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kvegas-wx

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Everything posted by kvegas-wx

  1. kvegas-wx

    New GFS is now operational

    Excellent! I'll take my 16" of snow forecasted for mid December to the bank and throw the rest of the winter out the window. It would be nice if they tweaked it enough to at least accurately predict Jan/Feb torches!
  2. kvegas-wx

    June 2019 OBS

    This little gem deserves a name. Making a huge impact. Radar just continuing to reload. Several inches still to go. Shouldnt be anyone with drought concerns once this one passes.
  3. kvegas-wx

    June 2019 OBS

    If we get 3-6" of rain today on top of what just fell across the triad, especially Winston proper over the last 3 hours or so, look out. Bigtime flash flooding.
  4. kvegas-wx

    June 2019 OBS

    Radar starting to show a nice little sit and spin action dead over the triad. I dont think we're outta the woods quite yet Burnsie. Thankfully I live on top of a hill. Might hit 6" by tomorrow morning.
  5. kvegas-wx

    June 2019 OBS

    FFW for the triad. 2018 all over again. The big wet continues!!
  6. kvegas-wx

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    If there was such a thing as a humidity ridge the ensembles would be showing that for sure cuz I'm kinda feelin' like we're sitting right under a luke warm water faucet right now. We just can't win here with weather anymore. I don't need 3 months of humid and wet. I had that last year.
  7. kvegas-wx

    General Severe Weather

    Line that just went through the Triad was amping up the whole time. Very heavy rain, maybe some pea size hail and some solid lighting activity. Radar is loaded. Wouldnt want to be in central and eastern NC today if all of these cells start going severe.
  8. kvegas-wx

    General Severe Weather

    Hope not. I am under it as we speak!
  9. kvegas-wx

    General Severe Weather

    I was hoping these storms would set up just east of the Triad as often happens. Not today. Some good looking cells kicking off just east of the mountains and I have a warning here in Stuart already today. Could be a hail damage kinda day!
  10. kvegas-wx

    May 2019 Observations

    Have fun Shaggy. Brings back a fun historical thought for me....I ran the transportation fleet for Hootie's tour way back in 1997. My wife and I had backstage passes to meet and hang with the band after the show in Raleigh but she was pregnant with my first daughter. We met Darius and the band but couldnt stay more than 5 minutes cuz baby was pissed off after all that noise. I would have loved to hang for a while and chat. Thats when Hootie was HUGE.
  11. kvegas-wx

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Perfect. Early cold flip, then another December Destroyer snow storm, and then.....well, we know what happens next. I give this prediction a 99.8% chance of verifying. The .02 leaves room for a Yellowstone eruption.
  12. kvegas-wx

    May 2019 Observations

    We had a similar stretch in May last year and then the tables flipped to one of the wettest summers in quite a while followed by two canes. This certainly looks like a different pattern this year but maybe an early tropical system can break things up a bit. I can't do this until September. Headed for 90 again today in the Triad. 89 and steamy now.
  13. kvegas-wx

    MAY 20, 2019 High Risk

    And now the convo is just one short leap away from saying that its a bust because people didnt die and things werent destroyed. Meaning CNNs headlines werent lived up to....."catastrophic". If we had a day full of EF5 tornadoes and the only thing that was torn up was hayfields, nobody would care except for those here that understand the magnitude of the event. We are a headline driven society that thrives on negative news. Not a good combo for an aggressive storm forecast.
  14. kvegas-wx

    MAY 20, 2019 High Risk

    This event may end up with more flash flooding damage than tornado damage. Seriously heavy precip amounts in populated areas while the tornado damage is "mostly" in rural areas as of now.
  15. kvegas-wx

    MAY 20, 2019 High Risk

    These guys are nuts. Driving on dirt side roads that are already wet under heavy rain bands. If there is something real coming out of that Childress storm there's going to be a lot of folks stuck in the mud.
  16. kvegas-wx

    MAY 20, 2019 High Risk

    Nick Busby is teed up nicely on the Childress storm at Livestormchasing.com.
  17. kvegas-wx

    MAY 20, 2019 High Risk

    Chaser saying the Paducah tornado is a long rope tornado (now 2 funnels) 75% down to the ground.
  18. kvegas-wx

    MAY 20, 2019 High Risk

    Bob Pack has a wall cloud on a storm around Paducah, TX. Livestormchasing.com.
  19. kvegas-wx

    MAY 20, 2019 High Risk

    TOG on the Tornado Tech live stream mentioned earlier. Video and audio active on the stream.
  20. kvegas-wx

    MAY 20, 2019 High Risk

    Tornado Tech chase team is on that cell now over at Severestudios.com. EDIT - I mean REALLY on it. Heading north up TX70 and look to run smack into it if it drops. Great position for the first intercept of the day.
  21. kvegas-wx

    MAY 20, 2019 High Risk

    I would not want to be in Paducah, TX right now. Anywhere along Hwy 287 is likely to see some action shortly. Cells maturing quickly.
  22. kvegas-wx

    MAY 20, 2019 High Risk

    Should be a rather predictable day for chasing. Just don't get run over by a northeasterly track. Nothing sketchy about direction (El Reno). But the trade-off is real. You'll never catch anything from the south today. Decisions will have to be made in minutes, if not seconds.
  23. kvegas-wx

    MAY 20, 2019 High Risk

    Storm crossing I40 west of Amarillo is looking nasty. Just went storm warned.
  24. kvegas-wx

    MAY 20, 2019 High Risk

    Severestudios.com also has a few chasers live this morning. Specifically Ken Engquist is in a great spot heading to an area just east of Amarillo as things begin to explode. This will be an amazing day with endless hours of chase video to review in the coming weeks.
  25. kvegas-wx

    MAY 20, 2019 High Risk

    KOCO also have live streams for multiple storm chasers. They are already active on their site.
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