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July 2022 Disco/obs/etc


Torch Tiger
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1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Yeah..mentioned earlier, while no direct W/SW heat plume assaults down stream, there are these kind of non-committal ejecta that offer more of a indirect/mixing with continental cook.   It's hot...but 'how much so' 

The 850 mb heat isn't also associated with a deep EML either but ...that 'side swiping' is similar in this context.

On the look we probably just miss out of the biggest heat. Mid-to-upper 90's into PA/NJ/NYC while hottest temperatures here are more lower 90's. 

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I was in London early July 2015 when it topped 98 for the first time.  Little in the way AC.  We went to the airport to scout out the plan on how to get there the next day and in no way to cool off.

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3 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

I want every single tree, forest, plant, fence, shurb leveled...leveled and 100% demolished to the point they can't be recovered. 

Definitely the wrong region, but if you aim high your dreams will come true.

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19 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

The summer of CoC is coming to an end   Summer dews will be something to deal with for a bit.  Today is a top 10'er 

My lord it was an absolutely gorgeous stretch of weather. Just fantastic and to see that microburst yesterday was very cool. Possibly the best day yet. I can not fathom any summer lover not enjoying this summer. COC fans had a great run , now the schweaty ball crew will get to enjoy the smegma and butt juice they just love. 

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Bring 'er in please!

A plume of steep 700-500 mb lapse rates, a reservoir of
   low-level moisture over parts of the Midwest, agreement/consistency
   in models showing the strength and evolution of the aforementioned
   mid-level disturbance, all combine to yield sufficient confidence in
   the notion for a concentrated area of severe-wind producing
   thunderstorms over parts of the Upper Midwest/western Great Lakes on
   Tuesday (day 5).  Considerable uncertainty exists by the end of day
   5 into day 6 to preclude any downstream highlights.

 

 

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15 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Is today the climatological warmest day?  Regardless of the mild-up, summer’s on the back nine.

Depends on location, of course, and summer temp max is a plateau more than a peak.  Current (and "live", so subject to added data) mean temps climbed above 65° on July 10th and drop below that mark after August 10.  The peak wiggles under/over 66° during the final week of July.

Edit: 
The much longer record of the Farmington co-op shows a peak on July 19, with means remaining within 1° from July 7 thru August 4.
For the current norms, 1991-2020, warmth peaks on July 29, same as for my data 1998-on, and remains within 1° from July 10 thru August 11.

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Been going back through the drought monitor records.  I'm not sure why there's so much hyperbole in terms of the dry weather we're encountering.  It's not necessarily unusual for the region to be in some sort of drought this time of the year.  Seems to be based more on the oscillation of the patterns than anything else.  Going back 10 years, about half of them have had large parts of the region encountering drought conditions in mid July.

Their map archive goes back through the year 2000.  There was a period between 2001 - 2004 also featured drought conditions in mid July.

current_northeast_trd.png

20210713_northeast_trd.png

20200714_northeast_trd.png

20190716_northeast_trd.png

20180717_northeast_trd.png

20170711_northeast_trd.png

20160712_northeast_trd.png

20150714_northeast_trd.png

20140715_northeast_trd.png

20130716_northeast_trd.png

20120710_northeast_trd.png

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5 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

Been going back through the drought monitor records.  I'm not sure why there's so much hyperbole in terms of the dry weather we're encountering.  It's not necessarily unusual for the region to be in some sort of drought this time of the year.  Seems to be based more on the oscillation of the patterns than anything else.  Going back 10 years, about half of them have had large parts of the region encountering drought conditions in mid July.

Their map archive goes back through the year 2000.  There was a period between 2001 - 2004 also featured drought conditions in mid July.

current_northeast_trd.png

20210713_northeast_trd.png

20200714_northeast_trd.png

20190716_northeast_trd.png

20180717_northeast_trd.png

20170711_northeast_trd.png

20160712_northeast_trd.png

20150714_northeast_trd.png

20140715_northeast_trd.png

20130716_northeast_trd.png

20120710_northeast_trd.png

I remember the “great drought of 2016” so many perished and others suffered greatly ...ummm no 

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Taking this quick research a step further - going back to 2000, by the last week of September, at least 2/3 of the years have moderate drought or greater conditions covering large geographic areas of New England.  So to summarize over the last 22 years:

  • Drought isn't unusual in New England in July.
  • Droughts lasting large parts of the summer also aren't unusual.
  • Droughts usually end in the Fall and Winter for New England.

Not sure where to pull data for time periods for time periods before the year 2000, but heck, it's been dry, but eventually the pattern will change at some point, and it's not anything new.

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35 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

Taking this quick research a step further - going back to 2000, by the last week of September, at least 2/3 of the years have moderate drought or greater conditions covering large geographic areas of New England.  So to summarize over the last 22 years:

  • Drought isn't unusual in New England in July.
  • Droughts lasting large parts of the summer also aren't unusual.
  • Droughts usually end in the Fall and Winter for New England.

Not sure where to pull data for time periods for time periods before the year 2000, but heck, it's been dry, but eventually the pattern will change at some point, and it's not anything new.

Appreciate the research and info using data.  Puts some of the hyperbole in context.  Still sucks if it’s torching your lawn but it seems to happen quite frequently during hit or miss precip patterns in the warm season.

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A little excitement this evening right before the sun went down.

This absolute unit of a bear strolled through the backyard.  We see bears but this might've been the biggest yet.

It was close enough, and chill enough, to be able to get the real camera.  Could've rode this guy like a horse.

294199695_10104834148314890_817938508717

294040714_10104834148449620_765672649654

294062219_10104834151708090_450401713717

294163484_10104834148639240_830845777290

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Just now, powderfreak said:

A little excitement this evening right before the sun went down.

This absolute unit of a bear strolled through the backyard.  We see bears but this might've been the biggest yet.

It was close enough, and chill enough, to be able to get the real camera out.  Could've rode this thing like a horse.

294199695_10104834148314890_817938508717

294040714_10104834148449620_765672649654

294062219_10104834151708090_450401713717

294163484_10104834148639240_830845777290

Holy crap!  See ya later,…..

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