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Obs. : TROPICAL STORM Henri


DotRat_Wx
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2 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

Man, look at this historical track on Henri… he was never strong and confident. From the beginning he was drunk after leaving the club in Bermuda, wandering around looking for a food truck, and accidentally ended up in Westerly, RI.

A60C1A83-B064-4751-B753-C303E5E4516E.jpeg

Ya he sucked overall. Nothing but a drunken fool from Bermuda.  What a way to waste a great set up for a SNE Hurricane strike. :-(

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20 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

funny how some surprisingly intensify and some don't even though they're expected to.  Once this didn't get to 85-90Mph and coupled with the well east landfall (vs Central LI let's say) it was over for many as far as the wind threat.

Safe to say this was another JB bust? :lol: 

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20 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

funny how some surprisingly intensify and some don't even though they're expected to.  Once this didn't get to 85-90Mph and coupled with the well east landfall (vs Central LI let's say) it was over for many as far as the wind threat.

That's one of the things I love about tracking tropical. I've been doing it since I was a kid and while you have a lot of data available to you, sometimes it's more chaotic.  

I will say though, the intensity forecast from the NHC wasn't that bad. I think at their peak they had a 90 mph storm, but when it struggled after the shear the forecast went down to I believe 80 mph. We knew it'd weaken on final approach and it did. Globals were not nearly as good with intensity. 

I thought there was about a 20% chance of Henri overshooting the forecast when I saw that cyan ring on MW yesterday, but it could never fully close off an eyewall. While you can be steady state or gradually intensify with a partial eyewall, it's very hard to be a significant TC without a fully formed eyewall. 

I'm usually hurricanes or bust but because it was so close I went down to RI to chase. Wish I could have gotten to a beach. 

 

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