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3 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:


While most of this is correct it’s more like .75% of the words fresh water. 75% would be Antarctica.
Looks like the early ski season is going to suck. We need a flip late month.
We can have a cold snowy winter and Europe a warm winter.


.

Yeah that was mentioned on the nightly newscast so I haven't been able to find anything about that 75% number but here is something I just found about the white blankets they lay down.

https://www.livescience.com/61951-swiss-glacier-blanket.html

This year, like every year, a group of Swiss will traipse up through the mountains to the Rhône Glacier, hauling huge white blankets. As E&E News reported in a recent article on geoengineering, the annual hike is part of a doomed effort to protect the massive blocks of ice from the rising summer heat.

 
 

The Earth is getting warmer, and glaciers around the world are retreating and shrinking. As Live Science has previously reported, humans appear to have caused 69 percent of glacial melting between 1991 and 2010 — and warming has only accelerated in the nearly eight years since.

 
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2 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:


While most of this is correct it’s more like .75% of the words fresh water. 75% would be Antarctica.
Looks like the early ski season is going to suck. We need a flip late month.
We can have a cold snowy winter and Europe a warm winter.


.

Antarctica has about 90% of the worlds ice volume and about 70% of the worlds fresh water. At least the Antarctica is not melting as fast as the Alps. This report was on ABC news tonight and it was a little misleading.

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56 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said:

Precisely.  A warm winter for the USA and abroad would be welcome.   A warm snowless winter would be helpful to a lot of people 

So you're saying a cold snowy winter would worsen the economy and geopolitics...?

Breakout your coats and rev up those snow blowers gents... the current age of a warming planet is no match for apocalyptic irony.

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6 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:


While most of this is correct it’s more like .75% of the words fresh water. 75% would be Antarctica.
Looks like the early ski season is going to suck. We need a flip late month.
We can have a cold snowy winter and Europe a warm winter.


.

The real classic winters during WW1 and WW2 were cold and snowy both here and in Europe.

Thinking of winters like 1916-17 and 1917-18 and then 1941-42 and 1942-43.

 

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Just now, Nibor said:

So you're saying a cold snowy winter would worsen the economy and geopolitics...?

Breakout your coats and rev up those snow blowers gents... the current age of a warming planet is no match for apocalyptic irony.

We could also have a mild and snowy winter.  That seems to happen more often now.

 

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2 minutes ago, lee59 said:

Antarctica has about 90% of the worlds ice volume and about 70% of the worlds fresh water. At least the Antarctica is not melting as fast as the Alps. This report was on ABC news tonight and it was a little misleading.

Oh you saw it too!  That's what I was watching.

The white blanket cover on the Alps thing is true (I posted a link about that.)

 

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I think the winter may turn out like 1974-75, the current situation is similar, after a generally cold early October it turned very mild late in the month, hit 80 on Nov 1st and then stayed dull but mild all through Nov-Dec, January  1975 quite mild too, February mild with heavy rainfalls, March turned colder with some below normal intervals, and the first half of April 1975 was unusually cold with a big snowstorm across the Great Lakes that was the latest real blizzard I experienced in my years living in Ontario. Then May 1975 turned scorching hot and very dry.

That sort of winter can open up a few brief intervals for a coastal event of some kind, I can vaguely recall a snowfall over eastern Ontario and southern Quebec that was heavy but melted right away in Dec 1974 but in the Toronto area that missed and the month was generally snow-free.

By the way, Don you'll be interested in this, as you probably know, the huge positive temperature anomalies run up over this western region (WA, BC) suddenly switched sign a few days ago and we are eroding that near-record value down towards maybe +4F outcomes, it has been cold enough for snow in my area all week, although we only got a brief dump that has melted. But with that unusual warmth, we are still left with a lot of leaf cover locally and the fall colors are quite vibrant, normally this would end mid-October with winds and rain that we just haven't seen at all so far this month (inland, they have seen rain on the coast). 

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Morning thoughts…

Today will be mostly sunny and a bit cooler. High temperatures will reach the lower and middle 60s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 64°

Newark: 65°

Philadelphia: 66°

Tomorrow will e noticeably cooler.

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 60.6°; 15-Year: 61.2°

Newark: 30-Year: 61.9°; 15-Year: 62.6°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 63.1°; 15-Year: 63.2°

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Warmer October to the north and east of NYC and cooler south and west. Continuation of this theme for the rest of the month. Ridge set up again over the NW Atlantic record warm pool. This allowed for two record warm low minimums in a row at ISP.

ISP….+0.5

FRG…+0.5

HPN….+0.2

JFK….-0.5

NYC….-1.4

LGA…..-1.5

EWR…..-2.1

Islip Area, NY
Period of record: 1963-09-05 through 2022-10-26

Highest minimum temperatures (degrees F)Top Record 2nd Record 3rd Record

10/25 65 in 2022 59 in 1975 59 in 1971
10/26 60 in 2022 60 in 2010 59 in 2003

 

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03693959-5629-4001-93A2-63C252E046FD.thumb.png.89a0fced1194545083b608e6b99a62ed.png
 

E2421E9F-A7B5-418B-8754-7945840C800F.thumb.jpeg.8039f665a37010c627398416db64707b.jpeg

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The last 5 days of October are averaging  55degs.(51/63) or +2.     The first week of November is averaging  a ridiculous  63degs.(56/70) or +12!

1667865600-oxGvgpMdPcA.png

Month to date is  57.4[-1.4].        October should end at 57.0[-0.9].

Reached 70 here yesterday.

Today:   63-66, wind n.-breezy, m. sunny, 47 tomorrow AM.

57*(75%RH) here at 7am.       58* at 9am.        60* at Noon.      63* at 2pm.      64* at 3pm.       65* at 3:30pm.

 

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