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btownheel

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Everything posted by btownheel

  1. btownheel
    I need this modeled squall line moving SE early evening to deliver… .
  2. btownheel
    Gimme dat. .
  3. btownheel
    I mean, we have an inch and a half here right now. lol at that depiction. .
  4. btownheel
    Good news is best performing CAM (RGEM) basically shows precisely that. .
  5. btownheel
    Just multiply everything you see by 1.5X on low end to 2X high. .
  6. btownheel
    Your almost childlike enthusiasm to come on here for days/weeks straight and excitedly post the absolute worst case possible scenarios (at least 3 times in a short time frame) every time is…….super weird. I guess whatever gets your jollies… .
  7. btownheel
    You guys are ridiculous. .
  8. btownheel
    It’s not even close so far. .
  9. btownheel
    Is is directly over the top of that or does it develop downstream of a feature like that? Apologies, very MBY of me but the top of that is right over my head here on the Alamance/Guilford line. Wouldn’t mind a micro feature like that to “dry slot” proof us early! .
  10. btownheel
    Can I say it? WRAL post Fishel isn’t really worth paying much attention to. .
  11. btownheel
    Yeh, if this delivers and fills all of our bellies Imma need that one to miss. At some point my daughter needs to go back to school, lol. .
  12. btownheel
    NW trend is popping. If you loop the non UKMet models you can see it. She gonna keep ticking, too. Watch. NWS RAH percentages show they think so as well. .
  13. btownheel
    He seems to add extremely little value. We can all read the Euro outputs as well. .
  14. btownheel
    Wouldn’t be surprised if they see what Fishel discussed on a podcast that was linked in SWx this morning. He sees the coastal bombing closer to the NC Coast and hugging due to warmer Gulfstream water and ULL interaction and believes the models are struggling with that feature. That’s 40+ years of experience with NC climo talking. NWS RAH has their team with experience in our climo as well. .
  15. btownheel
    There may be nothing prettier in the weather world for us in NC than watching the overrunning ULL front end thump moisture hit the brakes as it crashes into an exploding coastal and start reversing course. .
  16. btownheel
    Bear in mind all, those are 10:1 as well. Basically painting the state with a foot .
  17. btownheel
    Globals are gonna struggle with convective feedback I think. CAMS will help resolve a bit of that. .
  18. btownheel
    My. God. .
  19. btownheel
    It’s NAM at 84. Bombing Miller A will have a really quick transition zone and temps will crash out quickly as it bombs. .
  20. btownheel
    Y’all, now that the majority of this forum escaped catastrophic ice, I can say that was a damn fun storm! Always enjoy a good sleet bomb. That one was real close to peeling off like 6 inches here as well, just set up a shade too far north unfortunately. .
  21. btownheel
    I want to see thundersleet this afternoon. .
  22. btownheel
    Concrete bomb. Not a drop of zr yet. 15 degrees. Seem to remember someone here telling y’all to trust the mega CAD . What a fun storm! .
  23. btownheel
    This pixie snow is wild. .
  24. btownheel
    We’ve left the “light” part behind. Full sleet, pinging off the windows like crazy. .
  25. btownheel
    I feel we mirror reports (1 mile W of Elon). Snow with a tiny hiss of a few pingers in there. .
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