pasnownut Posted January 13 Just now, Ji said: yes we need to see blue over our house. There has been no blue on the models and no white in your yard so yes...if you dont see blue...there is legit concern Nah, I dont look at weather/life like you do.....my wife woulda left me a LOONNNGGGGGG time ago. Try taking a look from a realist perspectve...not the 1 run that gave you 12+. It really helps. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ji Posted January 13 euro is going to be close--closer than the GFS Or para Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RedSky Posted January 13 Euro is trying hard to make it blue day 8 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ji Posted January 13 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: Nah, I dont look at weather/life like you do.....my wife woulda left me a LOONNNGGGGGG time ago. Try taking a look from a realist perspectve...not the 1 run that gave you 12+. It really helps. i actually dont get excited about blue on the maps unless i see it 3-4 runs in a row. But everytime we have a good trend, the next 3-4 runs are 5 steps back. thats the realistic perspective. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
pasnownut Posted January 13 Just now, Ji said: euro is going to be close--closer than the GFS Or para but..... theres no BLUE over your house...... toss it. Good lord you need to change your name to flip flop Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ji Posted January 13 Just now, RedSky said: Euro is trying hard to make it blue day 8 now that is blue---but that looks like playing with fire haha 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ji Posted January 13 Just now, pasnownut said: but..... theres no BLUE over your house...... toss it. Good lord you need to change your name to flip flop did you see the rest of the run.....blue Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
IronTy Posted January 13 2 minutes ago, Ji said: euro is going to be close--closer than the GFS Or para This is the period my weatherbug app says to expect snow at my house. Lock it in. 1 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
pasnownut Posted January 13 Just now, Ji said: now that is blue---but that looks like playing with fire haha You should by a lifetime supply of Dramamine.....they say it really helps. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ji Posted January 13 Just now, IronTy said: This is the period my weatherbug app says to expect snow at my house. Lock it in. finally a model that shows what is suppose to happen in a blocking pattern. Not a cutter like GFS(which should be de-activated until we get it right) shows 3 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RedSky Posted January 13 ECM is the only model showing this nice snow, 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ji Posted January 13 Just now, pasnownut said: You should by a lifetime supply of Dramamine.....they say it really helps. seeing blue to me makes all the difference. Now i have a model that is one you would like to have in your corner. Now it means shit if it shows rain at 00z which it will likely do Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BristowWx Posted January 13 Just now, Ji said: seeing blue to me makes all the difference. Now i have a model that is one you would like to have in your corner. Now it means shit if it shows rain at 00z which it will likely do but as RedSky pointed out...it's on an island...still nice to see blue and it fits more than a cutter...its a nice start 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ji Posted January 13 Just now, BristowWx said: but as RedSky pointed out...it's on an island...still nice to see blue and it fits more than a cutter...its a nice start i would say the GGEM supports it somewhat no? 3 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
pasnownut Posted January 13 3 minutes ago, Ji said: i actually dont get excited about blue on the maps unless i see it 3-4 runs in a row. But everytime we have a good trend, the next 3-4 runs are 5 steps back. thats the realistic perspective. and at any given day or timestamp during a "good" period, you can often find blue over your house. Yes, we also see the same trends you see, but just dont flip sh!t every 6 hours. You've been at this almost as long as i have and should know that very rarely do we get into longwave stable patterns that just are chalk fulla blue over your house. Of late, we've become experts at bootleggin more times than not. Regardless, the upcoming period will continue to show you blue at varying intervals on varying models...and when we start seeing consensue build...I'll get excited right along w/ you. Until then....keep it real. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ji Posted January 13 seems like the models with high pressure are giving us the blue.....even though it isnt the best CAD ever. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
IronTy Posted January 13 6 minutes ago, Ji said: finally a model that shows what is suppose to happen in a blocking pattern. Not a cutter like GFS(which should be de-activated until we get it right) shows Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
pasnownut Posted January 13 Just now, Ji said: seems like the models with high pressure are giving us the blue.....even though it isnt the best CAD ever. Ops need time grasshopper......... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ji Posted January 13 1 minute ago, IronTy said: weatherbug must see the 850 temps at -22 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ji Posted January 13 8 minutes ago, RedSky said: ECM is the only model showing this nice snow, i mean you have the euro, the gfs and GGEM. 2/3 are showing something fun Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
stormtracker Posted January 13 Euro is a nice psychological boost. But it changes every 12 hours and has no support. Just this once, can we get something to f*cking stick 5 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RedSky Posted January 13 1 minute ago, Ji said: i mean you have the euro, the gfs and GGEM. 2/3 are showing something fun I believe this time it works out, if it's still 2 out of 3 at 0z Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ji Posted January 13 Euro is a nice psychological boost. But it changes every 12 hours and has no support. Just this once, can we get something to f*cking stickIt was on the verge of something big last night right? So 2 good runs in a row?Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
IronTy Posted January 13 6 minutes ago, Ji said: weatherbug must see the 850 temps at -22 My sources assure me that it's a proprietary model that takes into account all the dynamical(tm) data. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
snowmagnet Posted January 13 Do I still get 21" on the 27th? 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Paleocene Posted January 13 The GFS, Para, CMC, and ECMWF all show a wave moving E/NE out of the texas/arkansas area mid-late next week. It's even there on the JMA and NAVGEM and ICON. For 8 days out its something worth looking at... looking for crumbs here lol Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RedSky Posted January 13 Great atmospheric parameters, coldest point in the year, the most common time these storms show themselves near day 8. I honestly don't know what possibly could go wrong. Other then those 10,000 other things. 3 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 13 29 minutes ago, RedSky said: Euro is trying hard to make it blue day 8 Instead of day 10 we have a day 8 threat on the Euro. That is actually something substantial to take with more cautious optimism. If it continues to get closer as it has been for a couple days we may be in legit tracking business in the MR thread! I'm hopeful on this one....the tellies say this is real. 3 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 13 26 minutes ago, RedSky said: ECM is the only model showing this nice snow, Doesn't matter. Hug the living piss outta that shit bro! 1 3 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 13 22 minutes ago, Ji said: seems like the models with high pressure are giving us the blue.....even though it isnt the best CAD ever. Guidance picks up CAD better as we get closer. Especially under a block with 50/50 confluence. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
