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wncsnow

2/6/-2/7 Snow Threat

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4 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

Yea I think people just feel burned recently and are naturally pessimistic by it. Runs look good for that area. 

Game on, we'll see!

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It appears the low is further east in the HRRR. I believe that would keep the upper levels lower for the NW piedmont and may stay as all sleet and snow with no changeover to rain on the backend.

Sent from my SM-N960U1 using Tapatalk

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If this verifies I'll have 5-7 hours of blizzard in Stuart to get my 5-6".  This wont verify.  I'll grab a security cam pic of my wet ground at midnight tonight.

I am here at Primland Resort just west of Stuart. Will be interested to see if this verifies!
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Not good boys...Even the NAM is underestimating the strength of the warm nose apparently.

special 18z sounding from KFFC shows a
stronger warm nose than what any of the models depict, but the NAM
is closest. How far this warm nose works north and west, into the
area where temps are closest to or below freezing, will determine
the extent of the wintry precip.

They dropped my totals for the 3rd time today and only give me a single hour of all snow and transition to all rain by 11....:unsure:

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1 minute ago, SnowDawg said:

Not good boys...Even the NAM is underestimating the strength of the warm nose apparently.

special 18z sounding from KFFC shows a
stronger warm nose than what any of the models depict, but the NAM
is closest. How far this warm nose works north and west, into the
area where temps are closest to or below freezing, will determine
the extent of the wintry precip.

They dropped my totals for the 3rd time today and only give me a single hour of all snow and transition to all rain by 11....:unsure:

I'll never doubt the NAM again. HRRR is fool's gold, hope I'm wrong. Hard to doubt what it is seeing in regards to thermals. 

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Just now, palmettoweather said:

I'll never doubt the NAM again. HRRR is fool's gold, hope I'm wrong. Hard to doubt what it is seeing in regards to thermals. 

Ground truth shows the NAM is initializing too warm

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4 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

It is a plastering for the both of us but is it right?

Honestly idk anymore lol. Good to see reports of @oconeexman having pingers. Upstairs is cold.

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Stations south of Atlanta have dropped from 50-52 to 38 degrees and they’ve only received .01 or .02 of liquid so far and haven’t reached saturation yet... bodes well for us I think. 

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It looks like douglassville, Georgia Will wetbulb down to 34-35 at minimum... we might might have something here.  

21F6CDDC-D385-4614-8E7C-33E6F4BBB25A.png

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9 minutes ago, ST21 said:

Per Brad Nitz, lots of sleep reports in metro Atlanta

 

Snoopy1.gif

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39 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Even the warmest models like the 3km have 3 inches here when they had an inch or less yesterday 

snku_acc.us_ma (2) (18).png

That's what I been hoping for with this storm in Valdese just 3 inches. I only have about 2 and half weeks before I move to Buffalo want to see something here lived here for the last 27 years.

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