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Rtd208
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17 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Long Beach might actually get a T-storm, it’ll be close. Fingers crossed. 

I'm here in the Long Beach desert, the 2nd or 3rd round of t storms going on now.  Had the pleasure of nearly getting blown off a bike on the boardwalk in blinding rain, fun times still though.

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With nothing else to hang our hats or anticipations on the Euro at day 10 and some of its ensembles from 00Z, have not seen 12Z yet have a tropical system near the Bahamas on day 10.   High pressure aloft is entrenched to the north so some semblance of U.S. threat is possible down the road.  Long ways off but with absolutely nothing else going on might as well find something on the maps of interest.

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6 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Radar says maybe 0.50” there. It was tiny and flew by. Enough to make some puddles and that’s it, wayyy more needed. 

That cell weakened a lot by the time it got here. Just a sprinkle here with the sun trying to come out already. It just doesn't want to rain

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Euro 12Z EPS offers modest support to the op solution at day 10.  Worth watching with not much else going on.  Water is bathtub warm off the east coast and has been untouched so far this season.  Assuming atmospheric conditions are favorable this would have some potential.  System seeding this 10 day feature has persisted for 24-36 hours now.  We'll see.  High pressure would appear to be entrenched north of feature so if it can get going some reasonable expectation of the southeast U.S. threat.  Ten days away but gaining some model support last few cycles.

12Z EPS.jpg

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High of 93° at Newark away from the sea breeze. This is the 46th day reaching 90° as 2022 moves up to 3rd place. Last year was the only time that a 40+ day season had more inches of snow than 90° days.
 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 
Seasonal Snowfall
1 2010 54 47.9
2 1993 49 28.8
3 2022 46 17.9
4 1988 43 22.8
5 2021 41 45.7
- 2002 41 3.6
- 1991 41 21.5
6 2016 40 32.6
- 1983 40 31.0
- 1959 40 17.8
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