kvegas-wx

The post mortem on this needs to be heavily discussed. We cannot fall for this again. Epic model failures for it to be 72-96 hours out.

We're not playing Yahtzee here. So get ready to crap out.

Cliff diving thread to the top already! As if the whole thing is rigged. Maybe more than the NFL is rigged. Nobody rigs weather better than us. When we think snow storm, boom! And I mean a big, beautiful Burger Boom comes flying in from abroad to fan the flames. And I don't mean any small flames, I mean the kind of flames that everyone is jealous about. Flames so hot that all weather models instantly turn our snow into drought busting rain storms when its 18° outside. Its basically raining hot water, because only the SE Forum could possibly dream up something this big. I'm talking the hottest rain anyone has ever seen. Rain so hot that no weather model will ever be able to safely predict a Miller A with a perfect phase ever again. So its rigged to keep us interested. And we fall for it every..freaking..time..when all we really need is some hot rain. #hotrain I need a drink.

0z would have me buying candles if I live anywhere in SC or GA. Trends have not changed much for a crippling ZR event and we're creeping inside of 72 hours. Man the sails and secure the hatches lads.

Ok, this thread just sucks now. I don't care about snow anymore. Lock the doors, shut it down. That's just damn sad about Burnsie!! Admittedly I don't hang in here a lot of the year outside of winter. But that news got by me. He was a great guy and an awesome forum mod. RIP indeed Burnsie.

Groceries, both generators running, firewood, propane, gas in the truck, bucket loader on the trailer and dog food purchased. All ready just in time to come in here and cliff dive with you fine folks. The bar is going to be busy so get those orders in early. She's a slip slidin' away as we speak.

Also sitting near Winston Salem. Stick around a few model runs and you may not feel like this will be fun. I think our chances of cold, quiet and dark are greater than white fluffy snow and sledding at this point. Mis-time this phase and we wave to our snow as it heads off into the abyss, or wherever all the snow goes that we seem to be missing.

This is storm related but not storm thread material. The Lowes in Kernersville has the heaters and generators stacked up front and they are flying off the shelves. Get one today or risk shivering! Grocery stores will be bombed by tomorrow night.

My amateur gut is telling me a system that continues to strengthen as modeled always ends up bringing the warmth with it causing all but the border counties in NC to mix, historically speaking. The problem is, as modeled, most of the NC forum sees 12+ before we would switch to several inches of sleet should that happen. 2"qpf?!? Ugh. I know one of you in here quietly wished for this and now it appears we're going to deal with it. Bueller? Bueller? Historic and catostrophic are not significant enough words given the broad swipe of winter that is about to happen. (Throughout the TN valley and MA too!)

Thats because they haven't seen it in a decade or so. Its like a GenXer in a Def Leppard t-shirt showing up to an EDM rave in the middle of an Ummet Ozcan mix set. Its going to look a little awkward! That blocking is LEGIT!

Oh the humanity!!! Did not see that GFS coming. Temps just plummet into this event and stay there for days.

Hello?? Echo...echo....echo.... Welp, nobody in here yet. Thats a good sign.

WU app now back up to 16.8" for the event in Kernersville. A bit comical to watch the wild swings from 8" all the way to 22". A lot is going to ride on tomorrow's model guidance. Many decisions to be made by logistics companies throughout the region. As many have noted, having no immediate warmup for nearly a week after the event is going to wreak havoc on transportation. Please make necessary plans for family now. It could be days before you might be able to reach them. The bread runs will be in full swing by tomorrow night.

You're absolutely right, but can we go ahead and pin it too? This week is must see TV! One step short of Kamchatka. I mean could you imagine our board in the week leading up to Kamchatka?!?! . So lets live a little. Its the only weather we got man. And the board is about to be as hyped as it has ever been. Let's pin the thread. Cuz I'm tired of searching for it and its only Monday.

So my wife has the 1 weather app on her phone which shows 22"+ between Sat-Mon. And while that is comical and I keep telling her to delete that garbage, my WU app is showing 10.7" for the same timeframe. The socials and webs are going to be chaos in 48 hours if we are still seeing models spit this out. Oh, and am NOT losing my dinner reservation at the Angus Barn in Raleigh on Saturday afternoon. I don't care if we look like Kamchatka I'm getting that steak!

Should be illegal to show that more than 48 hours out. 30% chance 6-7 days out for more than a foot!?! Thats just wrong.

I agree. We have nothing to lose. And if we can't have some fun on this board, I guess all we have left is a pile of bodies on Thursday night when the rug gets pulled and Sunday is 30° and partly cloudy. I won't start it, but I would honor whoever does (at least for the next 4 days)

With that much cold......suppression city. This ain't our first rodeo!

Pretty quickly just went 100% snow in Kernersville Flakes noticeably larger. Decent rates. Edit 30 seconds later - now its steady snow. Back edge coming thru. Maybe 45 mins of solid mood flakes before it ends.

Snowing in Kernersville now

Looks like the NC peeps all the way west to Hickory will see some brief mood flakes on the back edge as we head into the noon hour.

Cold chasing moisture never works out. (Except in southern GA I guess) Congrats ya'll!!

Last one out turn off the lights. This party is over. Our front dropped an anchor in the Ohio River.

I'm so confident that the models are clueless that I just bought a flight from GSO to BWI for this same period. I'm tired of the waffling. Just surprise me at this point.