Convective part of the system coming out of the gulf now. Temps shooting up well into southern TN. This wedge is unbreakable in the Triad north into VA. So my concerns for heavier ZR overnight are going up. Looking very juicy headed into daylight hours.
Incredible weather going on all over the place right now. If you are in Cincinnati, for example, you already have several inches on the ground. You check the radar and your moisture feed streches back to DFW!!! I fully expect we will soon be seeing reports of thundersleet too. And the temp keeps dropping here in the triad now down to 14°. Just nuts!!
I would not want to be on I-77 between Bluefield and Beckley right now. I would love some ground level reports. It should be a downpour of sleet right now.
Interesting switch up here in Kernersville, its snowing again as best I can tell. But its like pixie dust. Now everything is covered in maybe an 1/8th inch of the finest snow grains I've ever seen. And its blowing around too. This storm is tri-polar!
Edit - I see in the foothills thread they are calling it diamond dust. Sounds about right for what I am seeing. We've had a little bit of everything tonight!
Coming down hard and blowing something on the farm cams in Stuart VA. Looks like snow. I dont think IP would float that much. Ground is almost covered.
How much sleet can we realistically get in 8-9 hours? Cuz thats about what were looking at upstream on radar. Everything else after that may switch over to freezing rain/drizzle tomorrow morning. But with the CAD we have in place for the triad, i'm banking on 90% IP. Maybe a quarter inch an hour with moderate rates....so 2-3" total IP is my best guess.
After this non-storm I can safely say I have everything I need for the foreseeable future. Next event, grocery store, gas and dog food, that's it. If anything, this forced me to change the oil in the generators. So there's that.
Purely focused on radar OBS now kind sir! Good to know you are here and watching out for us. I'm looking specifically at the band headed into eastern TN thats getting crushed by these low DPs. Seems the initial "finger" of moisture that was showing up on a few models doesnt stand a chance.
No flurries all the way back to Winston. Radar just keeps drying up. Dewpoints and cold winning this early battle. I expect we will lose all of the QPF before Oz to virga. That really limits this to a 12 hour event. We're dodging bullets in real time here.
26° at the farm in Stuart and it 100% smells like snow. Has to be just over my head now. Expecting to see flurries on the drive back to Winston. Generator #2 is in the truck with propane bottles and gas. I'm as prepared as I can be to help myself and neighbors. Its go time!
How funny would that be if we all burned out from this week and we end up getting smashed in the mouth next week by our 12-24" storm? All I know is thank God I'm not flying the next 2 weeks. Travel is going to SUCK!
I'm not sure anyone cares anymore. I don't even recall tracking Katrina this long. It is what it is. We're too busy being suckered into next weeks blizzard.