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Hvward

Meteorologist
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About Hvward

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  • Website URL
    http://www.Ashevillewx.com

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KAVL
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Asheville, NC (2150')

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  1. 2017 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread

    Yeah we have switch to sleet/zr now. Hoping the temps warm like models project. Nobody wants to cancel their Super Bowl party.
  2. Super Bowl Sunday Storm 2/4-5

    I believe I have some sleet mixing in as well. Road in front of my house is white.
  3. Super Bowl Sunday Storm 2/4-5

    Light snow to begin here in Candler, NC. Will be interesting to see how long it lasts. .
  4. 2017 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread

    Started as snow here at my house in Candler. Let’s see how long it lasts, probably not too long.
  5. 2017 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread

    12z Euro a tick cooler at 850mb. Looks similar to the ICON. .
  6. 2017 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread

    00z 3km NAM thinks a dusting is possible for most tomorrow evening and a 2-4”+ on the border. I though dry air might hinder, but 850mb temps look really cold and per the 3km it won’t have any problem pushing all the way into Hendersonville and beyond. Will be interesting to see if this comes to fruition. 06z will be interesting. Regarding Sunday 0z GFS appeared a tad warmer at the surface but was actually a tick color overall at 850mb with KAVL only getting to 3degree c compared to 4c on 18z. Though the 0z does erode away the 0degree 850mb temps earlier. Lots of fine details to still be worked out. Who knows with this one, but I would like my chances in Highlands and around Boone. How fast do the 0 degree 850mb temps retreat. Time will tell. .
  7. 2017 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread

    Beautiful Met! Glad everyone is getting to see flakes, got a nice dusting here in Candler with moderate snow still falling. .
  8. 2017 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread

    All snow now in Candler after fighting the rain for a bit. Love that battle though, it’s fascinating. .
  9. 2017 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread

    M-ping reports showing snow falling in KC, 12z 3km didn’t pick that up. The band to watch is the one developing across the Ohio Valley/Southern Midwest stretching from KC thru Indy. Looks to be overperforming at the moment, let’s see if the trend continues.. All that moisture will bank up the high elevations of WNC, so whatever develops now on radar is heading this way. HRRR also didn’t pick up the KC snow showers. .
  10. 2017 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread

    Good analysis here Jeff. Dew points look good at 700mb and that’s what hurt last Monday/Tuesday NWFS potential. 12z 3km NAM has a nice band that breaks containment at the onset around 9-10 tonight. Sort of a quasi clipper type system as you mentioned. Usually the valleys can manage a dusting with a strong onset like what is being shown. I would love for Wolf or Clingmans Dome to top 6”. That would be awesome!
  11. 2017 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread

    There was some really dry air at 700mb that the 3km NAM began to pick up on about 36 hours out. The WNW flow compared to the NW flow seems to me to suffer from dry air intrusion. Those low dew point aren’t showing up just yet, but it is something to mindful of. There seems to be more lift associated with this compared to the last so the mesoscale dynamics will also be enhanced. Not expecting a blockbuster with this one, but we can’t use what happened with the last flow as precedent for what will occur next. Lots to observe and learn from with this one, should be interesting!
  12. 2017 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread

    12z 3km NAM has a stout stream at the onset late Monday night. Not exactly sure what to call it, a developing clipper, NWF, or a back door cold front? LP off the coast interacts with a 5h vort max that moves over the Apps. I believe that with the strength of the winds above 850mb, a dusting to an inch could be possible all across WNC. Favored NWF areas should do pretty well. Flow orientation looks to be a tad more nnw, so it will be interesting to see how that affects totals. .
  13. 2017 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread

    Looks like a decent shot at some upslope snow Tuesday into Wednesday. Could linger all day on the border counties Wednesday.
  14. 2017 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread

    Yep was coming here to post about this. Looks like a piece of energy could break off the tail of a strong Great Lakes Low, and redevelop in the Gulf before transferring to a coastal low. That type of system has worked well for use here in WNC before. Not ready to get too excited about this one, but most of the global models show some type of transfer, just depends on where it happens, and if the cold air is in place. Lets see what happens, this one could be fun! ICON GFS GEM (Develops the Great Lakes Low more)
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