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November 2022


Stormlover74
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Flying home from my trip to Iceland right now, solid 24-44 degrees the entire trip (went to the northern region for most of it). 
 

Literally returning to a November furnace. Walking out of EWR in this type of airmass after acclimating to those temps for two weeks and with all of our stuff? Yeah no thanks. 
 

Man I leave for two weeks and you guys torch the place down. 

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15 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

And, LGA , too.

Looks like the 79° at Newark was the 4th warmest for November.

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Nov
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Highest Max Temperature 
Missing Count
1 1950 85 0
2 2003 81 0
- 1974 81 0
3 1993 80 0
- 1982 80 0
- 1948 80 0
4 1994 79 0
- 1990 79 0
  2022 79 0
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Today was another exceptionally warm November day. Readings soared into the middle and upper 70s across the region. The warmth extended across northern New England into Canada.

Records included:

Allentown: 75° (tied record  set in 1935 and tied in 1994)
Albany: 76° (old record: 75°, 1994)
Atlantic City: 76° (tied record set in 1961 and tied in 2003)
Bangor: 73° (old record: 71°, 1938)
Bridgeport: 73° (old record: 72°, 1961)
Buffalo: 79° (old record: 76°, 1948)
Burlington: 74° (old record: 72°, 1938)
Caribou: 73° (old record: 67°, 1982)
Concord: 78° (old record: 75°, 1994)
Hartford: 78° (old record: 76°, 1994)
Islip: 74° (old record: 70°, 1975, 2005, and 2015)
Manchester, NH: 79° (old record: 75°, 2015) ***New November Record***
Montreal: 74° (old record: 66°, 1988) ***New November Record***
New Haven: 74° (old record: 72°, 1961 and 1975)
New York City-LGA: 75° (old record: 74°, 2005)
Newark: 79° (old record: 77°, 1959)
Portland: 75° (old record: 71°, 1994)
Providence: 75° (tied record set in 1994)
Quebec City: 72° (old record: 63°, 2008)
Rivière-du-Loup, QC: 68° (old record: 58°, 2008)
Saguenay, QC: 70° (old record: 67°, 2008)
Rochester: 77° (old record: 75°, 2015)
Syracuse: 77° (old record: 73°, 2015)
White Plains: 75° (old record: 73°, 2005)

Caribou recorded its first ever 70° November temperature in 2020. Today, it recorded its second ever November temperature. Saint-Anicet, Quebec set a provincial November record high reading of 78°.

Tonight, one will turn back the clocks one hour. In terms of weather, one will turn the calendar back to mid-September. Temperatures will again reach the middle 70s across many parts of the region tomorrow. On Monday, a few places could approach or reach 80°.

Afterward, it will become briefly cooler before temperatures rebound to much above normal levels. Noticeably cooler air will likely arrive by next weekend. Beyond mid-month, there are some emerging signals that Atlantic blocking could try to develop.

Since 1869, there have been just 7 prior years with a November 1-7 average temperature of 60.0° or above in New York City: 1938, 1961, 1974, 1975, 1994, 2003, and 2015. All of those cases saw a warmer to much warmer than normal November with a mean monthly temperature of 50.3° (lowest: 48.2°, 1974; highest: 52.8°, 2015). On a standardized basis, 6/7 (86%) cases were 0.5 sigma or more above the 30-year moving average (implied 49.4° average for the most recent 30-year period) and 4/7 (57%) were 1.0 sigma or more above the 30-year moving average (implied 51.0° average for the most recent 30-year moving average).

There was no clear seasonal snowfall outcome following such a warm start to November. Four cases saw less than 20" of seasonal snowfall (1961-1962, 1974-1975, 1975-1976, and 1994-1995); three cases saw more than 30" of seasonal snowfall (1938-1939, 2003-2004, and 2015-2016). The lowest seasonal snowfall occurred in 1994-95 when 11.8" fell. The highest amount was 42.6" in 2003-2004.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.0°C for the week centered around October 26. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.58°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.85°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist into the winter.

The SOI was -8.40 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.662 today.

On November 3 the MJO was in Phase 7 at an amplitude of 1.790 (RMM). The November 2-adjusted amplitude was 1.837 (RMM).

 

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2 hours ago, bluewave said:

Looks like the 79° at Newark was the 4th warmest for November.

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Nov
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Highest Max Temperature 
Missing Count
1 1950 85 0
2 2003 81 0
- 1974 81 0
3 1993 80 0
- 1982 80 0
- 1948 80 0
4 1994 79 0
- 1990 79 0
  2022 79 0

It was. This will almost certainly be the warmest first week of November in much of the region.

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