kvegas-wx

Or was it just a dusting on a sand dune?

As long as "meet in the middle" means we have lunch on the NC side of the state line, you're good with me.

One thing I am confident of....nobody on this board is losing sleep over 12z runs until Thursday night. Many lessons learned I think.

In the heat of the moment the triad went from 21° to 28°. Now I'm back down to 27°. Crazy stuff.

135 collective thread pages between the prediction thread and the obs thread. It wasn't pretty Jimbo! But somehow you delivered. Hope the recovery is easier with the power on.

Oh dear lord. Here we go. (Grabs bootstraps and checks on stock of caffienated beverages)

We're all in the addict club. Believe me they understand. They'll be here shortly!

Something tells me we are about to learn more about water droplets and thermodynamics than most college courses teach. I'm all ears. Who is our resident expert?

Temps in the triad gonna peak around 27-28° and we await the crash overnight with the next front. We're baby steps away from Kamchatka here folks.

Up two more degrees in the last 20 minutes. 26° now. CAD is on its death bed. It was a good fight.

Our CAD may erode over the triad right as the precip ends. Up 2° in the last 30 mins. 23-24° now.

One hour of Fernie left. This chick definitely got the best of us and overstayed her welcome. Definitely getting foggy as the humidity shoots up. Temps still holding strong in the low 20s in the triad.

Lets start with not getting above freezing in the Triad until next Sunday even on sunny days. That alone is highly uncommon. This winter is COLD overall thus far. And Fab Feb is right around the corner. Will Sunday be a coastal??

Ok folks, I think we now have reasonable assurances that we won't end up with a catostrophic ice event anywhere in our forum. A few power outages, sure. But we really dodged some cannonball sized bullets here. Even if there is ZR leftover the amounts should be nuisance at best. Take a breath, relax, cook some good food for dinner and enjoy your sleet. Looks like Old Man Winter has some tricks in store again soon. This wedge will have novels written about it. Unreal.

Can confirm! Going to pick up quickly.

Really thinking this will not be ZR for anywhere in north central NC. Rates have indicated sleet thus far and not much has changed. We are about to get pounded. I have a new board set up so hopefully I can get a good measurement from it.

Is sleet a 3:1 ratio in most instances? Whatever we had last night was definitely not sleet. I want to start a new board for this evening.

July rainstorm quality sleet here in the Triad. My goodness!!

According to the pawprint method, I have to be close to 1.5" of all things frozen here in Kernersville (Triad). "Paws" in the action currently. Waiting for the final assault.

So basically SC near Greenville. Who knows man. We're talking death CAD here on the Lee side of the apps. All I can offer is this and best wishes for some warmth this afternoon: ..ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Damaging icing expected. Additional light sleet accumulations and ice accumulations around one half of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...The mountains of northeast Georgia, upstate South Carolina, and portions of southwest North Carolina. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Monday.

Not down there in GA. That freezing layer is probably very shallow at this point. Wont take much to pull you above freezing. But definitely will be ZR at the onset. Edit - surface obs at Morganton and Blairsville GA are already showing 46°. Probably a slightly higher elevation, sure. But the heat is coming east.

We're going to get another 1/2" of sleet here in the triad before this flips to ZR later today. It is still raining sleet here.

More of an impossible forecast than a bust. Nobody has ever seen CAD conditions like this as far as my 58 years can recall. So there aren't any analogs to model against that says "historic CAD = 12 hour delay in precip arriving". This is 100% an evolving situation and highly dependent upon local conditions including terrain / altitude. I think the whole forum deserves a pass on this one.

Wonder if flash flooding in the northern mountains of VA / WVA is a possibility? They have a foot of new snow in many places that is going to get another inch or so of rain dumped this afternoon.

Pouring sleet in Kernersville with some gusty winds. Temps have started the upward ticks now to 16°. Into the 40s on the west side of the apps, wow!! Convection rolling north for this afternoon. Thunder ZR anyone?