StoneColdWeatherAustin

My understanding of this forum is that it is for discussion of mid to long range weather patterns in the Southeastern states. Although, recently it seems a lot of people think it is a forum that should only have activity if it is going to snow.

Trying to understand here. Does it require the low to turn north up the coast in order to create the negative tilt? I noticed that this one is just shooting straight out to sea.

Correct me if I am wrong. I am working off memory here, but I recall as a kid, the 80's as a whole being very snowy, up until '89. Once I was in high school, I believe we went through a drought in the early 90's with the exception of my senior year, '93 and stayed in that drought until '96.

Just checked my station again and it is 37.8/34.3. Dropped fast. May be getting close to snow. Sent from my SM-N960U1 using Tapatalk

Gotcha. May be a few degree difference between Winston and Clemmons Sent from my SM-N960U1 using Tapatalk

Is that temp from a weather station or weather app? I am seeing about 41 in Advance and Clemmons. Sent from my SM-N960U1 using Tapatalk

41.2/32.5 Sprinkles in Advance. Sent from my SM-N960U1 using Tapatalk

Real classes are no longer needed since star athletes only stay for a year and everyone else just transfers to another school.

For our games, they delayed them by two hours and said if another change was needed, they would let us know by 9am tomorrow. I replied and said in that case, why didn't you just wait until 9am tomorrow to see if there needs to be a change ?

Yes, that area in central NC is exactly where it shows the band sitting for a while. Considering ratios closer to 15-1 and the fact that the model shows it still snowing in these locations at that time, could see a broad 2-4 inches if it works out as modeled.

16Z HRRR shows snow breaking out around Winston area at 7pm and shows it still snowing at 5am tomorrow. Most of it looks light to moderate. Depending on how much is lost to virga, it could be a moderate event, according to this model.

With the current GFS look, the precipitation outputs look meek. I would expect much more liquid if it plays out like that.

Yep, Ron White has a nice saying for those folks. Sent from my SM-N960U1 using Tapatalk

Every year I see posts from meteorologists irate over these 7 day model snow outputs that people post. Not sure why they waste their breath. There is so much misinformation posted on social media every day, and honestly I am not sure if it makes a difference with snow. People in the south lose their mind over snow whether it is an inch or a foot. Sent from my SM-N960U1 using Tapatalk

I have noticed another trend. If all models are showing nothing, but then all correct to a solution where we all get snow, several people on here get really happy and do not start cursing at the models for being wrong to begin with.

Correct me if I am wrong, but I thought the latest models were not showing the low making it to the gulf, but instead around northern LA/MS and then jetting East to SC and then North. Wouldn't the fact that it made it to the gulf cause some pretty different scenarios for a lot of locations? Sent from my SM-N960U1 using Tapatalk

Hang on, I've got to go purchase another coffee maker. Sent from my SM-N960U1 using Tapatalk

I have lived in the Winston area a long time and cannot remember getting a lot of ZR from a setup like this. Now sleet, yes. If anything, I believe you would stand a better chance at losing it due to the wind. I do remember a handful of storms over the years that started as an initial thump of snow and ending as sleet with just enough freezing drizzle mixed in to setup some epic sledding. Sent from my SM-N960U1 using Tapatalk

I am not sure there is a real correct answer. Although the triad is considered central as a whole, places like Winston are very close to the mountains and obviously the furthermost western part of the triad. You also cannot draw a vertical line, as I know when people on the board speak of western NC, they are not speaking of CLT, especially south CLT. I do believe that when most people on here speak of western NC, they are including Winston and possibly even GSO. Once you get past Guilford though, I very much consider that central.

I have not seen any posts from the original QueenCityWX which I believe changed to BullCityWX once he moved to Durham. Did he move again ? Always enjoyed his input.

On the GFS control/mean graph, am I reading it correctly that it shows another storm about a week later ?

I am in Davie County and we cashed in on a couple inches from the 1/3 storm. Soil temps were pretty high (50s to 60s I believe) prior to that storm. It was sunny for a few days after that and it amazed me that 2 days later, I still saw shady spots of grass that were still holding snow. I assume that the snow sitting on the ground must really kick the soil temps down pretty quick.

From what I have been able to gather is that it is a clipper type system in the fact that it is coming from the northwest instead of the pacific, however could turn into a Miller A as it appears to dive south enough to interact with the Gulf of Mexico.

When past analogs are used to compare this storm, were those analogs also clipper type systems ?

37.6/26.5 in Advance Sent from my SM-N960U1 using Tapatalk