other event there?

Hence why among many CT electricians... they're known as NeverSource. NOT a fun company to deal with on a business level either

[Modfan2]

23 minutes ago, FXWX said:

Can you send link to this page at BOX... cannot locate it for some frigg'n reason...

Grab it off twitter

[rimetree]

15 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Not sure how reliable this guidance is, but not outlandish compared to BOX latest.

Widespread damage in Portsmouth, Kittery and Hampton if this verifies

Parents and brother in N. Hampton with a water main break yesterday/last night left them without water for several hours. Now they'll lose power two days later. I would be very surprised if I lose power...have not seen that happen in 10 years here.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

21 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

The EMA weenie is made up of toothpicks and silly string, so yeah, no surprise when we continuously melt over less than ideal weather. 

Be kind to yourself friend.

[dendrite]

45 minutes ago, KTBFFH1905 said:

This GFS doesn't even make sense but I want to believe it given this Grinch storm. 

Maybe a little for the west slopes, but keep in mind that isn't all instantaneous. That's thickness paired with 6hr averaged precip. So a lot of that precip is outta here before the column cools to support snow.

[dryslot]

CT loses power if a chipmunk farts.

[CT Rain]

22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Ryan is aware, but that tide is going to be bad on the CT coast? 

Yeah could be impressive. Wave action on a southerly wind always creates more issues than you’d expect with a given tide level. 

[SJonesWX]

41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That thing retrograted too and had a sting jet practically for NE MA into SNH. That was ridiculous.

it was nuts. my house was shaking-and I am in a relatively protected spot. multiple trees down on my street, and i couldn't even go anywhere even if i wanted to. no power for 3 or 4 days.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Does CT see tide issues unless it’s like ESE wind funneling up Long Island sound  ? Most of the wave action is blocked from almost all wind directions by Long Island which is why nobody surfs there unless it’s extreme SE coast - stonington- and those barriers like islands by RI border - Ginxy ?

[dryslot]

I'm sure the folks in Camp Ellis are really looking forward to there next 2 high tide cycles.

[512high]

As far as I know, utilities companies will NOT let personal in bucket trucks if winds are 30 or 35mph (I believe), anyways, will take down my American flag   the garage tonight

 

[FXWX]

15 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Yeah could be impressive. Wave action on a southerly wind always creates more issues than you’d expect with a given tide level. 

There are a couple of Fairfield County coastal school districts that have to alter some bus routes during events like this one...

[weatherwiz]

Ever since Lamont nailed them with fines, anytime there is a sniff of higher wind gusts, Eversource is now going to ask for crews all over. They're petrified to screw up again. Plus they want to do a massive rate hike on customers so they want to "look good" to get that approved. The state is not going to see over 100,000 without power   unless we get a low topped derecho to blow through 

[WxWatcher007]

2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

Damn @WxWatcher007you chasing? 75 mph winds 3 feet of snow right where you were last month

No. I’ve been casually following but it’s Christmas and it’s the first one since my dad passed. Historic event out there. Historic period for them. Glad I got to partake in at least one epic event. 

I’ll enjoy my snowless and frozen landscape at home with the people I love, and I’ll be happy knowing I had the ability to give my family a good Christmas. 

[FXWX]

1 hour ago, Modfan2 said:

Grab it off twitter

Thx... Trying to find it on BOX home page... So far have no hit right tab...

[40/70 Benchmark]

22 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

No. I’ve been casually following but it’s Christmas and it’s the first one since my dad passed. Historic event out there. Historic period for them. Glad I got to partake in at least one epic event. 

I’ll enjoy my snowless and frozen landscape at home with the people I love, and I’ll be happy knowing I had the ability to give my family a good Christmas. 

Enjoy, Don.

[UnitedWx]

40 minutes ago, 512high said:

As far as I know, utilities companies will NOT let personal in bucket trucks if winds are 30 or 35mph (I believe), anyways, will take down my American flag   the garage tonight

 

30 mph, and precipitation free usually

[STILL N OF PIKE]

I may take a ride . Depends if i can get out of Buffalo area via being close to a highway by 9pm Saturday evening . That road in west Seneca where all the Hotels are is a 1/2 mile from I-90. Just wonder if I’ll be stuck on that side road that the hotels are on or just have to wait in lot for a plow lol to hit it 

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, FXWX said:

Thx... Trying to find it on BOX home page... So far have no hit right tab...

They have similar maps on their briefing page

https://www.weather.gov/box/emhome

[weatherwiz]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I may take a ride . Depends if i can get out of Buffalo area via being close to a highway by 9pm Saturday evening 

Unless you plan on traveling via snowmobile, I doubt it. 

[Brian5671]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We’ve gotten phone calls and texts telling us to be ready for at least a few days of no power, but to know they have extra crews on hand 

They will screw it up regardless-they are completely incompetent and don't learn

[CoastalWx]

Also, check the wind direction in this. Looked like a bit north of the typical south towns would be getting nailed. 

[KTBFFH1905]

55 minutes ago, dryslot said:

CT loses power if a chipmunk farts.

HA ! I am just glad I am on the same line as our main fire dept and the police station. I was only out of power for 24 hours in that 2011 storm. Hoping for the same if we lose power with 21 people expected on Sunday. 

 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

Unless you plan on traveling via snowmobile, I doubt it. 

Wolf has one 

[dryslot]

Jeezus

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
12pm Update...Quick update to hazards. Transitioned remaining
High Wind Watch to a Wind Advisory for central and southern NH,
as well as to a High Wind Warning for southern Somerset Co.
Increased peak gusts for portions of the Warning on the NW side
of the Whites, as well as right along the coast. Gusts to 70 mph
will be possible during a brief window as some MUCAPE
accompanies the jet translation through the CWA. More details
later.

[Brian5671]

40 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Ever since Lamont nailed them with fines, anytime there is a sniff of higher wind gusts, Eversource is now going to ask for crews all over. They're petrified to screw up again. Plus they want to do a massive rate hike on customers so they want to "look good" to get that approved. The state is not going to see over 100,000 without power   unless we get a low topped derecho to blow through 

This.  Wind forecasts almost always underperform.  March 2010 being an exception.

[Cyclone-68]

My local power company BELD has a sterling reputation and I hope they still do when this is done

[bristolri_wx]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Maybe a little for the west slopes, but keep in mind that isn't all instantaneous. That's thickness paired with 6hr averaged precip. So a lot of that precip is outta here before the column cools to support snow.

I would defer to the hi-res models to see if a snow squall line actually makes it through.  Earlier this morning, only the RGEM showed it, all the US hi-res models (NAM 3K, HRRR, FV3) showed a squall line that was rain-only except for the highest elevations up north.